5900 64th St NE #30 · Marysville, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- ARV discount +2.5/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 months FREE SPACE RENT right now (check with Glenwood for terms). Come and see this spacious home nestled at end of culdesac in 55+ Glenwood Mobile Estates! BRAND NEW carpet just installed- all carpet replaced, and NEW vinyl plank flooring in primary bath too!! This home is truly MOVE IN READY! Over 1500 square feet, open floorplan, lots of storage, efficient pellet stove, newer heat pump (air conditioning for those hot days!), beautiful plantation shutters. The kitchen features Corian counters, brand new dishwasher, plenty of cabinet & counter space. Primary bedroom with double closets and large bathroom, soaking tub, dual sinks, vanity. Second bedroom has access to bathroom with l
Key facts
- Corian counters
- Brand new dishwasher
- Double closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 442 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.46%
- DSCR
- 3.07
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,974
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- 11.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5900 64th St NE #132 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $44 | 88 |
| 5900 64th St NE #18 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $80 | 86 |
| 5900 64th St NE #49 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-3%) | 17mo | $110,000 | $76 | 82 |
| 5900 64th St NE #225 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,324 (-10%) | 4mo | $117,000 | $88 | 79 |
| 5900 64th Street Ct NE #37 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $86 | 79 |
| 5900 64th St NE #232 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $112 | 74 |
| 5900 64th St NE #187 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-12%) | 0mo | $79,000 | $61 | 74 |
| 5900 64th St NE #100 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 20mo | $125,000 | $87 | 74 |
| 5900 64th St NE #197 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-3%) | 22mo | $77,500 | $54 | 72 |
| 5900 64th St NE #219 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+8%) | 16mo | $120,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 5900 64th St NE #185 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-9%) | 19mo | $80,000 | $60 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $54,877
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 47.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.31×
- Total profit
- $132,604
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98270
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 442
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,472 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$519
- Net cashflow
- $1,193
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,269 | -5% $1,231 | +0% $1,193 | +5% $1,155 | +10% $1,117 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $997 | -5% $1,095 | +0% $1,193 | +5% $1,290 | +10% $1,388 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,248 | -0.5pp $1,221 | base $1,193 | +0.5pp $1,164 | +1.0pp $1,135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6110 64th St NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $1,885 | $2.17 | 0d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 5127 61st St NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,795 | $2.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 6526 67th Pl NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $3,100 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 6514 69th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $3,700 | $2.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1926 1st St Apt C Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 933 | $1,595 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5705 Grove St Apt 8 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,995 | $2.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6300 Grove St Unit A Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $3,100 | $3.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7015 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 13d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 7111 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 637 | $2,025 | $3.18 | 6d | 3 | 0.98mi |
| 7119 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,950 | $1.73 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7234 47th Ave NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,018 | $2.12 | 6d | 2 | 1.11mi |
| 7625 51st Ave NE Unit A Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $2,195 | $1.71 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4203 Sunnyside Blvd Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1518 7th St #4 Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 19d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4511 73rd Pl NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,995 | $2.22 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4817 76th St NE Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 995 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1100 Columbia Ave Marysville, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,825 | $2.40 | 2d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 7924 67th St NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1282 | $2,800 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4453 74th Dr NE Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $2,950 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1024 Cedar Ave Apt B Marysville, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,795 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4000 76th St NE #52 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,700 | $2.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1031 Cedar Ave Unit 102 Marysville, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 26 events
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2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $110,000
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2026-02-20$122,900 Active
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2018-06-27soldstatus $77,500 Sold
-
2018-06-02status Pending
-
2018-05-28price $77,500
-
2018-05-22price $79,950
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2018-04-29price $84,950
-
2018-04-24status Active
-
2018-04-14status Pending Inspection
-
2018-04-14$89,950 Active
-
2012-06-05historical
-
2012-05-24soldstatus $37,500 Sold
-
2012-05-09status Pending
-
2012-04-25status Pending Inspection
-
2012-04-20$39,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,373
- − Management
- −$2,373
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $13,354
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,205
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304860
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,461
- Composite
- 41.31/100
- National rank
- #7367
- State rank
- #177 of 291 in WA
Livability — Marysville
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marysville, WA
- County
- Snohomish County · 786,756 people
- City population
- 85,887
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,049
- Household income
- $108,147
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1150.0
Population outlook (Snohomish County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 899,800 people
- By 2030
- 960,975 · +6.8%
- By 2040
- 1,074,447 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 1,171,954 · +30.2%
- By 2075
- 1,384,849 · +53.9%
- By 2100
- 1,497,296 · +66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Snohomish
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.0) · D 57.8% · R 38.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 18.9pp · 2024: 19.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.0 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.52%
- Current HPI
- 321.1535
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.66%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+178.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $110,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Listed $122,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-27 Sold (MLS) $77,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-02 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-28 Price Changed $77,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-22 Price Changed $79,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-29 Price Changed $84,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-24 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-14 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-14 Listed $89,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-05 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-24 Sold (MLS) $37,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-25 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-20 Listed $39,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-15.5%/yrLatest (2026): $22 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…