4044 Oakview Dr · Charlotte Harbor, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$196,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious three bedroom condo with two full bath, a screened in lanai and lake views from all windows. Beautifully remodeled, with new appliances, air conditioner, comfortable furniture and professionally decorated. Located in Tala Lake Condo Association between I-75 and US-41, close to the airport, work, shopping, restaurants and recreation. There is one carport parking spot and additional uncovered parking. Association amenities include a screened in pool, community center, hot tub, picnic areas, and bbq grills. The Association is a 55 plus community a great balance sheet.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Lake views
- Screened in pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $196k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#536 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 600 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.69%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-14,363
- Equity at exit
- $29,224
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-7,081
- Equity at exit
- $16,946
Cash invested: $54,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33980
- Home prices YoY
- -5.0%
- Rents YoY
- -4.0%
- Active inventory
- 600
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,276 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,028
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$245 /mo · $2,940/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $512 | -5% $444 | +0% $377 | +5% $309 | +10% $241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $197 | -5% $287 | +0% $377 | +5% $467 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $475 | -0.5pp $427 | base $377 | +0.5pp $326 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,000
- Closing costs
- $5,880
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4056 Oakview Dr Unit E7 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $3,000 | $3.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 4016 Oakview Dr Unit J9 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $2,400 | $2.69 | 22d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4024 Oakview Dr Unit I3 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $1,900 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 24717 Snook Ave Unit 11 D Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 25038 Harborview Rd Unit B Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,600 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 25068 Harbor View Rd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,500 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 24055 Peaceful Brook Loop Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2138 | $2,183 | $1.02 | 15d | 4 | 0.69mi |
| 23465 Harborview Rd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,975 | $1.33 | 22d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 24145 Green Heron Dr Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 23491 Harper Ave Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,450 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5125 Melbourne St Unit E201 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1831 | $1,750 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5125 Melbourne St Unit E201 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1831 | $1,750 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5116 Melbourne St Unit B303 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $5,000 | $2.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5116 Melbourne St Unit B204 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5119 Melbourne St Unit C201 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1831 | $4,500 | $2.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5119 Melbourne St Unit Reservation spot 1 Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $4,500 | $2.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5117 Melbourne St Unit B4302 Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 23367 Mayville Ave Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,979
- − Property taxes
- −$2,940
- − Insurance
- −$1,778
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,184
- − Management
- −$2,184
- − Depreciation
- −$5,702
- Taxable income
- $1,539
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$369
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Charlotte Harbor
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #536
- US rank
- #10043
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charlotte Harbor, FL
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,120
- Household income
- $63,591
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 612.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Hispanic 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.02%
- Current HPI
- 306.3331
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.04%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…