426 S 4th Ave W · Newton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,520
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
Key facts
- Galley kitchen
- Large 2 stall garage
- Fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-85/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (1.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($824 rent vs $81k).
- Recommended offer: $71k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#169 in IA, #3,069 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $557 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.38%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,267
- List price
- $80,520
- Delta
- -46.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 W 6th St S | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 927 (-3%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $129 | 76 |
| 702 W 6th St S | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 10mo | $154,000 | $153 | 67 |
| 621 West 4th St S | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 876 (-9%) | 6mo | $159,900 | $183 | 66 |
| 617 W 4th St S | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 832 (-13%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 311 W 8th St S | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 844 (-12%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 811 S 7th Ave W | 0.33mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 1,044 (+9%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $163 | 55 |
| 518 1st Ave W | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+15%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $123 | 53 |
| 305 S 5th Ave E | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-10%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $191 | 53 |
| 431 S 6th Ave E | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 882 (-8%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $79 | 52 |
| 1217 Monroe Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,068 (+12%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 48 |
| 510 N 3rd Ave E | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,034 (+8%) | 4mo | $142,500 | $138 | 47 |
| 631 S 3rd Ave E | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (+6%) | 10mo | $93,500 | $92 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-13,423
- Equity at exit
- $12,006
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-11,965
- Equity at exit
- $6,962
Cash invested: $22,546 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50208
- Home prices YoY
- -14.4%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $824 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$422
- Tax from tax record
- −$202 /mo · $2,424/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $-7
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,130
- Closing costs
- $2,416
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 S 2nd Ave W Unit 706 Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $625 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 320 W 3rd St N Unit 207 Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $1,050 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 320 W 3rd St N Unit 112 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 845 | $1,295 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 602 E 2nd St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 126 E 5th St S Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $599 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 427 N 2nd Ave E Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $599 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 723 E 6th St S Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 701 N 2nd Ave E Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $875 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 605 E 7 1/2 St N Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 726 E 8th St N Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $895 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1800 W 4th St N Newton, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $710 | $0.90 | 14d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 500 E 17th St S Unit 28 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 500 E 17th St S Unit 22 Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1026 E 12th St N Newton, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $725 | $0.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1026 E 12th St N Newton, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 590 | $625 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,520 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,520 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,520 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,520 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,520 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,520 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,520 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,520 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,520 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,520 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,520 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,520 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,520 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,520 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,520 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,520 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $80,520 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2026-04-21price $85,870 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2026-03-20price $91,220 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2026-02-20price $96,570 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2026-01-20price $101,650 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2025-12-20$107,000 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Investor special. If you are looking for a home to flip or put sweat equity in this home has potential. The large 2 stall garage gives you plenty of storage space. The home has a nice sized living room with a fireplace. The galley Kitchen has a cutout to serve the dining room. The home is being sold as is and can close quickly.
-
2023-01-23soldstatus $106,500 Closed 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Large Living Room with Gas Fire Place, Formal Dinning Room with Bar Open to the Kitchen with Refrigerator, Stove & Dishwasher. Washer/Dryer in Main Floor Bath Room. All Appliance are included. 2 Bedrooms. Detached 2 Car Garage (24 X 24). Furnace was New November 2021. Water Heater and Water Lines New in January 2019. Roof Looks Good. Don't let this Home Get Away.
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2023-01-23soldstatus $106,500
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Large Living Room with Gas Fire Place, Formal Dinning Room with Bar Open to the Kitchen with Refrigerator, Stove & Dishwasher. Washer/Dryer in Main Floor Bath Room. All Appliance are included. 2 Bedrooms. Detached 2 Car Garage (24 X 24). Furnace was New November 2021. Water Heater and Water Lines New in January 2019. Roof Looks Good. Don't let this Home Get Away.
-
2022-12-31status Pending 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Large Living Room with Gas Fire Place, Formal Dinning Room with Bar Open to the Kitchen with Refrigerator, Stove & Dishwasher. Washer/Dryer in Main Floor Bath Room. All Appliance are included. 2 Bedrooms. Detached 2 Car Garage (24 X 24). Furnace was New November 2021. Water Heater and Water Lines New in January 2019. Roof Looks Good. Don't let this Home Get Away.
-
2022-09-16price $110,000 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Large Living Room with Gas Fire Place, Formal Dinning Room with Bar Open to the Kitchen with Refrigerator, Stove & Dishwasher. Washer/Dryer in Main Floor Bath Room. All Appliance are included. 2 Bedrooms. Detached 2 Car Garage (24 X 24). Furnace was New November 2021. Water Heater and Water Lines New in January 2019. Roof Looks Good. Don't let this Home Get Away.
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2022-07-16$120,000 Active 372-char remark
Show marketing remark (372 chars)
Large Living Room with Gas Fire Place, Formal Dinning Room with Bar Open to the Kitchen with Refrigerator, Stove & Dishwasher. Washer/Dryer in Main Floor Bath Room. All Appliance are included. 2 Bedrooms. Detached 2 Car Garage (24 X 24). Furnace was New November 2021. Water Heater and Water Lines New in January 2019. Roof Looks Good. Don't let this Home Get Away.
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2019-02-15soldstatus $70,000
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2019-02-15soldstatus $69,000
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2019-02-14soldstatus $68,800 Sold
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2018-11-29status Pending
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2018-10-16price $67,900
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2018-09-13$69,000 Active
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2018-02-19historical
-
2017-11-27$74,900
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2017-01-11soldstatus $70,000
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2015-04-10soldstatus $18,000
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2014-11-05historical
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2014-11-04$26,900
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2014-03-25$39,900
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2010-06-30historical
-
2009-07-30$88,500
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2007-05-23soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,424 · $202/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,424 · $202/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,885
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,510
- − Property taxes
- −$2,424
- − Insurance
- −$403
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$791
- − Management
- −$791
- − Depreciation
- −$2,342
- Taxable loss
- −$1,376
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$330
- After-tax cash flow
- $246/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,447
- Composite
- 51.15/100
- National rank
- #1762
- State rank
- #245 of 289 in IA
Livability — Newton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #169
- US rank
- #3069
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newton, IA
- County
- Jasper County · 20,595 people
- City population
- 20,595
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,595
- Household income
- $62,306
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 536.0
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 8% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -45.48%
- Current HPI
- 269.6454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+7.4% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $80,520 DMMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $85,870 DMMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $91,220 DMMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $96,570 DMMLS
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $101,650 DMMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $107,000 DMMLS
- 2023-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $106,500 Public Records
- 2023-01-23 Sold (MLS) $106,500 DMMLS
- 2022-12-31 Pending — DMMLS
- 2022-09-16 Price Changed $110,000 DMMLS
- 2022-07-16 Listed $120,000 DMMLS
- 2019-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-14 Sold (MLS) $68,800 DMMLS
- 2018-11-29 Pending — DMMLS
- 2018-10-16 Price Changed $67,900 DMMLS
- 2018-09-13 Listed $69,000 DMMLS
- 2018-02-19 Listing Removed — DMMLS
- 2017-11-27 Listed $74,900 DMMLS
- 2017-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-10 Sold (MLS) $18,000 DMMLS
- 2014-11-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-04 Listed $26,900 DMMLS
- 2014-03-25 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-06-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-30 Listed $88,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,424 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…