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2146 Jackrabbit Dr #2146
D+ Composite 49.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

2146 Jackrabbit Dr #2146 · Prescott Valley, AZ 86327
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 416 Days on market
Built 2014 Good condition $137/sqft · 49% below area Est $393k · 49% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.

Key facts

  • Island with electric
  • Huge porch
  • Newer appliances

Tags

HUGE PORCHOPEN LIVING SPACENEWER APPLIANCESISLAND WITH ELECTRICENSUITE WITH DOUBLE SINKSWALK-IN SHOWER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($145/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Prescott Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#126 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Humboldt Unified District (4469) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #94 of 249 in AZ (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.26%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$392,583
List price
$199,000
Delta
-49.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2142 Jackrabbit Dr 0.04mi 2/2.0 1,380 (-5%) 0mo $185,000 $134 89
1140 Latigo Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,428 (-2%) 2mo $382,000 $268 68
1200 N Tapadero Dr #1 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,410 (-3%) 2mo $379,000 $269 64
11250 E State Route 69 #2123 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-8%) 2mo $190,000 $141 61
11682 Appaloosa Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,534 (+5%) 9mo $410,000 $267 57
1227 N Buena Vis W 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,552 (+7%) 1mo $256,000 $165 54
12140 E Peppertree Way 0.67mi 2/2.0 1,350 (-7%) 8mo $367,500 $272 50
12070 E Pepper Tree Way 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-11%) 3mo $267,500 $206 50
11080 Manzanita Trl 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,563 (+7%) 4mo $400,000 $256 48
1383 Ironwood Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+12%) 9mo $508,000 $311 46
11250 E State Route 69 #1125 0.53mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (-14%) 1mo $130,000 $104 46
864 N Cowboy Cir 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,599 (+10%) 4mo $495,000 $310 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-31,449
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-7.4%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-26,285
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86327

Home prices YoY
-11.8%
Active inventory
267
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,756 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax est. 1.5%
$249 /mo · $2,985/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,741
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $150 -5% $81 +0% $12 +5% $-57 +10% $-125
Rent -10% $-127 -5% $-57 +0% $12 +5% $81 +10% $151
Rate -1.0pp $112 -0.5pp $63 base $12 +0.5pp $-39 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1298 Tapadero Dr Unit A Dewey, AZ 2.0 2.0 1134 $1,750 $1.54 22d 1 0.33mi
1131 Tapadero Dr Dewey, AZ 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,695 $1.07 44d 1 0.50mi
11501 E Wingfoot Ct Dewey, AZ 2.0 2.5 1467 $2,200 $1.50 44d 1 0.60mi
959 N Old Chisholm Trl Apt 01 Dewey, AZ 1.0 2.0 960 $1,175 $1.22 44d 1 0.66mi
873 N Old Chisholm Trl Unit A Dewey, AZ 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 44d 1 0.74mi
887 N Cochise Dr Dewey, AZ 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,625 $1.05 22d 1 0.98mi
1251 Barzona Ave #2 Dewey, AZ 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,745 $1.39 44d 1 1.22mi
175 N Village Way Dewey, AZ 2.0–3.0 2.0 1088 $1,720 $1.58 14d 20 1.49mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,000 Active 416 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 413 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 412 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 411 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 410 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 408 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,000 Active 407 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,000 Active 405 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 404 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 403 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,000 Active 402 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,000 Active 397 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,000 Active 396 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,000 Active 395 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,000 Active 394 DOM
  16. 2026-04-08
    price $199,000 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.

  17. 2026-01-11
    price $211,900 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.

  18. 2025-06-28
    price $223,900 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.

  19. 2025-05-01
    listed $228,900 Active 840-char remark
    Show marketing remark (840 chars)

    MOTOVATED SELLER!! LOWEST PRICE FOR IT'S SIZE! Check out this beautiful Double Wide MFG CAVCO 1456 SQFT 2BD 2BA. New Roof Installed 11/2025. Relax on the huge porch w/ roll up shades, Enter through front door to large open living space with Large Open ,Kitchen and Dining. Kitchen all electric with newer appliances plus Island w/electric. Primary bedroom fits King size bed, has ensuite with double sinks and walk-in shower. Guest bedroom fits queen and guest bath has tub/shower. Separate laundry room and side door to extra large storage shed and tandem carport w/ sun screens. lot lease of $625 does not include electric, water or trash. Full access to both Clubhouses, pool/spa, pickle ball, fitness room and much more. Close to shopping, hospitals, restaurants and just an hour drive South to Phoenix. and North to Sedona/Flagstaff.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,074
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$2,985
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,686
− Management
−$1,686
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$3,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$771
After-tax cash flow
$917/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This double-wide manufactured home is in good condition with a new roof and fresh paint. Minor maintenance and exterior updates would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace or clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humboldt Unified District (4469)
NCES district ID
0403870
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$45,326
Composite
29.06/100
National rank
#6605
State rank
#94 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Prescott Valley

Score
62/100
State rank
#126
US rank
#16160

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Prescott Valley, AZ
County
Yavapai County · 190,406 people
City population
63,155
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
Population (ZIP)
12,154
Household income
$71,512
Rent vs Own
9.0% rent · 91.0% own
Severe rent burden
70.0

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
241,389 people
By 2030
249,523 · +3.4%
By 2040
259,966 · +7.7%
By 2050
264,736 · +9.7%
By 2075
269,334 · +11.6%
By 2100
256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
320.6301
Rent YoY
Metro
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $199,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $211,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-28 Price Changed $223,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-01 Listed $228,900 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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