1708 Walker Ln · Greenville, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 35.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 8,007 sq ft lot
- Built 1955
- Listed 110 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family ranch residence
- Construction: Asbestos exterior material; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.5% in Greenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#284 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Greenville Public Schools (town): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #126 of 130 in MS (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 35% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.11%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,384
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Neff St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,387 (+4%) | 4mo | $30,000 | $22 | 58 |
| 212 Fava Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-1%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 1617 East David Cir | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,470 (+11%) | 16mo | $110,250 | $75 | 53 |
| 1573 Alden Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (+8%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $125 | 52 |
| 1472 Francis | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,230 (-7%) | 18mo | $42,500 | $35 | 52 |
| 411 Giddens St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,413 (+6%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $53 | 48 |
| 473 Jo Ann Cir | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-7%) | 22mo | $63,000 | $51 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $5,589
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $30,722
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38701
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $314
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1462 S Colorado St Greenville, MS | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,358 | $1.18 | 43d | 4 | 0.86mi |
| 250 Cypress Ln Greenville, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 807 | $959 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-02-27$89,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 35% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,600
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,155
- − Management
- −$1,155
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$603
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2801620
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $26,432
- Composite
- 5.27/100
- National rank
- #10035
- State rank
- #126 of 130 in MS
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #284
- US rank
- #21778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenville, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,260
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,424 people
- By 2030
- 38,061 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 31,752 · -23.3%
- By 2050
- 26,394 · -36.3%
- By 2075
- 17,180 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 12,936 · -68.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 24% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.75%
- Current HPI
- 52.6126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-27 Listed $89,000 Greenville Area MLS
Property tax history
+60.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,600 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…