11622 Heritage Wind Dr · Barrett, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Bridgeport brings everything together in one comfortable, convenient single-story floor plan. Centered around an airy, open kitchen that overlooks a dining room and a great room, the main living area is spacious and inviting. The lavish primary suite boasts a private bath with a walk-in shower, dual vanities, and a walk-in closet. Adjacent, you'll find three additional bedrooms, offering ample space for rest and relaxation.
Key facts
- Dual vanities
- Private bath
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $259,900
Exterior
- Parking: 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Home design: Single-family property; Located at 11622 Heritage Wind Dr, Crosby, TX 77532
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,582
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec home — BRIDGEPORT plan; Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-695/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,335 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Crosby ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #369 of 826 in TX (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 1172 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.96%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $245,210
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11626 Heritage Wind Dr | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (0%) | 2mo | $252,900 | $160 | 98 |
| 414 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (0%) | 2mo | $244,900 | $155 | 92 |
| 438 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (0%) | 4mo | $239,900 | $152 | 90 |
| 446 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (0%) | 5mo | $244,900 | $155 | 89 |
| 462 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,582 (0%) | 5mo | $249,900 | $158 | 89 |
| 11607 Heritage Wind Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 1,785 (+13%) | 1mo | $267,900 | $150 | 74 |
| 11638 Heritage Wind Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 1,785 (+13%) | 3mo | $274,900 | $154 | 73 |
| 418 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,785 (+13%) | 2mo | $268,900 | $151 | 68 |
| 410 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,785 (+13%) | 2mo | $267,900 | $150 | 68 |
| 430 Harrison Hope Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-12%) | 4mo | $214,900 | $155 | 65 |
| 11507 Gristmill Grange Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.5 | 1,785 (+13%) | 5mo | $256,900 | $144 | 63 |
| 11503 Gristmill Grange Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,388 (-12%) | 5mo | $237,900 | $171 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-49,087
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-60,553
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 1172
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,898/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $-58
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,900 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $259,900 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $259,900 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $259,900 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $259,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $259,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $259,900 Active 11 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,403
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$3,898
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$5,139
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,233
- After-tax cash flow
- $538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 4 photos
This single-story home features a modern kitchen, two bathrooms, and a spacious floor plan. It is in good condition with minimal repairs needed, making it a solid investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can enhance convenience and attract both buyers and tenants.
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can make the bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers.
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract tenants who value energy efficiency.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can enhance convenience and attract both buyers and tenants. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can make the bathrooms more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
- Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract tenants who value energy efficiency. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crosby ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4815750
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,079
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5012
- State rank
- #369 of 826 in TX
Livability — Barrett
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1335
- US rank
- #22991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Barrett, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,780
- Household income
- $92,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 382.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 16% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 21%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.63%
- Current HPI
- 264.0126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.48%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…