Triplex
873 E Prospect St · York, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to 873 E Prospect St, a turnkey three-unit property located in the East End of York City. This detached multifamily property is an excellent opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants looking to house hack. Each of the three units features two bedrooms and one full bathroom, with projected market rents of approximately $1,100 per month per unit. With all units occupied at market rent, the property offers a potential annual gross rental income of $39,600. Utilities are investor-friendly, with gas and electric separately metered for each unit. The owner pays water, sewer, and trash, with the option to bill those expenses back to tenants. Whether you're looking to expand your i
Key facts
- 6,630 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total of 3 residential units; Three vacant units
Exterior
- Parking: Private parking; Three off-street spaces; On-street parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding and aluminum siding; Permanent foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Detached structure; Above-grade and below-grade other structures; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three 2‑bedroom units (multi-unit property)
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Baseboard hot water; Natural gas heating and hot water
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $197/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $320k).
- Recommended offer: $310k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.9% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#427 in PA, #3,987 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, employment F.
- York City SD (urban): math 4% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #534 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,481/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1305% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $320k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.93%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,424
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257 E College Ave | 0.64mi | 3/— | 2,400 (-3%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 831 E Market St | 0.51mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,406 (-3%) | 13mo | $240,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 908 Mt Rose Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,116 (-14%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $76 | 51 |
| 1401 2nd Ave | 0.66mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,340 (-5%) | 6mo | $236,500 | $101 | 50 |
| 665 E Philadelphia St | 0.64mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,320 (-6%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $82 | 48 |
| 206 S Pine St | 0.65mi | 4/— (+1) | 2,584 (+4%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $81 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-9,057
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $62,177
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 23.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,481 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$347 /mo · $4,170/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$731
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $773 | -5% $682 | +0% $592 | +5% $501 | +10% $411 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $454 | +0% $592 | +5% $729 | +10% $867 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $753 | -0.5pp $673 | base $592 | +0.5pp $509 | +1.0pp $424 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,480 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,481 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Dallas St Apt 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1924 | $1,225 | $0.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 511 E Philadelphia St Unit 2 York, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2194 | $895 | $0.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 339 E Market St Unit 1 York, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 983 E Philadelphia St Unit 1ST FLOOR York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2268 | $925 | $0.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 119 W Jackson St York, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,395 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 175 W Gay Ave York, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,650 | $1.35 | 14d | 2 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $319,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $319,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $319,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $319,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $319,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $319,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $319,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $319,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $319,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $319,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $319,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $319,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $319,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $319,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $319,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $319,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-22$319,900 Active
-
2026-05-18historical $319,900
-
2022-03-03soldstatus $115,000
-
2016-07-21soldstatus $35,000
-
1998-07-13soldstatus $34,200
-
1997-10-16soldstatus $40,000
-
1995-10-03soldstatus $79,900
-
1991-09-10soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,170 · $347/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,612 · $384/mo
- Expected delta
- +$442/yr (+$37/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$4,170
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,342
- − Management
- −$3,342
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable income
- $2,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226820
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,470
- Composite
- 7.61/100
- National rank
- #9943
- State rank
- #534 of 539 in PA
Livability — York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #427
- US rank
- #3987
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+433.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $319,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-18 Coming Soon $319,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1998-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $34,200 Public Records
- 1997-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1995-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
- 1991-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,170 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…