3733 Arno St NE · North Valley, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
Key facts
- On-site sheds
- Large backyard
- Mixed-use zoning
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($450/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.9% in North Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#28 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.85%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,332
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- -30.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3729 Arno St NE | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-11%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $200 | 60 |
| 2907 Commercial St NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,229 (-13%) | 10mo | $400,000 | $325 | 53 |
| 542 Veranda Rd NW | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,428 (+1%) | 6mo | $217,000 | $152 | 52 |
| 435 Cordova Ave NW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,327 (-6%) | 5mo | $285,000 | $215 | 52 |
| 4101 6th St NW | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (-0%) | 17mo | $300,000 | $213 | 49 |
| 307 San Lorenzo Ave NW | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (+4%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $201 | 49 |
| 229 Mescalero Rd NW | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,517 (+8%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $152 | 48 |
| 2405 Commercial St NE | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (-11%) | 4mo | $270,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 513 Veranda Rd NW | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-13%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $239 | 41 |
| 3709 5th St NW | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,285 (-9%) | 19mo | $99,000 | $77 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-24,181
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $185
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 87107
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 158
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,710 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3308 4th St NW Unit 204 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3308 4th St NW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 14d | 10 | 0.49mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,850 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 601 Menaul Blvd NE Unit 4406 Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 202 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,525 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 202 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 204 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1151 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 505 Headingly Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 609 Candelaria Rd NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2818 4th St NW Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 882 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 19d | 7 | 0.64mi |
| 2406 Broadway Blvd NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 500 Phoenix Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 506 Phoenix Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,300 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 404 Prospect Ave NE Unit B Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1006 Alta Monte Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,400 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 222 Shannon Pl NW Unit 1 Albuquerque, NM | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 222 Shannon Pl NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,725 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 315 San Andres Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1239 | $1,795 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 165 Hilton Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1257 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 165 Hilton Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1257 | $1,695 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1312 Cordova Ave NW Albuquerque, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,900 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1501 Indian School Rd NE Albuquerque, NM | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 769 | $1,450 | $1.89 | 3d | 26 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-20price $190,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
-
2026-03-14status Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
-
2026-03-14price $195,000 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
-
2025-11-19status Pending 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
-
2025-02-24price $210,000
-
2001-09-23$220,000 Active 449-char remark
Show marketing remark (449 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,641
- − Management
- −$1,641
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$2,737
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albuquerque Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500060
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▲ 30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 45.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,151
- Composite
- 53.29/100
- National rank
- #1487
- State rank
- #3 of 29 in NM
Livability — North Valley
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #10375
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Valley, NM
- County
- Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,566
- Household income
- $61,672
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1347.0
Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 704,528 people
- By 2030
- 711,723 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 714,522 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 709,274 · +0.7%
- By 2075
- 680,015 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 619,879 · -12.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% White 42% Two or more races 23% Native American 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -241.44%
- Current HPI
- 251.556
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Metro
- Albuquerque, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $190,000 Southwest MLS
- 2026-03-14 Relisted — Southwest MLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $195,000 Southwest MLS
- 2025-11-19 Pending — Southwest MLS
- 2025-02-24 Price Changed $210,000 Southwest MLS
- 2001-09-23 Listed $220,000 Southwest MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $332 · -40.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…