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Elm Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$318,900

Elm Plan · Huntertown, IN 46818
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,415 sqft · SingleFamily · 295 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Listed 295 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $318,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $344,395.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $319k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-373 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $290k (8.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (20.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Huntertown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 295 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $254,096 (20.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 295 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
4.99%
Cash-on-cash
-4.64%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$344,395
List price
$318,900
Delta
-7.40%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5517 Tranquilo Way 0.18mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,346 (-3%) 1mo $329,085 $140 79
4819 Windrow Way 0.21mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,244 (-7%) 1mo $379,900 $169 71
12204 Bozzio Rd 0.15mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,155 (-11%) 0mo $382,000 $177 68
12041 Swather Ct 0.26mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,229 (-8%) 2mo $375,000 $168 66
4313 Great Hollow Ct 0.50mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,438 (+1%) 2mo $475,000 $195 66
11704 Hand Rd 0.36mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,297 (-5%) 2mo $290,000 $126 64
4841 Whittlebury Dr 0.49mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,322 (-4%) 2mo $379,900 $164 62
5138 Gadwall Pass 0.43mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,588 (+7%) 2mo $440,000 $170 59
5371 Elk Run Pl 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,299 (-5%) 1mo $412,000 $179 55
11883 Baikal Pass 0.45mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,714 (+12%) 2mo $521,500 $192 52
12756 Watts Dr 0.49mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,053 (-15%) 2mo $319,450 $156 44
5598 Broad Fields Cv 0.72mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,111 (-13%) 2mo $390,000 $185 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-67,086
Equity at exit
$51,350
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-32,736
Equity at exit
$29,777

Cash invested: $96,431 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46818

Rents YoY
7.6%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,806
Tax est. 1.5%
$430 /mo · $5,166/yr
Insurance
$143
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$-373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,013
Max offer price $290,469
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$86,099
Closing costs
$10,332
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5045 Portney Pl Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2226 $2,300 $1.03 44d 1 0.16mi
4722 Whittlebury Dr Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.0 1650 $1,999 $1.21 14d 1 0.37mi
3205 Water Wheel Run Fort Wayne, IN 4.0 2.5 2382 $2,500 $1.05 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $318,900 Active 295 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $318,900 Active 294 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $318,900 Active 293 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $318,900 Active 292 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $318,900 Active 290 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $318,900 Active 289 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $318,900 Active 287 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $318,900 Active 286 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $318,900 Active 285 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $318,900 Active 284 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $318,900 Active 280 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $318,900 Active 279 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $318,900 Active 278 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $318,900 Active 277 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $318,900 Active 276 DOM
  16. 2026-01-27
    price $318,900 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.

  17. 2025-08-27
    listed $328,900 Active 1143-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1143 chars)

    Welcome to the Elm, a spacious and versatile new construction home floorplan! Step into an open and inviting layout perfect for both relaxation and entertainment. This home boasts a well-appointed kitchen ideal for home cooks and gatherings featuring shaker style cabinets, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a large center island. The adjoining casual dining and expansive living room create a seamless flow, making it easy to enjoy time with family and friends. Enjoy a first-floor bedroom built convenience! Upstairs, you'll find the serene primary bedroom featuring an ensuite walk-in closet and bathroom with a dual sink vanity, private water room, and walk-in shower. Additionally, find 4 generously sized bedrooms, loft space for entertaining, a spacious laundry room, and full bath with dual sinks. Each Elm includes a smart home system including a Qolsys IQ panel, Z-wave deadbolt, and a video doorbell; allowing you to control and monitor your home from your couch or from 500 miles away. Embrace a new level of comfort and modern living with the Elm! Photos representative of plan only and may vary as built.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,492
− Mortgage interest
−$19,291
− Property taxes
−$5,166
− Insurance
−$1,722
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,439
− Management
−$2,439
− Depreciation
−$10,019
Taxable loss
−$10,585
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,540
After-tax cash flow
$-1,932/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This spacious and well-maintained single-family home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed. Upgrades to the exterior, interior, and smart home features can significantly increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the living areas — Hardwood or tile flooring can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Upgrading the flooring in the living areas — Hardwood or tile flooring can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and appealing to potential buyers/renters.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northwest Allen County Schools
NCES district ID
1808250
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$78,952
Composite
49.26/100
National rank
#2027
State rank
#25 of 301 in IN

Livability — Huntertown

Score
70/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#7771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen County · 326,813 people
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
Population (ZIP)
21,954
Household income
$81,066
Rent vs Own
15.6% rent · 84.4% own
Severe rent burden
101.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
394,020 people
By 2030
405,128 · +2.8%
By 2040
423,476 · +7.5%
By 2050
435,137 · +10.4%
By 2075
450,293 · +14.3%
By 2100
424,101 · +7.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -217.71%
Current HPI
228.1539
Rent YoY
▲ 7.64%
Metro
Fort Wayne, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $318,900 Zillow
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $328,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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