542 S Main St · Ashburn, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Wonderful opportunity to own 1.13 acres within the city limits of Ashburn! Located on South Main Street, this property offers a spacious homesite right in town. The existing 1913 home situated on a generous lot, provides room for expansion, outdoor living spaces, gardens, workshops, or other possibilities, subject to local zoning and approvals. With road frontage, established utilities, and a convenient location near downtown Ashburn, schools, shopping, and local amenities, the true value may be in the land and future potential this property offers. Whether you're planning a restoration project, investment venture, or exploring redevelopment opportunities, this property presents a unique ch
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Spacious lot
- Full renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Zoned R3 Res
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Asphalt roof; Built on standard foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window unit(s); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; 6 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#213 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Turner County (town): math 14% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #158 of 174 in GA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Turner County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Turner County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.25%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,215
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -43.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 645 S Main St | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,546 (-9%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $68 | 66 |
| 1101 Pine Knot Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,645 (-3%) | 10mo | $154,600 | $94 | 50 |
| 372 E College Ave | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,489 (-12%) | 6mo | $69,000 | $46 | 46 |
| 454 E College Ave | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-9%) | 14mo | $139,900 | $90 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $30,232
- Equity at exit
- $32,263
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $79,142
- Equity at exit
- $45,507
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31714
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,235 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,116/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $450 | -5% $426 | +0% $402 | +5% $378 | +10% $354 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $304 | -5% $353 | +0% $402 | +5% $450 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $444 | -0.5pp $423 | base $402 | +0.5pp $380 | +1.0pp $357 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $85,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-16$95,000 Active 753-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,116 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,116
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,186
- − Management
- −$1,186
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $3,676
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,938/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Turner County
- NCES district ID
- 1305190
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,714
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9578
- State rank
- #158 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ashburn
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #213
- US rank
- #12791
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashburn, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,011
Population outlook (Turner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,561 people
- By 2030
- 5,905 · -10.0%
- By 2040
- 4,899 · -25.3%
- By 2050
- 4,246 · -35.3%
- By 2075
- 3,606 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 3,471 · -47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Turner
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.5) · D 35.6% · R 64.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -28.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.5 2020: R+24.8 2016: R+25.1 2012: R+14.6 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Current HPI
- 227.6332
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $85,000 TBOR
- 2026-05-16 Listed $95,000 TBOR
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,116 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…