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8695 Evergreen Ave
B- Composite 66.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

8695 Evergreen Ave · Detroit, MI 48228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1949 4,792 sqft lot $108/sqft · 61% above area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Practical layout
  • Full bathroom

Tags

WARRENDALE NEIGHBORHOODPRACTICAL LAYOUTGENEROUS LIVING AREASFULL BATHROOMPRIME LOCATIONNEAR SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.90%
Cash-on-cash
20.03%
DSCR
1.89
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,177
List price
$75,000
Delta
58.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8645 Fielding St 0.25mi 2/1.0 693 (+0%) 2mo $39,000 $56 86
8411 Fielding St 0.32mi 2/1.0 693 (+0%) 1mo $47,000 $68 84
9107 Vaughan St 0.27mi 2/1.0 732 (+6%) 12mo $47,000 $64 68
8499 Braile St 0.39mi 2/1.0 726 (+5%) 8mo $55,000 $76 67
8257 Minock St 0.34mi 2/1.0 737 (+6%) 8mo $32,000 $43 67
9101 Heyden St 0.28mi 2/1.0 740 (+7%) 13mo $40,000 $54 64
8062 Grandville Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 732 (+6%) 6mo $60,000 $82 60
9271 Minock St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 736 (+6%) 12mo $85,714 $116 54
8900 Artesian St 0.55mi 2/1.0 746 (+8%) 10mo $35,000 $47 53
9046 Grandville Ave 0.40mi 2/1.0 787 (+14%) 11mo $72,000 $91 49
7701 Piedmont St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 706 (+2%) 13mo $86,500 $123 48
7730 Braile St 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (+11%) 2mo $68,000 $89 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$7,041
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.08×
Total profit
$22,769
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,070 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$71 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$351

Break-even live

Break-even rent $627
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 44d 1 0.31mi
20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 44d 1 0.54mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 44d 1 0.66mi
18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 44d 1 0.80mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 2d 15 0.94mi
6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 17d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    listing id $75,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $75,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 298 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 297 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 294 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 292 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 289 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 288 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 286 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 285 DOM
  16. 2026-04-22
    price $75,000 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  17. 2026-04-22
    price $75,000 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  18. 2026-01-26
    price $80,000 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  19. 2026-01-26
    price $80,000 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  20. 2025-08-19
    listed $85,000 Active 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  21. 2025-08-18
    listed $85,000 Active 115-char remark
    Show marketing remark (115 chars)

    2 bedroom, one-bathroom home located in Detroit, on the city's west side. The property offers a spacious layout !!!

  22. 2021-07-19
    soldstatus $74,900
  23. 2011-02-04
    soldstatus $300
  24. 2011-02-04
    soldstatus $300
  25. 2010-12-02
    listed $750
  26. 2010-12-02
    listed $750
  27. 2008-12-26
    historical
  28. 2007-12-26
    listed $10,500
  29. 2005-11-01
    soldstatus $90,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$846 · $71/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,001 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$154/yr (+$13/mo · 18.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,846
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,028
− Management
−$1,028
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,186
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$3,442/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
  • 2011-02-04 Sold (MLS) $300 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-02-04 Sold (MLS) $300 REALCOMP
  • 2010-12-02 Listed $750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-02 Listed $750 REALCOMP
  • 2008-12-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-26 Listed $10,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $846 · -7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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