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206 Ensemble Blvd
D+ Composite 48.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.5/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,000

206 Ensemble Blvd · Perry, GA 31069
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,817 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 2-car garage $143/sqft · 11% below area Est $292k · 11% under $55/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

Key facts

  • Dog park
  • Quartz countertops
  • Pickleball court

Tags

QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLVP FLOORINGPICKLEBALL COURTDOG PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-38 ($-455/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (2.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.8% in Perry — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Langston Road Elementary School (math 58% / reading 53%, grade C, #173 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Perry Middle School (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C+, #60 of 470 statewide, top 13%, 1,070 students, 51% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 772 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $228,735 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88% ✗
Cap rate
6.12%
Cash-on-cash
-0.63%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$292,392
List price
$259,000
Delta
-11.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Raspberry Trail Trl 0.41mi 4/2.0 2,004 (+10%) 0mo $349,000 $174 62
105 Bedford Ct. Ct 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,765 (-3%) 3mo $297,000 $168 60
105 Eagles Ridge Ct 0.72mi 4/3.0 1,794 (-1%) 4mo $282,000 $157 59
112 Lighterknot Trl 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,960 (+8%) 7mo $344,900 $176 57
109 Ritz Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,625 (-11%) 2mo $265,000 $163 56
204 Hampton Chase 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,720 (-5%) 4mo $308,000 $179 56
106 Tilden Way 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,973 (+9%) 12mo $346,000 $175 56
106 Tilden Way 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,973 (+9%) 12mo $346,000 $175 56
108 Lighterknot Trl 0.47mi 4/2.0 1,986 (+9%) 6mo $349,000 $176 55
101 Lighterknot Trl 0.48mi 4/2.0 1,990 (+10%) 6mo $335,000 $168 55
111 Tilden Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,003 (+10%) 11mo $355,000 $177 46
102 N Haven Ln 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,589 (-12%) 7mo $269,900 $170 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-44,314
Equity at exit
$38,618
10-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-41,417
Equity at exit
$22,394

Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
15 active · 18 under contract
Months of supply
7.5 mo (13%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$271,600 ($152/sqft)
Median days on market
398 d
This list price
13% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+6.0% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 31069

Active inventory
772
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,287 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax est. 1.5%
−$324 /mo · $3,885/yr
Insurance
−$108
HOA
−$55
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$480
Net cashflow
$-38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,335
Max offer price $253,518
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $52 +0% $-38 +5% $-127 +10% $-217
Rent -10% $-219 -5% $-128 +0% $-38 +5% $52 +10% $143
Rate -1.0pp $93 -0.5pp $28 base $-38 +0.5pp $-105 +1.0pp $-173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,750
Closing costs
$7,770
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Billboard Ave Unit 113 Perry, GA 3.0 3.5 1928 $2,295 $1.19 12d 1 0.05mi
113 Billboard Ave Unit 113 Perry, GA 3.0 3.5 1928 $2,150 $1.12 0d 1 0.05mi
111 Prospect Ave Perry, GA 3.0 2.5 1657 $2,350 $1.42 24d 1 0.06mi
111 Prospect Ave Perry, GA 3.0 2.5 1657 $2,350 $1.42 0d 1 0.06mi
110 Palmetto Ave Perry, GA 3.0 2.5 1657 $2,400 $1.45 28d 1 0.07mi
207 Sugarloaf Pkwy Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 10d 1 0.37mi
215 Rainsong Trl Perry, GA 4.0 2.0 1836 $2,450 $1.33 162d 1 0.38mi
317 Grayton Way Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1384 $1,600 $1.16 184d 1 0.43mi
119 Washington Place Dr Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,600 $1.18 184d 1 0.57mi
1739 Houston Lake Rd Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 2163 $1,895 $0.88 184d 1 0.79mi
1726 Greenwood Cir Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1647 $3,490 $2.12 184d 1 0.83mi
1726 Greenwood Cir Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1647 $3,990 $2.42 0d 1 0.83mi
105 Sherwood Rd Perry, GA 3.0 1.5 1418 $1,350 $0.95 0d 1 0.95mi
1115 Kingston Rd Perry, GA 4.0 3.0 1740 $2,000 $1.15 162d 1 1.22mi
1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1298 $3,950 $3.04 12d 1 1.27mi
1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1298 $3,950 $3.04 184d 1 1.27mi
1100 Kenwood Dr Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1298 $3,950 $3.04 0d 1 1.27mi
112 Gwendolyn Ave Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1817 $2,425 $1.33 26d 1 1.31mi
103 Hattie Ct Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,900 $1.08 0d 1 1.39mi
103 Hattie Ct Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,900 $1.08 12d 1 1.39mi
111 Judy Kay Way Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1759 $2,000 $1.14 162d 1 1.41mi
114 Lavendar Ln Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,800 $1.35 2d 1 1.46mi
1501 Main St Perry, GA 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,750 $1.40 184d 1 1.48mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association with a $55 monthly fee

