2204 SW 6th St · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.9/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly remodeled & move in ready. New Roof, New HVAC, New Appliances, New Fixtures, New Kitchen, New Bathrooms. 4 Bed 1.5 Bath 1 Car garage, Large living room & dining room. Investors must wait 30 days to allow those who will be living in this lovely home to have an opportunity to own.
Key facts
- New kitchen
- New hvac
- New appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (0.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $195k implies a 1053% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.47%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,071
- List price
- $194,900
- Delta
- 3.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1708 SW 6th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-4%) | 2mo | $233,000 | $166 | 65 |
| 2105 SW 7th Pl | 0.09mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,652 (+14%) | 10mo | $87,500 | $53 | 54 |
| 2701 SW 15th St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,397 (-4%) | 4mo | $187,000 | $134 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-21,438
- Equity at exit
- $29,060
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-20,327
- Equity at exit
- $16,851
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34471
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1683 SW 3rd St Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1421 SW 27th Ave Ocala, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1228 | $1,679 | $1.37 | 13d | 19 | 0.53mi |
| 346 NW 24th Ave Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1911 NW 6th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 717 W Silver Springs Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 714 NW 1st St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1140 NW 20th Ave Ocala, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2656 SW 20th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1771 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1908 NW 13th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,325 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $194,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $194,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $194,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $194,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $194,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $194,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $194,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Freshly remodeled & move in ready. New Roof, New HVAC, New Appliances, New Fixtures, New Kitchen, New Bathrooms. 4 Bed 1.5 Bath 1 Car garage, Large living room & dining room. Investors must wait 30 days to allow those who will be living in this lovely home to have an opportunity to own.
-
2026-04-24status Pending 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Freshly remodeled & move in ready. New Roof, New HVAC, New Appliances, New Fixtures, New Kitchen, New Bathrooms. 4 Bed 1.5 Bath 1 Car garage, Large living room & dining room. Investors must wait 30 days to allow those who will be living in this lovely home to have an opportunity to own.
-
2026-03-27status Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Freshly remodeled & move in ready. New Roof, New HVAC, New Appliances, New Fixtures, New Kitchen, New Bathrooms. 4 Bed 1.5 Bath 1 Car garage, Large living room & dining room. Investors must wait 30 days to allow those who will be living in this lovely home to have an opportunity to own.
-
2026-02-23$194,900 Active 299-char remark
Show marketing remark (299 chars)
Freshly remodeled & move in ready. New Roof, New HVAC, New Appliances, New Fixtures, New Kitchen, New Bathrooms. 4 Bed 1.5 Bath 1 Car garage, Large living room & dining room. Investors must wait 30 days to allow those who will be living in this lovely home to have an opportunity to own.
-
1971-06-01soldstatus $16,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,231 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,365
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$2,231
- − Insurance
- −$974
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,869
- − Management
- −$1,869
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable loss
- −$167
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$40
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocala, FL
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,342
- Household income
- $65,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1494.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.55%
- Current HPI
- 224.1709
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.64%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1053.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Listed $194,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1971-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,231 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…