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509 Harvest Lake Dr
D- Composite 37.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0

$271,695

509 Harvest Lake Dr · Snook, TX 77878
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,796 sqft · SingleFamily · 47 Days on market
Built 2026 8,710 sqft lot $151/sqft · at area comps Est $275k · at est. $65/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

Key facts

  • 8,710 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Tags

SHAKER-STYLE CABINETRYGRANITE OR QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESBACKYARD COVERED PATIOCENTRALLY LOCATED LAUNDRY ROOMATTACHED PRIMARY BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $272k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-284 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $231k (15.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (22.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#700 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Snook ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #334 of 826 in TX (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Burleson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $210,000 (22.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.47%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,099
List price
$271,695
Delta
-1.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
509 Harvest Lake Dr 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,796 (0%) 0mo $271,695 $151 100
473 Harvest Lake Dr 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,796 (0%) 1mo $268,465 $149 98
424 Brazos Bnd 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,747 (-3%) 4mo $299,900 $172 83
498 Harvest Lake Dr 0.01mi 4/2.0 1,680 (-6%) 7mo $309,900 $184 82
304 Brazos Bnd 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,691 (-6%) 7mo $289,900 $171 74
521 Harvest Lake Dr 0.01mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,575 (-12%) 1mo $255,045 $162 73
201 Orchard Cv 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+6%) 1mo $297,000 $156 72
213 Orchard Cv 0.27mi 4/2.0 2,014 (+12%) 1mo $297,000 $147 66
244 Brazos Bnd 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (-10%) 0mo $284,900 $175 65
125 Turnrow Cv 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-14%) 2mo $289,800 $188 54
124 Turnrow Cv 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (-14%) 6mo $289,800 $188 49
101 Court Side 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,046 (+14%) 5mo $495,000 $242 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-19,985
Equity at exit
$85,228
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$2,136
Equity at exit
$107,651

Cash invested: $76,075 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77878

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,425
Tax est. 1.5%
$340 /mo · $4,075/yr
Insurance
$113
HOA
$65
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$441
Net cashflow
$-284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,459
Max offer price $230,654
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,924
Closing costs
$8,151
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Turnrow Cv Snook, TX 3.0 2.0 1790 $2,100 $1.17 21d 1 0.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$65 · $780/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    listing id $271,695 Pending 47 DOM
  2. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

  3. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

  4. 2026-04-03
    price $271,695 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

  5. 2026-04-03
    price $271,695 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

  6. 2026-03-18
    listed $281,695 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

  7. 2026-03-18
    listed $281,695 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Step into the incredible Texas Cali floorplan at Grand Lake in Snook, Texas. This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom has a spacious 1,796 approximate square footage. Entertain in the large, open space living room or gather in the beautifully designed kitchen. The kitchen features shaker-style cabinetry, granite or quartz countertops, and stainless-steel appliances. Or enjoy nature from under the backyard covered patio. You’ll also find three cozy carpeted secondary bedrooms with easy access to the secondary bathroom. The laundry room is also centrally located for convenience. Retreat to the luxurious primary bedroom, where you’ll find the attached primary bathroom with its double vanity and walk-in closet. The Texas Cali floorplan was designed with you in mind with plenty of space to move around.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,200
− Mortgage interest
−$15,219
− Property taxes
−$4,075
− Insurance
−$1,358
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,016
− Management
−$2,016
− HOA
−$780
− Depreciation
−$7,904
Taxable loss
−$8,169
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,961
After-tax cash flow
$-1,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Snook ISD
NCES district ID
4840620
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$47,667
Composite
36.0/100
National rank
#4788
State rank
#334 of 826 in TX

Livability — Snook

Score
65/100
State rank
#700
US rank
#13044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Snook, TX
Population (ZIP)
706

Population outlook (Burleson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,066 people
By 2030
18,174 · +0.6%
By 2040
18,198 · +0.7%
By 2050
18,110 · +0.2%
By 2075
18,166 · +0.6%
By 2100
16,949 · -6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (50%)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 24% Native American 4% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 32%

Political lean MEDSL · Burleson

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -62.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.8 2020: R+57.6 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.46%
Current HPI
89.5004
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Pending BCSRMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $271,695 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $271,695 BCSRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $281,695 BCSRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $281,695 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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