37 Roth Ave · Mertztown, PA 19539

$30,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured public records

Built 1988

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* more pictures coming of the 3 bedrooms!! ?? Almost Fully Updated 3-Bedroom Home in Country View Mobile Home Park & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Brandywine Heights SD ?? Welcome to peaceful country living in the highly sought-after Brandywine Heights School District! This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home in Country View Mobile Home Park (Mertztown) offers comfort, affordability, and major upgrades & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; making it a fantastic opportunity for homeowners or investors alike. Step inside to a spacious, fully refinished living room featuring brand-new hardwood floors and subflooring (2025) & acirc; & euro; & rdquo; a warm an

Key facts

• Built 1988

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#978 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Brandywine Heights Area SD (suburban): math 48% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #241 of 658 in PA (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.50% ✓
• Cap rate: 58.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 184.96%
• DSCR: 9.23
• GRM: 1.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $90,160
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
25 Roth Ave	0.05mi	3/1.0	924 (-6%)	6mo	$45,000	$49	83
41 Roth Ave	0.01mi	2/2.0 (-1)	924 (-6%)	11mo	$85,000	$92	71

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 10.24×
• Total profit: $77,655
• Equity at exit: $4,473

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 21.72×
• Total profit: $174,020
• Equity at exit: $2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 19539

• Home prices YoY: -5.1%
• Active inventory: 26
• Price-to-rent: 1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,950 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$157
• Tax from tax record: −$76 /mo · $911/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$410
• Net cashflow: $1,295

Break-even live

Break-even rent $311

Max offer price $30,000

Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,500
• Closing costs: $900
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
17 Barclay St Mertztown, PA	2.0	1.5	1000	$1,950	$1.95	43d	1	0.60mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-26
   listed $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $911 · $76/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $911 · $76/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,680
• − Property taxes: −$911
• − Insurance: −$150
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,872
• − Management: −$1,872
• − Depreciation: −$873
• Taxable income: $16,042
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,850
• After-tax cash flow: $11,687/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brandywine Heights Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4204050
• Math proficiency: 48% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 66% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $62,904
• Composite: 51.52/100
• National rank: #3670
• State rank: #241 of 658 in PA

Livability — Mertztown

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #978
• US rank: #10699

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 4,112

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 425,767 people
• By 2030: 428,814 · +0.7%
• By 2040: 433,463 · +1.8%
• By 2050: 439,426 · +3.2%
• By 2075: 478,647 · +12.4%
• By 2100: 518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Polish 9% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

• 2024 margin: R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -14.38%
• Current HPI: 269.7792
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $911 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.