1848 W 163rd St · Markham, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.3/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming residence located in Markham, IL. This home boasts spacious living areas, offering a comfortable atmosphere for relaxation and entertainment. The kitchen is designed with functionality in mind, featuring ample cabinetry and counter space. The bedrooms provide ample natural light, creating a warm and inviting environment. The backyard is appropriate for outdoor activities, providing a private retreat. Conveniently located near local amenities and transportation options.
Key facts
- Ample counter space
- Ample natural light
- Ample cabinetry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession negotiable
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Brick construction; Shake roof; Built 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Other exterior features; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 165
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (10 x 7)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (10 x 10); Two additional bedrooms on the main level (each 10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 9)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#186 in IL, #3,539 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities D, employment D.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $117k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.70%
- DSCR
- 1.83
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $141,102
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16221 Hermitage Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,044 (-1%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $184 | 87 |
| 16300 Winchester Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (-4%) | 2mo | $97,500 | $96 | 87 |
| 16444 Wolcott Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+3%) | 3mo | $112,500 | $104 | 80 |
| 1945 W 163rd St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (+13%) | 4mo | $159,500 | $134 | 70 |
| 16019 Myrtle Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-4%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 16207 Justine St | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+4%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $195 | 61 |
| 16628 Winchester Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,134 (+8%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $74 | 60 |
| 16807 Wood St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 985 (-6%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $91 | 58 |
| 16784 Trapet Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 970 (-8%) | 1mo | $96,000 | $99 | 52 |
| 16735 Dixie Hwy | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 965 (-8%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $159 | 51 |
| 16727 Head Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,150 (+9%) | 1mo | $157,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 16619 Marshfield Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+9%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $209 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $119,403
- Equity at exit
- $130,627
- IRR
- 32.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.89×
- Total profit
- $320,211
- Equity at exit
- $281,703
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60428
- Home prices YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $633
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $715 | -5% $674 | +0% $633 | +5% $592 | +10% $551 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $452 | -5% $542 | +0% $633 | +5% $723 | +10% $813 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $706 | -0.5pp $670 | base $633 | +0.5pp $595 | +1.0pp $557 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16125 Marshfield Ave Markham, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 16751 Crane Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 0d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 16752 Artesian Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $2,500 | $2.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2308 170th St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,400 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2107 171st St Unit 2107 Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1158 | $2,300 | $1.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2173 171st St Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 16048 Halsted St Unit 2 Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,650 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-02-09status Active
-
2026-01-26status Pending
-
2025-11-03status Active
-
2025-10-30soldstatus $117,000
-
2025-10-29historical
-
2025-10-24status Active
-
2025-10-17status Pending
-
2025-10-12$145,000 Active
-
2025-07-28historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2025-07-25historical
-
2025-07-24Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,202 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,202 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$4,202
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,192
- − Management
- −$2,192
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $5,746
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,379
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Markham
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #186
- US rank
- #3539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Markham, IL
- City population
- 10,980
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,980
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% White 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 302.333
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-19.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $117,000 Public Records
- 2025-10-29 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-12 Listed $145,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-28 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-25 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-24 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2023): $4,202 · +488.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…