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1112 Mill Ave
D+ Composite 45.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

1112 Mill Ave · High Point, NC 27260
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,423 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1917 6,534 sqft lot Est $192k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3-bedroom and 1-bath home offering Large kitchen and dining room. Great property for rental or personal use.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1917
  • Listed 45 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From 29S, take Surrett Drive Exit, left on Surrett Dr., left onto W Market Center Dr., right on Fowler Place, left on Mill Ave.
  • HOA & community: No association; Subdivision: Highland Cotton Mills

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential, stick/site built house; One story; Built in 1917; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Public-maintained road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acre; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Multiple main-level bedrooms (rooms on Main level)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating using natural gas
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located on the main floor
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-559/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (25.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities D, employment D.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 128 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,067 (25.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.33%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,105
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1614 Connor Pl 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,216 (-14%) 11mo $202,000 $166 58
816 Tryon Ave 0.61mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,482 (+4%) 2mo $200,000 $135 52
812 Tryon Ave 0.60mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,492 (+5%) 2mo $190,000 $127 52
608 Vail Ave 0.66mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,483 (+4%) 4mo $200,000 $135 48
800 George Pl 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,483 (+4%) 6mo $200,000 $135 47
610 Vail Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,492 (+5%) 13mo $190,000 $127 41
810 Mobile St 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,326 (-7%) 9mo $175,000 $132 40
700 Vail Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (-8%) 9mo $190,000 $146 39
801 Amos St 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (-12%) 6mo $200,000 $160 34
708 Vail Ave 0.66mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,583 (+11%) 14mo $200,000 $126 28
707 Langford Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (-14%) 13mo $240,000 $195 25
705 Langford Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (-14%) 13mo $226,000 $184 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-26,588
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-24,190
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27260

Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
128
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,111 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $905/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$-47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,170
Max offer price $141,675
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $38 -5% $-4 +0% $-47 +5% $-89 +10% $-131
Rent -10% $-134 -5% $-90 +0% $-47 +5% $-3 +10% $41
Rate -1.0pp $29 -0.5pp $-8 base $-47 +0.5pp $-85 +1.0pp $-125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1009 Cassell St High Point, NC 3.0 1.0 975 $1,050 $1.08 24d 1 0.45mi
2004 Edgewood Dr High Point, NC 3.0 1.0 962 $1,350 $1.40 24d 1 1.20mi
304 Ardale Dr Unit 1B High Point, NC 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,050 $1.05 24d 1 1.32mi
310 Ardale Dr Unit 1B High Point, NC 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 24d 1 1.37mi
312 Ardale Dr High Point, NC 2.0 2.5–3.0 1024 $1,050 $1.03 24d 2 1.39mi
314 Ardale Dr High Point, NC 2.0 2.0–3.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 24d 3 1.40mi
1110 Adams St High Point, NC 3.0 1.0 1278 $1,340 $1.05 24d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $149,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    status $149,900 Pending 38 DOM
  7. 2026-05-06
    historical Due Diligence Period
  8. 2026-04-21
    listed $149,900 Active
  9. 2024-03-11
    soldstatus $100,000
  10. 2012-04-27
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$905 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,229 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$324/yr (+$27/mo · 35.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,328
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$905
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,066
− Management
−$1,066
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$3,217
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$772
After-tax cash flow
$213/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — High Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#3084

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
High Point, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
102,450
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
25,299
Household income
$42,308
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
1005.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 20% White 15% Asian 10% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.22%
Current HPI
159.2101
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+899.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $149,900 Triad MLS
  • 2024-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $905 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…