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33 Hillhurst Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 60.93
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$399,000

33 Hillhurst Ave · New Britain, CT 06053
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,858 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1928 7,405 sqft lot Est $523k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

3Brs each unit .Enclosed front & rear porches walk up attic could give 2nd moreroom

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 8 parking spots
  • Built 1928

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking; Paved parking; 8 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Multi-family 2-family property
  • Construction: Frame and brick construction; Stone foundation; Red and white exterior color
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Aluminum and brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Private paved driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Natural gas hot water; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 10 rooms; Full, unfinished basement with concrete floor; Walk-up attic
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry hook-ups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $86/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $380k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $380k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.2% in New Britain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#67 in CT, #4,936 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • New Britain School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #153 of 153 in CT (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Diloreto Elementary & Middle School (math 4% / reading 15%, grade F, #522 of 553 statewide, top 95%, 842 students, 73% FRL); Slade Middle School (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #174 of 175 statewide, top 99%, 795 students, 77% FRL); New Britain High School (math 10% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 194 statewide, top 83%, 2,331 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools at 74% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,805/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 1835% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $144k; list at $399k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $380,500 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$523,014
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33 Hillhurst Ave 0.00mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,858 (0%) 0mo $487,000 $170 95
272 Burritt St 0.64mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,771 (-3%) 1mo $506,000 $183 56
19 Pulaski St 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,618 (-8%) 8mo $440,000 $168 52
116 Miller St 0.72mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,838 (-1%) 10mo $491,000 $173 48
8 Albany Ave 0.55mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,496 (-13%) 6mo $480,000 $192 43
222 Bond St 0.54mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,604 (-9%) 16mo $480,000 $184 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$235,881
Equity at exit
$359,451
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
7.29×
Total profit
$702,890
Equity at exit
$775,169

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06053

Home prices YoY
15.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
17.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,805 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax from tax record
$576 /mo · $6,914/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$799
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,588
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $397 -5% $284 +0% $171 +5% $58 +10% $-55
Rent -10% $-129 -5% $21 +0% $171 +5% $321 +10% $472
Rate -1.0pp $372 -0.5pp $273 base $171 +0.5pp $68 +1.0pp $-37

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,805

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
146 Sterling St New Britain, CT 4.0 1.0 2786 $2,700 $0.97 3d 1 0.32mi
45 Union St New Britain, CT 5.0 2.0 2060 $2,800 $1.36 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $399,000 Under Contract 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 41 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Under Contract - Continue to Show 40 DOM
  5. 2026-04-29
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  6. 2026-04-22
    listed $399,000 Active
  7. 2026-04-20
    historical $399,000
  8. 2004-01-20
    soldstatus $144,000
  9. 2004-01-16
    soldstatus $144,000 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    3Brs each unit .Enclosed front & rear porches walk up attic could give 2nd moreroom

  10. 2003-09-09
    listed $144,998 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    3Brs each unit .Enclosed front & rear porches walk up attic could give 2nd moreroom

  11. 2001-12-03
    soldstatus $120,000
  12. 2001-11-30
    soldstatus $120,000 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (169 chars)

    This brick two-family home features 5 rooms on each floor and front porches too!There is lots of space, high ceilings and large windows. Walk up attic includes plumbing.

  13. 2001-09-17
    listed $129,900 169-char remark
    Show marketing remark (169 chars)

    This brick two-family home features 5 rooms on each floor and front porches too!There is lots of space, high ceilings and large windows. Walk up attic includes plumbing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,914 · $576/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,726 · $644/mo
Expected delta
+$812/yr (+$68/mo · 11.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,660
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$6,914
− Insurance
−$1,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,653
− Management
−$3,653
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable loss
−$4,512
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,083
After-tax cash flow
$3,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Britain School District
NCES district ID
0902670
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,827
Composite
9.95/100
National rank
#9816
State rank
#153 of 153 in CT

Livability — New Britain

Score
74/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#4936

Category grades

Amenities C Commute B Cost of living A Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Britain, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
66,322
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
36,774
Household income
$62,645
Rent vs Own
48.9% rent · 51.1% own
Severe rent burden
1835.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Lithuanian 3% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
50% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 65.76%
Current HPI
491.4724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.94%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+207.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $399,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $399,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-16 Sold (MLS) $144,000 Smart MLS
  • 2003-09-09 Listed $144,998 Smart MLS
  • 2001-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-30 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Smart MLS
  • 2001-09-17 Listed $129,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,914 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…