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4407 Sunset Dr
A- Composite 84.49
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$65,000

4407 Sunset Dr · Jackson, MS 39213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1957 0.51 ac lot $35/sqft · 36% below area Est $102k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious 3/2 fixer with an eat-in kitchen, great room, and dedicated laundry room. Fenced backyard with lots of space for entertaining. Being sold AS-IS. Sellers have never occupied the property. Call your favorite realtor today and make it yours!

Key facts

  • Eat-in kitchen
  • Great room
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENGREAT ROOMDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMFENCED BACKYARDSPACE FOR ENTERTAINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $485 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,274/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1138% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.96%
Cap rate
15.25%
Cash-on-cash
32.00%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,137
List price
$65,000
Delta
-36.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2340 Queensroad Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,645 (-12%) 11mo $101,000 $61 40
2310 Montebello Dr 0.59mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,114 (+12%) 12mo $39,900 $19 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.7%
Equity multiple
4.65×
Total profit
$66,372
Equity at exit
$58,557
10-year hold
IRR
42.5%
Equity multiple
10.41×
Total profit
$171,275
Equity at exit
$126,281

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39213

Home prices YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,837/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$485

Break-even live

Break-even rent $660
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $65,000 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $75,000 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $75,000 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 85 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $75,000 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 78 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 77 DOM
  18. 2026-03-14
    listed $75,000 Active 247-char remark
    Show marketing remark (247 chars)

    Spacious 3/2 fixer with an eat-in kitchen, great room, and dedicated laundry room. Fenced backyard with lots of space for entertaining. Being sold AS-IS. Sellers have never occupied the property. Call your favorite realtor today and make it yours!

  19. 2024-10-09
    soldstatus Closed 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  20. 2024-09-26
    soldstatus
  21. 2024-09-25
    status Pending 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  22. 2024-09-09
    price $39,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  23. 2024-09-09
    status Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  24. 2024-09-06
    historical 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  25. 2024-08-05
    status Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  26. 2024-08-04
    historical 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  27. 2024-07-17
    price $44,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  28. 2024-05-08
    listed $54,900 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    Located with easy access to I-220 and Northside Dr this home sits on a large lot and is ready for you to make this a home of your own. Recently, this house received a new roof. The home features 3 bedrooms and two bath. The living room has a huge window overlooking the front yard. Eating area, laundry room and kitchen complete this property.

  29. 1989-05-05
    soldstatus
  30. 1957-02-20
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,837 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,286
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,837
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,235
After-tax cash flow
$4,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
18,691
Household income
$29,541
Rent vs Own
52.7% rent · 47.3% own
Severe rent burden
1138.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.42%
Current HPI
329.1844
Rent YoY
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+36.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $75,000 MLSU
  • 2024-10-09 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2024-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-09-25 Pending MLSU
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $39,900 MLSU
  • 2024-09-09 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-09-06 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-08-05 Relisted MLSU
  • 2024-08-04 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed $44,900 MLSU
  • 2024-05-08 Listed $54,900 MLSU
  • 1989-05-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1957-02-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+23.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,837 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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