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105-107 E Sunbury St
D Composite 43.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$149,500

105-107 E Sunbury St · Shamokin, PA 17872
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,608 sqft · SingleFamily · 13 Days on market
Built 1920 Fair condition 3,484 sqft lot Est $123k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well- Maintained Shamokin Double. Seperate Utilities. 107 tenant occupied. 105 side has LR, DR, Kitchen, 4 Bedrooms, and Bath, 107 side has LR, DR, Kitchen, 3 Bedrooms , Bath, finished attic -no heat. Off-Street Parking in rear for 2 Cars. By Appt at least 24 hr notice. Call/Text Rich at 570-274-2566 for an Appt.

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 12 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property; Multi-unit building; Zoned R-MT
  • Construction: Frame construction; No foundation details listed
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Asphalt shingle roof; Irregular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 2 half bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Range; Basement with walk-out access; Has heating

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (3.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Shamokin Area El Sch (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,146 of 1,518 statewide, top 76%, 832 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Ms (math 12% / reading 40%, grade F, #412 of 512 statewide, top 81%, 346 students, 100% FRL); Shamokin Area Hs (math 42% / reading 30%, grade F, #300 of 437 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 57% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $150k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,666 (3.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.14%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,576
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 N Shamokin St 0.33mi 5/1.5 (-1) 2,597 (-0%) 11mo $131,000 $50 64
16-18 N Rock St 0.38mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,248 (-14%) 5mo $100,000 $44 46
154 S Shamokin St 0.56mi 6/3.0 2,296 (-12%) 16mo $108,500 $47 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$16,529
Equity at exit
$58,190
10-year hold
IRR
10.7%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$60,153
Equity at exit
$83,202

Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17872

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
78
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$784
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,242/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$110

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308
Max offer price $149,500
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $213 -5% $161 +0% $110 +5% $58 +10% $6
Rent -10% $-5 -5% $53 +0% $110 +5% $167 +10% $224
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $148 base $110 +0.5pp $71 +1.0pp $32

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,375
Closing costs
$4,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $149,500 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,500 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,500 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,500 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,500 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $149,500 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,500 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,500 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,500 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $149,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,360
− Mortgage interest
−$8,374
− Property taxes
−$2,242
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− Depreciation
−$4,349
Taxable loss
−$1,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$271
After-tax cash flow
$1,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. A fresh coat of paint and new carpet will significantly improve its appearance and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Light scratches and wear
  • Minor Bathroom cabinets — Light scratches and wear
  • Moderate Flooring — Worn carpet
  • Minor Paint — Faded paint

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint and carpet — Fresh paint and carpet will improve appearance and comfort
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom organization — A clean and organized space will attract more buyers/renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Light scratches and wear Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom cabinets · Light scratches and wear Minor $500–3,000
Flooring · Worn carpet Moderate $3,000–15,000
Paint · Faded paint Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $4,500–24,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint and carpet — Fresh paint and carpet will improve appearance and comfort
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom organization — A clean and organized space will attract more buyers/renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shamokin Area SD
NCES district ID
4221240
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$35,380
Composite
24.31/100
National rank
#7709
State rank
#450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

Score
68/100
State rank
#887
US rank
#9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shamokin, PA
City population
9,808
Population (ZIP)
8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,896 people
By 2030
89,084 · -2.0%
By 2040
84,822 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,521 · -11.4%
By 2075
72,152 · -20.6%
By 2100
62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.90%
Current HPI
124.6288
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $149,500 CSVBR
  • 2025-08-03 Listed $149,500 CSVBR
  • 2021-04-13 Sold (MLS) $53,500 CSVBR
  • 2021-03-15 Listed $59,500 CSVBR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…