615 Neil St · Sandusky, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$222,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfectly located from downtown Sandusky, this beautifully remodeled 4-bed home offers the ideal blend of charm, convenience and modern updates. Enjoy being a short distance to local restaurants, shops, and scenic downtown Sandusky. Inside, the home features a thoughtfully designed layout with one bedroom on the main floor and three additional bedrooms upstairs. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the upper level offers convenient half bath along with a laundry located just off the primary bedroom. The completely updated kitchen, showcases stylish features and a warm inviting feel-perfect for entertaining. Natural woodwork throughout the home offers character and charm. Outside, you'll find off street parking and a nicely sized backyard complete with comfortable sitting area. This move in ready home combines location, style, and functionality-font miss your chance to own a piece of Sandusky living at its best!
Key facts
- Natural woodwork
- Off street parking
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $222k).
- Recommended offer: $209k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 6.1% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
- Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: The Sandusky Intermediate School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,135 of 1,584 statewide, top 73%, 909 students, 0% FRL); Sandusky Middle School (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #580 of 654 statewide, top 89%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Sandusky High School (math 17% / reading 41%, grade F, #627 of 781 statewide, top 81%, 1,004 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 71% district-wide (71 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $139k; list at $222k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.39%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,898
- List price
- $222,400
- Delta
- 46.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 E Jefferson St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (+2%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $32 | 73 |
| 919 Hancock St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,426 (-6%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $50 | 73 |
| 1002 Sycamore Line | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-15%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $109 | 70 |
| 1130 Fourth St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,589 (+5%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $88 | 67 |
| 604 E Jefferson St | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-8%) | 7mo | $143,900 | $103 | 59 |
| 318 High St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,532 (+1%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $121 | 58 |
| 1104 Waverly Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (-12%) | 7mo | $180,000 | $135 | 55 |
| 914 Hayes Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-13%) | 1mo | $133,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 1334 Lindsley St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,366 (-10%) | 1mo | $143,000 | $105 | 49 |
| 1414 Buckingham St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-14%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $100 | 47 |
| 517 Polk | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,588 (+5%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $104 | 46 |
| 817 Hayes Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.5 | 1,721 (+14%) | 5mo | $179,900 | $105 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,937
- Equity at exit
- $33,161
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $14,093
- Equity at exit
- $19,229
Cash invested: $62,272 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44870
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,243 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,166
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$93
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$471
- Net cashflow
- $332
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $458 | -5% $395 | +0% $332 | +5% $269 | +10% $206 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $155 | -5% $243 | +0% $332 | +5% $420 | +10% $509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $444 | -0.5pp $388 | base $332 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,600
- Closing costs
- $6,672
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1032 Perry St Sandusky, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1845 | $850 | $0.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1107 1st St Unit 1496057P Sandusky, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1151 | $6,631 | $5.76 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 156 E Market St Sandusky, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1266 | $3,539 | $2.79 | 45d | 5 | 0.75mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $222,400 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $222,400 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $222,400 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $222,400 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $222,400 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $222,400 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $222,400 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $222,400 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $222,400 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $222,400 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $222,400 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $222,400 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $222,400 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-07$234,900 Active 934-char remark
Show marketing remark (934 chars)
Perfectly located from downtown Sandusky, this beautifully remodeled 4-bed home offers the ideal blend of charm, convenience and modern updates. Enjoy being a short distance to local restaurants, shops, and scenic downtown Sandusky. Inside, the home features a thoughtfully designed layout with one bedroom on the main floor and three additional bedrooms upstairs. The main level includes a full bathroom, while the upper level offers convenient half bath along with a laundry located just off the primary bedroom. The completely updated kitchen, showcases stylish features and a warm inviting feel-perfect for entertaining. Natural woodwork throughout the home offers character and charm. Outside, you'll find off street parking and a nicely sized backyard complete with comfortable sitting area. This move in ready home combines location, style, and functionality-font miss your chance to own a piece of Sandusky living at its best!
