6492 S View Ln · Gilbert, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- 1% rule +0.7/10.0
$495,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the sought-after Seville community, this beautifully updated single-level home offers thoughtful improvements throughout. Fresh interior paint enhances the bright, welcoming feel of the home, while modern upgrades create true move-in-ready convenience. At the heart of the home, the updated kitchen features black stainless steel appliances, a reverse osmosis system, and quartz countertops. The upgraded soft-close cabinetry and drawers extend throughout the home, offering a cohesive, finished look. The spacious primary suite is complete with an updated bathroom, walk-in closet, and direct access to the backyard. Outside, you'll find plenty of space to play and room to relax under t
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Walk-in closet
- Soft-close cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $495k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-814 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $351k (29.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (42.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $282k (42.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.2% in Gilbert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Riggs Elementary (math 56% / reading 63%, grade B-, #148 of 1,109 statewide, top 15%, 833 students, 12% FRL); Willie & Coy Payne Jr. High (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 1,143 students, 11% FRL); Basha High School (math 61% / reading 61%, grade C+, #17 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,814 students, 11% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$72k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $300k; list at $495k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.57% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.05%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 14.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $512,979
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6508 S Twilight Ct | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,693 (0%) | 7mo | $420,000 | $248 | 83 |
| 6337 S Blake St | 0.28mi | 3/2.5 | 1,899 (+12%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $229 | 63 |
| 6637 S Cartier Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (-2%) | 1mo | $515,000 | $309 | 63 |
| 3266 E Sports Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 1,675 (-1%) | 6mo | $430,000 | $257 | 62 |
| 3676 E Janelle Way | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (-12%) | 7mo | $510,000 | $343 | 60 |
| 3589 E Flower St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (-12%) | 8mo | $495,000 | $333 | 59 |
| 6092 S Bridal Vail Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,749 (+3%) | 1mo | $535,000 | $306 | 58 |
| 6762 S St Andrews Way | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (+4%) | 7mo | $535,000 | $303 | 57 |
| 6710 S Seton Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+3%) | 2mo | $499,900 | $286 | 56 |
| 6746 S Goldfinch Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+3%) | 7mo | $575,000 | $329 | 55 |
| 6823 S Pinehurst Dr | 0.66mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,764 (+4%) | 1mo | $485,000 | $275 | 55 |
| 3435 E Anika Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,749 (+3%) | 7mo | $485,000 | $277 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $167,190
- Equity at exit
- $388,352
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.84×
- Total profit
- $532,171
- Equity at exit
- $782,899
Cash invested: $138,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85298
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 14.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,825 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,596
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,686/yr
- Insurance
- −$206
- HOA
- −$103
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$593
- Net cashflow
- $-814
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-534 | -5% $-674 | +0% $-814 | +5% $-954 | +10% $-1,094 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,037 | -5% $-926 | +0% $-814 | +5% $-703 | +10% $-591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-565 | -0.5pp $-688 | base $-814 | +0.5pp $-942 | +1.0pp $-1,073 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $123,750
- Closing costs
- $14,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3725 E Meadowview Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,750 | $1.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 3808 E Flower Ct Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,095 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 6334 S Blake St Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $2,100 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3868 E Palmer St Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1899 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3462 E Powell Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,295 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3443 E Riopelle Ave Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,350 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 6686 S St Andrews Way Gilbert, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $5,100 | $2.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3329 E Powell Ct Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,345 | $1.58 | 16d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3486 E Anika Ct Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $2,600 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6659 S Cartier Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4155 E Clubview Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2064 | $2,600 | $1.26 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6687 S Classic Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $4,300 | $1.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3560 E Merlot St Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1777 | $4,750 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3067 E Palmdale Ln Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,300 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3147 E Vallejo Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2171 | $2,350 | $1.08 | 17d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2971 E Ridgewood Ln Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $2,380 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6770 S Tucana Ln Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2070 | $4,500 | $2.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2927 E Mead Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3068 E Ravenswood Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,550 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2954 E Coconino Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2180 | $2,590 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3710 E Lodgepole Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $2,650 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3636 E Lodgepole Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1818 | $3,075 | $1.69 | 17d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $103 · $1,236/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $495,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $495,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$495,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,686 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,267 · $272/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,581/yr (+$132/mo · 93.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,895
- − Mortgage interest
- −$27,728
- − Property taxes
- −$1,686
- − Insurance
- −$2,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,712
- − Management
- −$2,712
- − HOA
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$14,400
- Taxable loss
- −$19,053
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,573
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Gilbert
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilbert, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 281,769
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,114
- Household income
- $156,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.36%
- Current HPI
- 343.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+117.1% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-03-11 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-01-30 Listed $510,000 ARMLS
- 2024-05-30 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2022-02-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2022-02-13 Listed $512,900 ARMLS
- 2019-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-03 Sold (MLS) $300,000 ARMLS
- 2019-04-20 Pending — ARMLS
- 2019-03-30 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2019-03-30 Price Changed $300,000 ARMLS
- 2019-03-29 Listed $299,000 ARMLS
- 2015-05-15 Sold (MLS) $219,000 ARMLS
- 2015-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $219,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-07 Pending — ARMLS
- 2015-04-13 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2015-04-02 Price Changed $220,000 ARMLS
- 2015-03-24 Price Changed $227,900 ARMLS
- 2015-02-18 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2015-02-03 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2015-01-26 Price Changed $228,900 ARMLS
- 2015-01-10 Listed $234,900 ARMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,686 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…