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1884 S Ethel St
C Composite 56.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$94,999

1884 S Ethel St · Detroit, MI 48217
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1950 4,356 sqft lot $106/sqft · 69% above area Est $65k · 47% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 72 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $760 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $103 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $3k; list at $95k implies a 3692% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,299 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.39%
Cash-on-cash
11.07%
DSCR
1.49
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$64,584
List price
$94,999
Delta
47.09%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1320 S Bassett St 0.40mi 3/1.0 900 (0%) 8mo $82,000 $91 75
1688 S Ethel St 0.17mi 3/1.0 849 (-6%) 10mo $78,000 $92 74
319 Polk Ave 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (+1%) 6mo $38,500 $42 72
2544 S Beatrice St 0.41mi 3/1.0 956 (+6%) 3mo $115,000 $120 68
1288 S Liddesdale St 0.48mi 3/1.0 922 (+2%) 9mo $94,000 $102 66
2900 S Ethel St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 892 (-1%) 6mo $67,800 $76 62
2906 S Ethel St 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 892 (-1%) 6mo $67,800 $76 62
285 Campbell St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,029 (+14%) 6mo $125,000 $121 59
413 Frazier St 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,021 (+13%) 10mo $95,000 $93 58
3027 Bassett St 0.70mi 3/1.0 962 (+7%) 3mo $55,000 $57 54
53 Elizabeth St 0.73mi 4/1.0 (+1) 840 (-7%) 4mo $66,000 $79 46
2969 S Bassett St 0.64mi 3/1.0 775 (-14%) 2mo $45,000 $58 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$13,311
Equity at exit
$28,101
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$44,640
Equity at exit
$34,193

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48217

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,065 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $694/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $754
Max offer price $94,999
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $299 -5% $272 +0% $245 +5% $218 +10% $192
Rent -10% $161 -5% $203 +0% $245 +5% $287 +10% $329
Rate -1.0pp $293 -0.5pp $270 base $245 +0.5pp $221 +1.0pp $196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,120 $1.21 45d 1 0.55mi
1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,050 $1.13 25d 1 0.55mi
3748 15th St Ecorse, MI 2.0 1.0 528 $1,099 $2.08 18d 1 0.70mi
17 W James St Unit 17 W James Lower River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 16d 1 0.88mi
97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $825 $0.92 25d 1 1.01mi
3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,350 $1.51 18d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $94,999 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,999 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,999 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,999 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,999 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,999 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,999 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,999 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,999 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,999 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,999 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,999 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,999 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,999 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-04-22
    price $94,999 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!

  16. 2026-04-21
    price $94,999 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to make this property your own!

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $99,999 Active 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!

  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $99,999 Active 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!

  19. 2026-04-09
    historical $99,999 367-char remark
    Show marketing remark (367 chars)

    Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!

  20. 2013-11-30
    historical
  21. 2013-11-30
    historical
  22. 2013-07-05
    listed $15,000
  23. 2013-07-05
    listed $15,000
  24. 2012-03-15
    soldstatus $2,505
  25. 2012-03-15
    soldstatus $2,505
  26. 2012-02-21
    historical
  27. 2012-02-21
    historical
  28. 2012-01-13
    listed $2,730
  29. 2012-01-13
    listed $2,730
  30. 2012-01-04
    historical
  31. 2012-01-04
    historical
  32. 2011-09-16
    listed $4,620
  33. 2011-09-16
    listed $4,620
  34. 1999-07-21
    soldstatus $40,000
  35. 1999-06-17
    soldstatus $40,000
  36. 1999-02-17
    listed $42,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$694 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,079 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$384/yr (+$32/mo · 55.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,774
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$694
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,022
− Management
−$1,022
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,476
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$354
After-tax cash flow
$2,590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
6,437

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% White 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.11%
Current HPI
366.479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+123.5% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $94,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $94,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $99,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-07-05 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-05 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-15 Sold (MLS) $2,505 REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-15 Sold (MLS) $2,505 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-02-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-02-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-13 Listed $2,730 REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-13 Listed $2,730 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-01-04 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-01-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-09-16 Listed $4,620 REALCOMP
  • 2011-09-16 Listed $4,620 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1999-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 1999-06-17 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-02-17 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $694 · -53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…