1884 S Ethel St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$94,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 72 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $760 of equity ($657 loan paydown + $103 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $95k implies a 3692% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.07%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $64,584
- List price
- $94,999
- Delta
- 47.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1320 S Bassett St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 8mo | $82,000 | $91 | 75 |
| 1688 S Ethel St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 849 (-6%) | 10mo | $78,000 | $92 | 74 |
| 319 Polk Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (+1%) | 6mo | $38,500 | $42 | 72 |
| 2544 S Beatrice St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 956 (+6%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $120 | 68 |
| 1288 S Liddesdale St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 922 (+2%) | 9mo | $94,000 | $102 | 66 |
| 2900 S Ethel St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-1%) | 6mo | $67,800 | $76 | 62 |
| 2906 S Ethel St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 892 (-1%) | 6mo | $67,800 | $76 | 62 |
| 285 Campbell St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,029 (+14%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $121 | 59 |
| 413 Frazier St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,021 (+13%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 3027 Bassett St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (+7%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $57 | 54 |
| 53 Elizabeth St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 840 (-7%) | 4mo | $66,000 | $79 | 46 |
| 2969 S Bassett St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 775 (-14%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $58 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $13,311
- Equity at exit
- $28,101
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $44,640
- Equity at exit
- $34,193
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48217
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $694/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $272 | +0% $245 | +5% $218 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $161 | -5% $203 | +0% $245 | +5% $287 | +10% $329 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $293 | -0.5pp $270 | base $245 | +0.5pp $221 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,120 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1139 S Bassett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3748 15th St Ecorse, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $1,099 | $2.08 | 18d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 17 W James St Unit 17 W James Lower River Rouge, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 97 Batavia St Unit 1 River Rouge, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-21days on market $94,999 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $94,999 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $94,999 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $94,999 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $94,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $94,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $94,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $94,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $94,999 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $94,999 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $94,999 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $94,999 Active 52 DOM
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2026-04-22price $94,999 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-04-21price $94,999 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-04-10$99,999 Active 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-04-10$99,999 Active 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-04-09historical $99,999 367-char remark
Show marketing remark (367 chars)
Welcome to 1884 S Ethel! This charming bungalow offers 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, featuring a beautifully remodeled bath for a modern touch. With its functional layout and great potential, this home is perfect for a first-time homebuyer looking to build equity or an investor seeking their next opportunity. Don't miss your chance to make this property your own!
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2013-11-30historical
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2013-11-30historical
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2013-07-05$15,000
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2013-07-05$15,000
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2012-03-15soldstatus $2,505
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2012-03-15soldstatus $2,505
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2012-02-21historical
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2012-02-21historical
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2012-01-13$2,730
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2012-01-13$2,730
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2012-01-04historical
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2012-01-04historical
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2011-09-16$4,620
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2011-09-16$4,620
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1999-07-21soldstatus $40,000
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1999-06-17soldstatus $40,000
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1999-02-17$42,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $694 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,079 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$384/yr (+$32/mo · 55.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$694
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,476
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$354
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,590/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- City population
- 572,865
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,437
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Current HPI
- 366.479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+123.5% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $94,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $94,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $99,999 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-10 Listed $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-11-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-11-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-07-05 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-07-05 Listed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-03-15 Sold (MLS) $2,505 REALCOMP
- 2012-03-15 Sold (MLS) $2,505 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-02-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-13 Listed $2,730 REALCOMP
- 2012-01-13 Listed $2,730 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-01-04 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-01-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-09-16 Listed $4,620 REALCOMP
- 2011-09-16 Listed $4,620 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-17 Sold (MLS) $40,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-02-17 Listed $42,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $694 · -53.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…