-
2020-09-11soldstatus $139,000 908-char remark
Show marketing remark (908 chars)
Beautifully Renovated Century Home with 4 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, over 1500 sq ft Bedrooms have Fresh Paint, New Carpet and Lit Ceiling Fans. Bathrooms were gutted and the Second Floor Bathroom has the Laundry in it. Both have all new everything including Ceramic Tile. Original Wood work thru out the Home which is HighLighted in the Large Living Room, Dining Room and Family Room. All new Light Fixtures, Fresh Paint and New Laminate on First Floor. This Home also includes Thermopane Windows. Roof is Newer and Vinyl Siding only 3 months old. New Covered Porch 20 x 9 ft, New 50 Gallon Hot Water Tank and some Basement Windows Replaced. New Central Air System. The New Kitchen is Amazing with Quartz Counter Tops, Stainless Steel Appliances and Quiet Close Cabinets. Lots of Cabinets and a Pantry. Drive way is 98 x 12.5 of Concrete the first 80 ft is new. Thats alot of Extra Parking. Move in Condition!
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2020-09-09soldstatus $139,000 Closed
-
2020-08-03status Pending
-
2020-07-23price $140,000
-
2020-06-30status Active
-
2020-06-19status Pending
-
2020-06-09$140,000 908-char remark
Show marketing remark (908 chars)
Beautifully Renovated Century Home with 4 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, over 1500 sq ft Bedrooms have Fresh Paint, New Carpet and Lit Ceiling Fans. Bathrooms were gutted and the Second Floor Bathroom has the Laundry in it. Both have all new everything including Ceramic Tile. Original Wood work thru out the Home which is HighLighted in the Large Living Room, Dining Room and Family Room. All new Light Fixtures, Fresh Paint and New Laminate on First Floor. This Home also includes Thermopane Windows. Roof is Newer and Vinyl Siding only 3 months old. New Covered Porch 20 x 9 ft, New 50 Gallon Hot Water Tank and some Basement Windows Replaced. New Central Air System. The New Kitchen is Amazing with Quartz Counter Tops, Stainless Steel Appliances and Quiet Close Cabinets. Lots of Cabinets and a Pantry. Drive way is 98 x 12.5 of Concrete the first 80 ft is new. Thats alot of Extra Parking. Move in Condition!
-
2020-06-09$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (908 chars)
Beautifully Renovated Century Home with 4 Bedrooms and 2 Baths, over 1500 sq ft Bedrooms have Fresh Paint, New Carpet and Lit Ceiling Fans. Bathrooms were gutted and the Second Floor Bathroom has the Laundry in it. Both have all new everything including Ceramic Tile. Original Wood work thru out the Home which is HighLighted in the Large Living Room, Dining Room and Family Room. All new Light Fixtures, Fresh Paint and New Laminate on First Floor. This Home also includes Thermopane Windows. Roof is Newer and Vinyl Siding only 3 months old. New Covered Porch 20 x 9 ft, New 50 Gallon Hot Water Tank and some Basement Windows Replaced. New Central Air System. The New Kitchen is Amazing with Quartz Counter Tops, Stainless Steel Appliances and Quiet Close Cabinets. Lots of Cabinets and a Pantry. Drive way is 98 x 12.5 of Concrete the first 80 ft is new. Thats alot of Extra Parking. Move in Condition!
-
2019-02-28soldstatus $25,000
-
2019-01-08$27,900
-
2008-03-14soldstatus $50,000
-
1996-05-10soldstatus $41,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,177 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,823 · $235/mo
- Expected delta
- +$646/yr (+$54/mo · 29.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,458
- − Property taxes
- −$2,177
- − Insurance
- −$1,112
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,153
- − Management
- −$2,153
- − Depreciation
- −$6,470
- Taxable income
- $394
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$95
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,886/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sandusky City
- NCES district ID
- 3904474
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,583
- Composite
- 25.1/100
- National rank
- #7532
- State rank
- #583 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sandusky
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sandusky, OH
- County
- Erie County · 39,883 people
- City population
- 39,883
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,883
- Household income
- $62,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.99%
- Current HPI
- 209.6383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+466.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $234,900 FAOR
- 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $139,000 FAOR
- 2020-09-09 Sold (MLS) $139,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-08-03 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2020-07-23 Price Changed $140,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-06-30 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2020-06-19 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2020-06-09 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
- 2020-06-09 Listed $140,000 FAOR
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $25,000 FAOR
- 2019-01-08 Listed $27,900 FAOR
- 2008-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,177 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…