🏷️ Likely Rental
2150 Laura St #57 · Springfield, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable Living in a 55+ CommunityLooking for comfort, convenience, and a place to call home? This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home might be exactly what you’ve been waiting for Solid 1972 manufactured home in great condition New HVAC (2019) + Central A/C for year-round comfortUpdated vinyl windows Ramp for easy access Washer & Dryer INCLUDED Two storage sheds = plenty of extra spaceSpace rent: $827/month.
Key facts
- Ramp for easy access
- Central a/c
- Two storage sheds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $956 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.0% vs local median 3.0% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#40 in OR, #934 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, employment D+.
- Springfield SD 19 (suburban): math 19% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #48 of 58 in OR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 102.41%
- DSCR
- 5.56
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $61,929
- List price
- $39,999
- Delta
- -35.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2150 Laura St #81 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 0mo | $26,000 | $31 | 100 |
| 2150 Laura St #65 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 734 (-13%) | 1mo | $46,000 | $63 | 78 |
| 2150 Laura St #12 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-11%) | 10mo | $22,000 | $29 | 74 |
| 2150 Laura St #91 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 15mo | $18,000 | $25 | 64 |
| 416 Lochaven Ave | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 8mo | $314,000 | $327 | 62 |
| 2150 Laura St #90 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (-14%) | 21mo | $35,000 | $48 | 60 |
| 2150 Laura St #25 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+14%) | 21mo | $20,000 | $21 | 58 |
| 1120 W Fairview Dr #10 | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-7%) | 11mo | $80,500 | $103 | 53 |
| 1120 W Fairview Dr #7 | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 728 (-13%) | 10mo | $53,500 | $73 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.12×
- Total profit
- $57,308
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.56×
- Total profit
- $140,696
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97477
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,560 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $956
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $983 | -5% $970 | +0% $956 | +5% $942 | +10% $928 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $833 | -5% $894 | +0% $956 | +5% $1,017 | +10% $1,079 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $976 | -0.5pp $966 | base $956 | +0.5pp $945 | +1.0pp $935 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 363 Lindale Dr Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,522 | $1.96 | 14d | 10 | 0.12mi |
| 2220 Shadylane Dr Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 860 | $1,730 | $2.01 | 21d | 4 | 0.19mi |
| 460 Lindale Dr Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,839 | $2.39 | 14d | 9 | 0.20mi |
| 2255 Shadylane Dr Unit 2253 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2420 Pheasant Blvd Apt 10 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,195 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 565 Harlow Rd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,592 | $1.86 | 14d | 8 | 0.27mi |
| 636 W Quinalt St Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1045 | $1,595 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 668 W Quinalt St Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 243 R St Springfield, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 867 | $1,649 | $1.90 | 44d | 6 | 0.47mi |
| 243 R St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 830 | $1,649 | $1.99 | 14d | 5 | 0.47mi |
| 486 W N St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,345 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 885 Oakdale Ave Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,502 | $1.78 | 21d | 5 | 0.60mi |
| 2555 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,649 | $2.42 | 21d | 14 | 0.61mi |
| 506 W Centennial Blvd Springfield, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1182 | $1,684 | $1.42 | 21d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 506 W Centennial Blvd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,684 | $1.90 | 14d | 4 | 0.68mi |
| 1725 N 5th St Unit P-070 Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,395 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1725 5th St Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,495 | $2.12 | 14d | 9 | 0.84mi |
| 3033 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,700 | $2.27 | 14d | 15 | 0.85mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 844 Mill St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,295 | $1.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3255 Gateway St Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,535 | $2.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 175 G St Unit C Springfield, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 700 1st St Unit 18 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 650 Mill St Unit 18 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1201 R St Unit 3 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1217 R St #5 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 243 F St Unit 20 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,095 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 275 S Garden Way Eugene, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 467 | $1,479 | $3.17 | 14d | 22 | 1.18mi |
| 1253 R St Unit 4 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 745 6th St Springfield, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,295 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 277 Deadmond Ferry Rd Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 843 | $1,750 | $2.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 430 Pioneer Pkwy W Unit 432 Springfield, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,795 | $1.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3440 Westward Ho Ave Unit 3440 Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,995 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 429 Lindley Ln Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3450 McKenna Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $1,720 | $1.53 | 14d | 5 | 1.47mi |
| 375 Marche Chase Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,960 | $2.19 | 14d | 8 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,999 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 420-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,999 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,999 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,999 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $39,999 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $39,999 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-02-16status Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Solid 1972 MH. This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with central A/C and a ramp for easy access. Two storage sheds provide plenty of extra space. Washer & dryer included. Space rent is grandfathered in - call listing agent for details. A solid home in great condition, ready for its next owner! Community AmenitiesClubhouse, Full Kitchen, Fitness Center, Billiards, Dog Park, Laundry Facility, 55+ Community, Pet Friendly. Pics are Temporary!
-
2026-02-16status Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Solid 1972 MH. This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with central A/C and a ramp for easy access. Two storage sheds provide plenty of extra space. Washer & dryer included. Space rent is grandfathered in - call listing agent for details. A solid home in great condition, ready for its next owner! Community AmenitiesClubhouse, Full Kitchen, Fitness Center, Billiards, Dog Park, Laundry Facility, 55+ Community, Pet Friendly. Pics are Temporary!
-
2026-02-05historical Active under Contract 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Affordable Living in a 55+ CommunityLooking for comfort, convenience, and a place to call home? This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home might be exactly what you’ve been waiting for Solid 1972 manufactured home in great condition New HVAC (2019) + Central A/C for year-round comfortUpdated vinyl windows Ramp for easy access Washer & Dryer INCLUDED Two storage sheds = plenty of extra spaceSpace rent: $827/month.
-
2026-02-05status Pending 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Affordable Living in a 55+ CommunityLooking for comfort, convenience, and a place to call home? This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home might be exactly what you’ve been waiting for Solid 1972 manufactured home in great condition New HVAC (2019) + Central A/C for year-round comfortUpdated vinyl windows Ramp for easy access Washer & Dryer INCLUDED Two storage sheds = plenty of extra spaceSpace rent: $827/month.
-
2025-09-27$45,000 Active 427-char remark
Show marketing remark (427 chars)
Affordable Living in a 55+ CommunityLooking for comfort, convenience, and a place to call home? This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home might be exactly what you’ve been waiting for Solid 1972 manufactured home in great condition New HVAC (2019) + Central A/C for year-round comfortUpdated vinyl windows Ramp for easy access Washer & Dryer INCLUDED Two storage sheds = plenty of extra spaceSpace rent: $827/month.
-
2025-09-24$45,000 Active 484-char remark
Show marketing remark (484 chars)
Solid 1972 MH. This well-maintained 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfort and convenience with central A/C and a ramp for easy access. Two storage sheds provide plenty of extra space. Washer & dryer included. Space rent is grandfathered in - call listing agent for details. A solid home in great condition, ready for its next owner! Community AmenitiesClubhouse, Full Kitchen, Fitness Center, Billiards, Dog Park, Laundry Facility, 55+ Community, Pet Friendly. Pics are Temporary!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,717
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $11,518
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,764
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,705/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 19
- NCES district ID
- 4111670
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,236
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7746
- State rank
- #48 of 58 in OR
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #934
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 76,907
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,534
- Household income
- $65,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1817.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -489.08%
- Current HPI
- 299.6863
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — WVMLS
- 2026-02-05 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2026-02-05 Pending — RMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $45,000 RMLS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $45,000 WVMLS
Property tax history
-42.5%/yrLatest (2015): $6 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…