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener (2 covered spaces, 2 total spaces)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Single-family residenceResidential property
Construction
Fiber cement and brick exteriorSlab foundation
Exterior features
Patio

Interior

Kitchen
Free-standing rangeDishwasherMicrowaveRefrigerator
Flooring
CarpetVinyl
Bathrooms
Two full bathroomsOne half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Double-pane windows with blindsDisposal
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $259,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $259,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $259,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $259,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $259,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $259,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $259,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $259,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $259,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $259,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $259,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $259,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $259,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $259,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $259,000 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $259,000 Active 22 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $259,000 Active 21 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $259,000 Active 20 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $259,000 Active 19 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $259,000 Active 18 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $259,000 Active 17 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $259,000 Active 16 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $259,000 Active 15 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $259,000 Active 14 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    price $259,000 Active 13 DOM
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

  27. 2026-10-13
    days on market $269,000 Active 13 DOM
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

  28. 2026-10-12
    days on market $269,000 Active 12 DOM
  29. 2026-10-11
    days on market $269,000 Active 11 DOM
  30. 2026-10-10
    days on market $269,000 Active 10 DOM
  31. 2026-10-09
    days on market $269,000 Active 9 DOM
  32. 2026-10-08
    days on market $269,000 Active 8 DOM
  33. 2026-10-07
    days on market $269,000 Active 7 DOM
  34. 2026-10-06
    days on market $269,000 Active 6 DOM
  35. 2026-10-05
    days on market $269,000 Active 5 DOM
  36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $269,000 Active 4 DOM
  37. 2026-10-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 3 DOM
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

  38. 2026-10-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 2 DOM
  39. 2026-10-01
    remarks 503-char remark
  40. 2026-10-01
    days on marketlisting id $269,000 Active 1 DOM
  41. 2026-09-30
    days on market $269,000 Active 54 DOM
  42. 2026-09-29
    price $269,000 Active 53 DOM
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

  43. 2026-09-29
    days on market $272,000 Active 53 DOM
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    This new two-story home features a luxurious owner's suite on the first floor, offering a serene retreat with a full bathroom and generous walk-in closet, while an open-concept floorplan blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. On the second floor, two additional bedrooms surround a versatile loft.

  44. 2026-09-28
    days on market $272,000 Active 52 DOM
  45. 2026-09-27
    days on market $272,000 Active 51 DOM
  46. 2026-09-26
    days on market $272,000 Active 50 DOM
  47. 2026-09-25
    days on market $272,000 Active 49 DOM
  48. 2026-09-24
    days on market $272,000 Active 48 DOM
  49. 2026-09-24
    days on market $272,000 Active 47 DOM
  50. 2026-09-22
    days on market $272,000 Active 46 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,448
− Mortgage interest
−$14,508
− Property taxes
−$3,885
− Insurance
−$1,295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,196
− Management
−$2,196
− HOA
−$660
− Depreciation
−$7,535
Taxable loss
−$4,826
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,158
After-tax cash flow
$704/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This new two-story home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a luxurious owner's suite and an open-concept floorplan, making it an attractive property for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
  • Both Interior staging — Can make the home more appealing to potential buyers/renters ↑
F Composite school gradezoned avg 48/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Langston Road Elementary School C GA #173/1,228 Nat'l #9,513/41,679 Middle Perry Middle School C+ GA #60/470 Nat'l #3,033/14,009 High Perry High School F GA #84/424 Nat'l #9,567/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston County
NCES district ID
1302880
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$54,823
Composite
38.68/100
National rank
#4144
State rank
#23 of 174 in GA
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Perry

Score
68/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#9757

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Perry, GA
County
Houston County · 169,502 people
City population
22,953
Metro
Warner Robins, GA
Population (ZIP)
22,953
Household income
$74,501
Rent vs Own
30.4% rent · 69.6% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
169,502 people
By 2030
178,486 · +5.3%
By 2040
194,642 · +14.8%
By 2050
207,119 · +22.2%
By 2075
231,480 · +36.6%
By 2100
235,034 · +38.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-2.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-10-13 Price Changed $259,000 CGMLS
  • 2026-10-13 Price Changed $259,000 Zillow
  • 2026-10-03 Price Changed $264,000 Zillow
  • 2026-09-30 Listed $269,000 CGMLS
  • 2026-09-29 Price Changed $269,000 Zillow
  • 2026-09-17 Relisted — Zillow
  • 2026-09-17 Price Changed $272,000 Zillow
  • 2026-05-30 Delisted — Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $279,985 Zillow
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $269,985 Zillow
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $264,985 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…