🏗️ New Construction
Elm Plan · Huntertown, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$318,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Listed 295 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $319k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-373 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (8.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (20.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $254k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Huntertown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.64%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $344,395
- List price
- $318,900
- Delta
- -7.40%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5517 Tranquilo Way | 0.18mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,346 (-3%) | 1mo | $329,085 | $140 | 79 |
| 4819 Windrow Way | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,244 (-7%) | 1mo | $379,900 | $169 | 71 |
| 12204 Bozzio Rd | 0.15mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,155 (-11%) | 0mo | $382,000 | $177 | 68 |
| 12041 Swather Ct | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,229 (-8%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $168 | 66 |
| 4313 Great Hollow Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,438 (+1%) | 2mo | $475,000 | $195 | 66 |
| 11704 Hand Rd | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,297 (-5%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $126 | 64 |
| 4841 Whittlebury Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,322 (-4%) | 2mo | $379,900 | $164 | 62 |
| 5138 Gadwall Pass | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,588 (+7%) | 2mo | $440,000 | $170 | 59 |
| 5371 Elk Run Pl | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,299 (-5%) | 1mo | $412,000 | $179 | 55 |
| 11883 Baikal Pass | 0.45mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,714 (+12%) | 2mo | $521,500 | $192 | 52 |
| 12756 Watts Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,053 (-15%) | 2mo | $319,450 | $156 | 44 |
| 5598 Broad Fields Cv | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,111 (-13%) | 2mo | $390,000 | $185 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-67,086
- Equity at exit
- $51,350
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-32,736
- Equity at exit
- $29,777
Cash invested: $96,431 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46818
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,541 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,806
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$430 /mo · $5,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$143
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$534
- Net cashflow
- $-373
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,099
- Closing costs
- $10,332
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2226 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4722 Whittlebury Dr Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,999 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3205 Water Wheel Run Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2382 | $2,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $318,900 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $318,900 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $318,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $318,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $318,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $318,900 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $318,900 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $318,900 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $318,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $318,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $318,900 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $318,900 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $318,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $318,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $318,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-01-27price $318,900 1143-char remark
Show marketing remark (1143 chars)
Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.
-
2025-08-27$328,900 Active 1143-char remark
Show marketing remark (1143 chars)
Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,492
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,291
- − Property taxes
- −$5,166
- − Insurance
- −$1,722
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,439
- − Management
- −$2,439
- − Depreciation
- −$10,019
- Taxable loss
- −$10,585
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,540
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,932/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This spacious and well-maintained single-family home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. Upgrades to the exterior, interior, and smart home features can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the living areas — Hardwood or tile flooring can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring in the living areas — Hardwood or tile flooring can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,952
- Composite
- 49.26/100
- National rank
- #2027
- State rank
- #25 of 301 in IN
Livability — Huntertown
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #7771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allen County · 326,813 people
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,954
- Household income
- $81,066
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 101.0
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -217.71%
- Current HPI
- 228.1539
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.64%
- Metro
- Fort Wayne, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-3.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $318,900 Zillow
- 2025-08-27 Listed $328,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…