119 5th St · California, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CHEAPER THAN RENT SELLERS WANT TO SEE OFFERS BEST DEAL IN CALIFORNIA NICE YARD
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Newer furnace
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation access
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Tile flooring; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($974 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,648 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, schools D, amenities F.
- California Area SD (rural): math 31% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #295 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $102 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $-417 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $41k; list at $75k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.08%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,221
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -30.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 233 6th St | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 936 (+10%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 143 Spring St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 784 (-8%) | 21mo | $25,000 | $32 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $10,470
- Equity at exit
- $19,715
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $35,702
- Equity at exit
- $22,108
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15419
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 18
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $974 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $271 | -5% $250 | +0% $229 | +5% $208 | +10% $186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $152 | -5% $190 | +0% $229 | +5% $267 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $267 | -0.5pp $248 | base $229 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Strawberry Way California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $775 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 72 Second St Unit 6 California, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 131 Spring Way Unit 1 California, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 785 | $950 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 456 Second St Unit 10 California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $900 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 456 Second St Unit 3 California, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $1,000 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-07price $75,000 376-char remark
-
2026-04-29$79,900 Active 376-char remark
-
1998-08-23soldstatus $41,000 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
CHEAPER THAN RENT SELLERS WANT TO SEE OFFERS BEST DEAL IN CALIFORNIA NICE YARD
-
1998-08-22soldstatus $41,000
-
1998-02-27$49,500 78-char remark
Show marketing remark (78 chars)
CHEAPER THAN RENT SELLERS WANT TO SEE OFFERS BEST DEAL IN CALIFORNIA NICE YARD
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,392 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,392 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,392
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$935
- − Management
- −$935
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $1,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- California Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204710
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,621
- Composite
- 37.22/100
- National rank
- #4466
- State rank
- #295 of 539 in PA
Livability — California
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1648
- US rank
- #22817
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- California, PA
- City population
- 5,469
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,527
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 160.7366
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+51.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 1998-08-23 Sold (MLS) $41,000 West Penn MLS
- 1998-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
- 1998-02-27 Listed $49,500 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,392 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…