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1010 S Church St
D+ Composite 46.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,000

1010 S Church St · Belleville, IL 62220
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 400 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1877 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price listed is Starting Bid Only. Bidding starts closing 6/9/2026 @ 6 p. m. Opportunity knocks with this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath single-family home in the heart of Belleville—perfect for investors, first-time buyers, or anyone eager to bring their own vision to life. Ideally located just minutes from public transportation, schools, and major roadways, this property offers everyday convenience in a well established neighborhood. The main level features a spacious living room accented with bay windows that flood the space with natural light. The primary bedroom is conveniently situated on the main floor, while the eat in kitchen provides an excellent canvas for modern updates and pe

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1877

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Single Family Residence; Ownership type: Private; Above-grade living area reported as 1,182 (source: public records)
  • Financial info: No lease considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Alley access; 1-car garage (total parking for 1)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One and one-half levels; Private ownership; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Architectural shingle roof; Construction materials: Other; Basement present (partial, unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Back yard, front yard, and a few trees; Chain link fence

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total (1 on main level, 2 on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (located on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished partial basement with interior entry and crawl space; No fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $859 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 109.4% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-East (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 2,568 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $9,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.75%
Cap rate
109.38%
Cash-on-cash
368.17%
DSCR
17.38
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
22.19×
Total profit
$59,321
Equity at exit
$1,491
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
54.73×
Total profit
$150,441
Equity at exit
$865

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62220

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,175 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $150/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$247
Net cashflow
$859

Break-even live

Break-even rent $87
Max offer price $10,000
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $866 -5% $863 +0% $859 +5% $856 +10% $852
Rent -10% $766 -5% $813 +0% $859 +5% $905 +10% $952
Rate -1.0pp $864 -0.5pp $862 base $859 +0.5pp $856 +1.0pp $854

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,500
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $10,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $10,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $10,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $10,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $10,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $10,000 Active 13 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $10,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $10,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-05-21
    listed $10,000 Active
  10. 2026-05-20
    historical $10,000
  11. 2005-06-16
    soldstatus $50,000
  12. 2000-02-22
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,099
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$150
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,128
− Management
−$1,128
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$10,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,590
After-tax cash flow
$7,719/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,152
Household income
$65,952
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.27%
Current HPI
145.9237
Rent YoY
▲ 14.47%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-80.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $10,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Coming Soon $10,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,129 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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