105-107 E Sunbury St · Shamokin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well- Maintained Shamokin Double. Seperate Utilities. 107 tenant occupied. 105 side has LR, DR, Kitchen, 4 Bedrooms, and Bath, 107 side has LR, DR, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms , Bath, finished attic -no heat. Off-Street Parking in rear for 2 Cars. By Appt at least 24 hr notice. Call/Text Rich at 570-274-2566 for an Appt.
Key facts
- 3,484 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 12 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property; Multi-unit building; Zoned R-MT
- Construction: Frame construction; No foundation details listed
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Asphalt shingle roof; Irregular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heating present
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Basement with walk-out access; Has heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Shamokin Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,146 of 1,518 statewide, top 76%, 832 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Hs (math 42% / reading 30%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $150k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.14%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,576
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 N Shamokin St | 0.33mi | 5/1.5 (-1) | 2,597 (-0%) | 11mo | $131,000 | $50 | 64 |
| 16-18 N Rock St | 0.38mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,248 (-14%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $44 | 46 |
| 154 S Shamokin St | 0.56mi | 6/3.0 | 2,296 (-12%) | 16mo | $108,500 | $47 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $16,529
- Equity at exit
- $58,190
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $60,153
- Equity at exit
- $83,202
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17872
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $161 | +0% $110 | +5% $58 | +10% $6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-5 | -5% $53 | +0% $110 | +5% $167 | +10% $224 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $185 | -0.5pp $148 | base $110 | +0.5pp $71 | +1.0pp $32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07$149,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,242
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable loss
- −$1,131
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$271
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The property is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint and new carpet will significantly improve its appearance and value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Light scratches and wear
- Minor Bathroom cabinets — Light scratches and wear
- Moderate Flooring — Worn carpet
- Minor Paint — Faded paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and carpet — Fresh paint and carpet will improve appearance and comfort
- Both Kitchen and bathroom organization — A clean and organized space will attract more buyers/renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Light scratches and wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom cabinets · Light scratches and wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Flooring · Worn carpet | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Paint · Faded paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $4,500–24,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint and carpet — Fresh paint and carpet will improve appearance and comfort ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom organization — A clean and organized space will attract more buyers/renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shamokin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221240
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,380
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7709
- State rank
- #450 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shamokin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #887
- US rank
- #9448
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shamokin, PA
- City population
- 9,808
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,950
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Current HPI
- 124.6288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+151.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $149,500 CSVBR
- 2025-08-03 Listed $149,500 CSVBR
- 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $53,500 CSVBR
- 2021-03-15 Listed $59,500 CSVBR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…