1146 Walbridge Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
Key facts
- 4,400 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Alley access; On-street parking; Approximately 2 garage parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service, circuit breakers); Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One and one-half levels; No attached units or common walls; Shingle roof
- Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Covered porch; Chain link fencing; Asphalt road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric range connection
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (upper level) — approx. 15 x 11; Second bedroom (upper level) — approx. 13 x 11
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Has heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double pane windows with screens; 5 total rooms; Has a block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups in basement; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Walbridge Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,382 of 1,584 statewide, top 88%, 280 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $524 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $70k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.67%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,383
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 21.81%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1152 Colton St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,046 (+6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $62 | 81 |
| 1402 Prouty Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,030 (+4%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $49 | 69 |
| 624 Carlton St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,013 (+2%) | 2mo | $134,888 | $133 | 58 |
| 1321 Gordon St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,131 (+14%) | 5mo | $70,600 | $62 | 57 |
| 1127 Harding Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+12%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $20 | 52 |
| 648 Carlton St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-11%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 1049 King St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,109 (+12%) | 3mo | $29,000 | $26 | 51 |
| 109 Wellington St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 859 (-13%) | 3mo | $4,500 | $5 | 50 |
| 502 Brighton Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (-11%) | 1mo | $123,900 | $140 | 50 |
| 317 Eldred Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,108 (+12%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $41 | 44 |
| 1574 Colton St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+12%) | 6mo | $115,875 | $105 | 42 |
| 511 Congress St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,109 (+12%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $22,449
- Equity at exit
- $22,956
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.84×
- Total profit
- $75,133
- Equity at exit
- $29,816
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $924 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $311 | -5% $292 | +0% $272 | +5% $252 | +10% $232 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $235 | +0% $272 | +5% $308 | +10% $345 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $307 | -0.5pp $290 | base $272 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1037 Orchard St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $820 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 223 Charles St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $875 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 538 Nicholas St Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 416 Maumee Ave Unit D Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $475 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 400 Nebraska Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $1,129 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $69,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$74,900 Active 344-char remark
-
2016-09-11historical
-
2016-07-11$14,500
-
2016-07-01historical
-
2016-01-22$15,000
-
2005-07-18soldstatus $39,037
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
-
2005-07-18soldstatus $39,037
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
-
2005-06-15price $39,037
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
-
2005-06-02$37,900
Show marketing remark (156 chars)
Very nice and clean home. 2 car garage with opener and fenced in yard. New Roof, Freshly painted in and out. Ready to move into. 3rd bedroom is in basement.
-
1993-08-27soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $748 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $919 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$171/yr (+$14/mo · 22.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $2,267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$544
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+197.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $69,900 NORIS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $37,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2016-09-11 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2016-07-11 Listed $14,500 NORIS
- 2016-07-01 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2016-01-22 Listed $15,000 NORIS
- 2005-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $39,037 Public Records
- 2005-07-18 Sold (MLS) $39,037 NORIS
- 2005-06-15 Price Changed $39,037 NORIS
- 2005-06-02 Listed $37,900 NORIS
- 1993-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $748 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…