2146 Jackrabbit Dr #2146 · Prescott Valley, AZ
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.
Key facts
- Island with electric
- Huge porch
- Newer appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($145/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Liberty Traditional School (math 56% / reading 53%, grade C, #208 of 1,109 statewide, top 19%, 785 students, 39% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #78 of 218 statewide, top 36%, 280 students, 55% FRL); Bradshaw Mountain High School (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #222 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 1,697 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 464 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 464 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.26%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $386,365
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -48.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2142 Jackrabbit Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,380 (-5%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $134 | 88 |
| 1140 Latigo Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,428 (-2%) | 3mo | $382,000 | $268 | 66 |
| 1200 N Tapadero Dr #1 | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,410 (-3%) | 4mo | $379,000 | $269 | 63 |
| 11250 E State Route 69 #2123 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $141 | 60 |
| 11682 Appaloosa Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+5%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $267 | 56 |
| 1227 N Buena Vis W | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,552 (+7%) | 2mo | $256,000 | $165 | 53 |
| 12140 E Peppertree Way | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,350 (-7%) | 9mo | $367,500 | $272 | 49 |
| 12070 E Pepper Tree Way | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (-11%) | 5mo | $267,500 | $206 | 48 |
| 11080 Manzanita Trl | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,563 (+7%) | 6mo | $400,000 | $256 | 47 |
| 1383 Ironwood Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+12%) | 11mo | $508,000 | $311 | 45 |
| 11250 E State Route 69 #1125 | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-14%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $104 | 44 |
| 864 N Cowboy Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,599 (+10%) | 6mo | $495,000 | $310 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,449
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-26,285
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 17 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.1 mo (32%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $235,500 ($176/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 107 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +50.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86327
- Home prices YoY
- -11.8%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,756 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $12
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $150 | -5% $81 | +0% $12 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-125 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-127 | -5% $-57 | +0% $12 | +5% $81 | +10% $151 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $112 | -0.5pp $63 | base $12 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1298 Tapadero Dr Unit A Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,750 | $1.54 | 70d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1131 Tapadero Dr Dewey, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 93d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 11501 E Wingfoot Ct Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 959 N Old Chisholm Trl Apt 01 Dewey, AZ | 1.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,175 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 873 N Old Chisholm Trl Unit A Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 93d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 887 N Cochise Dr Dewey, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,625 | $1.05 | 70d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1251 Barzona Ave #2 Dewey, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,745 | $1.39 | 93d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 175 N Village Way Dewey, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,720 | $1.58 | 62d | 20 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-08days on market $199,000 Active 464 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $199,000 Active 463 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $199,000 Active 462 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $199,000 Active 461 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $199,000 Active 460 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $199,000 Active 459 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $199,000 Active 456 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $199,000 Active 455 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $199,000 Active 454 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $199,000 Active 452 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $199,000 Active 450 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $199,000 Active 449 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $199,000 Active 448 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $199,000 Active 447 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $199,000 Active 446 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $199,000 Active 443 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $199,000 Active 441 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $199,000 Active 440 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $199,000 Active 439 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $199,000 Active 438 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $199,000 Active 437 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $199,000 Active 436 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $199,000 Active 435 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $199,000 Active 434 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $199,000 Active 433 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $199,000 Active 432 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $199,000 Active 431 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $199,000 Active 430 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $199,000 Active 429 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $199,000 Active 428 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $199,000 Active 427 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $199,000 Active 426 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $199,000 Active 425 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $199,000 Active 424 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $199,000 Active 423 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $199,000 Active 421 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $199,000 Active 419 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $199,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,000 Active 416 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 413 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 403 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 402 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,074
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$2,985
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,686
- − Management
- −$1,686
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable loss
- −$3,214
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$771
- After-tax cash flow
- $917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This double-wide manufactured home is in good condition with a new roof and fresh paint. Minor maintenance and exterior updates would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humboldt Unified District (4469)
- NCES district ID
- 0403870
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,326
- Composite
- 29.06/100
- National rank
- #6605
- State rank
- #94 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Prescott Valley
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #16160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prescott Valley, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 63,155
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,154
- Household income
- $71,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.08%
- Current HPI
- 320.6301
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-13.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $199,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $211,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-28 Price Changed $223,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-01 Listed $228,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…