1010 S Church St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$10,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 6/9/2026 @ 6 p. m. Opportunity knocks with this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home in the heart of Belleville—perfect for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone eager to bring their own vision to life. Ideally located just minutes from public transportation, schools, and major roadways, this property offers everyday convenience in a well established neighborhood. The main level features a spacious living room accented with bay windows that flood the space with natural light. The primary bedroom is conveniently situated on the main floor, while the eat in kitchen provides an excellent canvas for modern updates and pe
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1877
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Single Family Residence; Ownership type: Private; Above-grade living area reported as 1,182 (source: public records)
- Financial info: No lease considered
Exterior
- Parking: Alley access; 1-car garage (total parking for 1)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One and one-half levels; Private ownership; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Construction materials: Other; Basement present (partial, unfinished)
- Exterior features: Back yard, front yard, and a few trees; Chain link fence
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 on main level, 2 on upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (located on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished partial basement with interior entry and crawl space; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
- Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 109.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 109.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 368.17%
- DSCR
- 17.38
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.19×
- Total profit
- $59,321
- Equity at exit
- $1,491
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 54.73×
- Total profit
- $150,441
- Equity at exit
- $865
Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$12 /mo · $150/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $859
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $866 | -5% $863 | +0% $859 | +5% $856 | +10% $852 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $766 | -5% $813 | +0% $859 | +5% $905 | +10% $952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $864 | -0.5pp $862 | base $859 | +0.5pp $856 | +1.0pp $854 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,500
- Closing costs
- $300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $10,000 Pending 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $10,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $10,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $10,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $10,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $10,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $10,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $10,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-21$10,000 Active
-
2026-05-20historical $10,000
-
2005-06-16soldstatus $50,000
-
2000-02-22soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,099
- − Mortgage interest
- −$560
- − Property taxes
- −$150
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,128
- − Management
- −$1,128
- − Depreciation
- −$291
- Taxable income
- $10,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,590
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-80.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $10,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $10,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,129 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…