2243 W 4th St · Davenport, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here your chance to do a full interior rehab! 3 bed 1 full bath on upper level and 1/2 bath on main level. 2 car garage and fully fenced backyard. Property is a fixer upper. New roof, siding & some new windows in 2024. Sold as is. Homes sustained some interior fire damage. Seller is super motivated and will entertain all offers. Property is Vacant. Show anytime!
Key facts
- Some new windows
- New siding
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $722 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.4% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 96.75%
- DSCR
- 5.30
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,721
- List price
- $32,000
- Delta
- -77.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2243 W 4th St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,408 (0%) | 0mo | $22,500 | $16 | 100 |
| 1854 W 8th St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,417 (+1%) | 2mo | $49,500 | $35 | 68 |
| 121 Wellman Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (+9%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $94 | 60 |
| 2006 Claussen St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,253 (-11%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $100 | 59 |
| 125 S Birchwood Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+12%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 2827 W 13th St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+3%) | 3mo | $173,500 | $120 | 52 |
| 1716 W 7th St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,483 (+5%) | 3mo | $63,500 | $43 | 49 |
| 2614 Mckinley Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (-9%) | 2mo | $106,500 | $83 | 48 |
| 3103 Fairview St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,258 (-11%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $107 | 47 |
| 520 S Clark St | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,250 (-11%) | 4mo | $94,900 | $76 | 44 |
| 2217 W 13th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-15%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $131 | 40 |
| 1203 N Thornwood Ave | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+14%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $113 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.56×
- Total profit
- $40,849
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.59×
- Total profit
- $94,914
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52802
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $602/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $722
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 445 Waverly Rd Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 301 S Thornwood Ave Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,395 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1912 Dixwell St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 510 S Lincoln Ave Davenport, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $1,195 | $1.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1716 W 7th St Davenport, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1278 | $1,712 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1607 W 12th St Davenport, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $740 | $0.93 | 44d | 3 | 0.91mi |
| 1341 W 4th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 979 | $1,394 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1455 W 12th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,095 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1723 W Locust St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1690 | $1,395 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-02-07status Active
-
2026-01-28price $32,000
-
2026-01-16status Active
-
2026-01-14historical
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-11-18price
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-10-31status Active
-
2025-10-07historical Under Contract
-
2025-08-13price
-
2025-07-01Active
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2020-09-02soldstatus $100,000
-
2018-02-02soldstatus $25,500
-
2009-11-06soldstatus $44,000
-
2009-11-04soldstatus $40,000
-
2009-11-04soldstatus $40,000
-
2009-08-03$40,000
-
2009-08-03$40,000
-
2005-09-09soldstatus $74,500
-
2005-08-29soldstatus $75,000
-
2005-07-13$76,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $602 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $602 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,487
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$602
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $8,683
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davenport Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908580
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,157
- Composite
- 39.49/100
- National rank
- #3951
- State rank
- #288 of 289 in IA
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #2312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, IA
- County
- Scott County · 144,583 people
- City population
- 103,319
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,466
- Household income
- $54,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 244.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 188,878 people
- By 2030
- 196,648 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 210,860 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 224,359 · +18.8%
- By 2075
- 258,884 · +37.1%
- By 2100
- 286,447 · +51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.59%
- Current HPI
- 151.2076
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-58.4% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $32,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-01 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records
- 2009-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2009-11-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-04 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-03 Listed $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-03 Listed $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records
- 2005-08-29 Sold (MLS) $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-13 Listed $76,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $602 · -74.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…