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406 Earl Perkins Rd
B Composite 74.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,950

406 Earl Perkins Rd · Pitkin, LA 70656
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,182 sqft · SingleFamily · 167 Days on market
Built 1980 2.11 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

Key facts

  • Slab foundation
  • Septic sewer system
  • Fenced yard

Tags

SLAB FOUNDATIONWELL WATERSEPTIC SEWER SYSTEMCOVERED PATIOFENCED YARDSTORAGE BUILDING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#102 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($692 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $87,956 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.70%
Cash-on-cash
15.74%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$42,095
Equity at exit
$52,026
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$109,343
Equity at exit
$86,187

Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70656

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,499/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,950
Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $436 -5% $402 +0% $367 +5% $332 +10% $298
Rent -10% $261 -5% $314 +0% $367 +5% $420 +10% $473
Rate -1.0pp $417 -0.5pp $392 base $367 +0.5pp $341 +1.0pp $315

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,988
Closing costs
$2,998
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on market $99,950 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,950 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,950 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,950 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,950 Active 163 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,950 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,950 Active 160 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,950 Active 157 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,950 Active 156 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,950 Active 155 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,950 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,950 Active 151 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,950 Active 150 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,950 Active 149 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,950 Active 148 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,950 Active 147 DOM
  17. 2026-05-18
    price $109,950 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

  18. 2026-04-14
    price $119,950 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

  19. 2026-03-17
    price $129,950 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

  20. 2026-02-19
    price $139,950 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

  21. 2026-01-03
    listed $149,950 Active 600-char remark
    Show marketing remark (600 chars)

    Welcome home to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom ranch-style home on 2.11 acres in the quiet Pitkin community. With 2,182 square feet of total finished living space, this single-family residence is built on a durable slab foundation. The property offers a serene rural lifestyle, with well water and a septic sewer system in place. The comfortable interior features a fireplace, dishwasher, and laundry hookups for your convenience. The property also includes a large, covered patio, fenced yard, and storage building. Enjoy the peaceful country setting on a large lot with plenty of room to roam.

  22. 2014-02-06
    soldstatus 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR PEACE AND QUIET THIS IS THE PLACE FOR YOU! THERE IS A PROBLEM WITH THE SLAB, THE SELLERS HAS AN ESTIMATE ON GETTING IT REPAIRED. THE COST OF THE REPAIR IS INCLUDED THE IN THE SALES PRICE. THE WORK WILL BE DONE AFTER CLOSING AND THE COST WILL COME FROM SELLERS PROCEEDS OR YOU CAN BUY IT AS IS FOR $105,000.

  23. 2013-03-18
    listed $125,000 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR PEACE AND QUIET THIS IS THE PLACE FOR YOU! THERE IS A PROBLEM WITH THE SLAB, THE SELLERS HAS AN ESTIMATE ON GETTING IT REPAIRED. THE COST OF THE REPAIR IS INCLUDED THE IN THE SALES PRICE. THE WORK WILL BE DONE AFTER CLOSING AND THE COST WILL COME FROM SELLERS PROCEEDS OR YOU CAN BUY IT AS IS FOR $105,000.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,067
− Mortgage interest
−$5,599
− Property taxes
−$1,499
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,285
− Management
−$1,285
− Depreciation
−$2,908
Taxable income
$2,991
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$718
After-tax cash flow
$3,686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Pitkin

Score
68/100
State rank
#102
US rank
#10090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,488

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.23%
Current HPI
91.0868
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $109,950 GFPAR
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $119,950 GFPAR
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $129,950 GFPAR
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $139,950 GFPAR
  • 2026-01-03 Listed $149,950 GFPAR
  • 2014-02-06 Sold (MLS) GFPAR
  • 2013-03-18 Listed $125,000 GFPAR

Property tax history

-20.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $52 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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