810 Champagne St E · Calistoga, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
Key facts
- Vineyard views
- Community amenities
- Central heat and air
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $446 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.4% in Calistoga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#448 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Calistoga Joint Unified (town): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #624 of 1,400 in CA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 427 units permitted in Napa County in 2024 (189 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Napa County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 315 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $110k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 315 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.96%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,000
- List price
- $275,000
- Delta
- 38.19%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819 E Champagne | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (0%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $212 | 84 |
| 516 Sherry St N #244 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (0%) | 13mo | $262,500 | $171 | 84 |
| 37 Magnolia Dr | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,536 (0%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $130 | 80 |
| 320 Chablis N | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $115 | 79 |
| 703 Claret S | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 9mo | $149,000 | $103 | 77 |
| 611 Port South | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,602 (+4%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $194 | 74 |
| 921 Champagne St S | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (-3%) | 18mo | $168,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 218 Champagne Cir W | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $90 | 71 |
| 33 Magnolia Dr | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 8mo | $206,000 | $143 | 67 |
| 123 Heather Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+2%) | 14mo | $329,000 | $209 | 66 |
| 4 Camellia Dr | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 44 Magnolia Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+6%) | 15mo | $321,000 | $198 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-15,608
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $25,140
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94515
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$753
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$824
- Net cashflow
- $446
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 Grant St Calistoga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $3,795 | $2.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2014 Tablerock Ct Calistoga, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $4,095 | $2.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $753 · $9,036/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $275,000 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $275,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 304 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $275,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $275,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-03-05status Active 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
-
2026-03-02historical Contingent (No Show) 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
-
2026-01-06status Active 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
-
2025-12-15price $275,000 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
-
2025-11-04price $349,985 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
-
2025-08-01$385,000 Active 1238-char remark
Show marketing remark (1238 chars)
Welcome to Chateau Calistoga - a tranquil 55+ community located in the heart of Napa Valley. This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers stunning vineyard views and the relaxed wine country lifestyle you've been dreaming of. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting floor plan with large windows that showcase the surrounding vineyards and fill the home with natural light. The spacious living and dining areas flow effortlessly, creating an ideal setting for everyday living or entertaining guests. The kitchen features generous counter space and storage, perfect for preparing meals while enjoying the serene setting. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and en-suite bath. A second bedroom and full guest bath provide comfortable accommodations for visitors or extra space for a home office or creative studio. Step outside to a private covered deck where you can unwind with a glass of wine and take in the peaceful vineyard views. Additional features include central heat and air, indoor laundry, a covered carport, and access to community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and walking paths. Located just minutes from downtown Calistoga's restaurants, shops, and world-renowned wineries.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,087
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,125
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,767
- − Management
- −$3,767
- − HOA
- −$9,036
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $1,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home in Chateau Calistoga offers stunning vineyard views and a relaxed wine country lifestyle. The home is in good condition with modern appliances and clean interiors, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality ↑
- Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calistoga Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0607020
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,716
- Composite
- 39.48/100
- National rank
- #8101
- State rank
- #624 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Calistoga
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #448
- US rank
- #15176
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calistoga, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,921
Population outlook (Napa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,987 people
- By 2030
- 159,490 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 168,796 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 176,213 · +14.4%
- By 2075
- 190,113 · +23.5%
- By 2100
- 190,528 · +23.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 34% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Napa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.9) · D 65.9% · R 31.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.4pp toward D · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.9 2020: D+40.4 2016: D+35.2 2012: D+25.7 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -476.46%
- Current HPI
- 244.6548
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
-28.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2026-03-02 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2026-01-06 Relisted — BAREIS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $275,000 BAREIS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $349,985 BAREIS
- 2025-08-01 Listed $385,000 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…