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3733 Arno St NE
C- Composite 52.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

3733 Arno St NE · North Valley, NM 87107
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1954 10,803 sqft lot $135/sqft · 31% below area Est $274k · 31% under ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

Key facts

  • On-site sheds
  • Large backyard
  • Mixed-use zoning

Tags

MIXED-USE ZONINGLARGE BACKYARDON-SITE SHEDS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($450/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 1.9% in North Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#28 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $170,960 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.85%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$274,332
List price
$190,000
Delta
-30.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3729 Arno St NE 0.01mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,250 (-11%) 14mo $250,000 $200 60
2907 Commercial St NE 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,229 (-13%) 10mo $400,000 $325 53
542 Veranda Rd NW 0.68mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (+1%) 6mo $217,000 $152 52
435 Cordova Ave NW 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,327 (-6%) 5mo $285,000 $215 52
4101 6th St NW 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,409 (-0%) 17mo $300,000 $213 49
307 San Lorenzo Ave NW 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,467 (+4%) 16mo $295,000 $201 49
229 Mescalero Rd NW 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,517 (+8%) 7mo $230,000 $152 48
2405 Commercial St NE 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-11%) 4mo $270,000 $215 44
513 Veranda Rd NW 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,232 (-13%) 6mo $295,000 $239 41
3709 5th St NW 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,285 (-9%) 19mo $99,000 $77 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.3%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-24,181
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
0.0%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$185
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87107

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,710 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax est. 1.5%
$238 /mo · $2,850/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,662
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3308 4th St NW Unit 204 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 3d 1 0.48mi
3308 4th St NW Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 14d 10 0.49mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1340 $1,600 $1.19 43d 1 0.50mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1332 $1,850 $1.39 14d 1 0.50mi
601 Menaul Blvd NE Unit 4406 Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1347 $1,800 $1.34 3d 1 0.52mi
202 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,525 $1.33 23d 1 0.56mi
202 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,550 $1.35 43d 1 0.56mi
204 San Clemente Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,550 $1.35 43d 1 0.56mi
505 Headingly Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 3d 1 0.63mi
609 Candelaria Rd NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1475 $1,800 $1.22 43d 1 0.63mi
2818 4th St NW Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 882 $1,795 $2.04 19d 7 0.64mi
2406 Broadway Blvd NE Apt A Albuquerque, NM 3.0 3.0 1800 $2,150 $1.19 3d 1 0.71mi
500 Phoenix Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 2.0 1070 $1,600 $1.50 14d 1 0.74mi
506 Phoenix Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.5 1780 $2,300 $1.29 23d 1 0.76mi
404 Prospect Ave NE Unit B Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $1,695 $1.88 14d 1 0.79mi
1006 Alta Monte Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1632 $2,400 $1.47 43d 1 0.90mi
222 Shannon Pl NW Unit 1 Albuquerque, NM 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,725 $1.44 43d 1 1.04mi
222 Shannon Pl NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,725 $1.44 43d 1 1.04mi
315 San Andres Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1239 $1,795 $1.45 43d 1 1.05mi
165 Hilton Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1257 $1,695 $1.35 14d 1 1.08mi
165 Hilton Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 2.0 1.0 1257 $1,695 $1.35 43d 1 1.08mi
1312 Cordova Ave NW Albuquerque, NM 3.0 2.0 1136 $1,900 $1.67 23d 1 1.23mi
1501 Indian School Rd NE Albuquerque, NM 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 769 $1,450 $1.89 3d 26 1.45mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    price $190,000 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

  2. 2026-03-14
    status Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

  3. 2026-03-14
    price $195,000 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

  4. 2025-11-19
    status Pending 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

  5. 2025-02-24
    price $210,000
  6. 2001-09-23
    listed $220,000 Active 449-char remark
    Show marketing remark (449 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in this versatile 3-bedroom, 1-bath property on a spacious 0.25-acre lot in central Albuquerque. The mixed-use zoning allows for both residential living and business potential, making it a great fit for investors or owner-occupants with vision. The large backyard offers room for vehicle parking, trailers, or workspace, along with several on-site sheds for storage. Bring your ideas and turn this property into something special!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,515
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,850
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,641
− Management
−$1,641
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$2,737
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$657
After-tax cash flow
$1,107/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albuquerque Public Schools
NCES district ID
3500060
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 30.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 45.00%
Median HH income
$48,151
Composite
53.29/100
National rank
#1487
State rank
#3 of 29 in NM

Livability — North Valley

Score
67/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#10375

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Valley, NM
County
Bernalillo County · 647,165 people
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
Population (ZIP)
27,566
Household income
$61,672
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1347.0

Population outlook (Bernalillo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
704,528 people
By 2030
711,723 · +1.0%
By 2040
714,522 · +1.4%
By 2050
709,274 · +0.7%
By 2075
680,015 · -3.5%
By 2100
619,879 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 49% White 42% Two or more races 23% Native American 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bernalillo

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.2% · R 38.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-0.3pp no change · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -241.44%
Current HPI
251.556
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Albuquerque, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-13.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $190,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Relisted Southwest MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $195,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2025-11-19 Pending Southwest MLS
  • 2025-02-24 Price Changed $210,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2001-09-23 Listed $220,000 Southwest MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $332 · -40.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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