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2516 SW C Ave
C+ Composite 61.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,000

2516 SW C Ave · Lawton, OK 73505
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 696 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1954 6,350 sqft lot Est $33k · 32% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment property, currently tenant occupied. The seller of this property is a licensed real estate broker in Oklahoma.

Key facts

  • 6,350 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Public-maintained city street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cooktop, Refrigerator, Gas water heater; Carpet and laminate flooring; No fireplace; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cleveland Es (math 32% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Central Ms (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #153 of 345 statewide, top 45%, 994 students, 0% FRL); Lawton Hs (math 16% / reading 21%, grade F, #302 of 447 statewide, top 68%, 1,417 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $44k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.27%
Cap rate
20.51%
Cash-on-cash
50.77%
DSCR
3.26
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$33,408
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2417 SW D 0.14mi 2/1.0 700 (+1%) 2mo $25,000 $36 91
801 SW 26th Pl 0.25mi 2/1.0 700 (+1%) 1mo $25,300 $36 86
2715 SW G Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 700 (+1%) 14mo $17,000 $24 70
2718 SW H Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 720 (+3%) 7mo $50,000 $69 68
609 SW 24th Pl 0.19mi 2/1.0 800 (+15%) 7mo $38,000 $48 60
2323 SW A Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 800 (+15%) 3mo $25,000 $31 59
919 SW 29th 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+15%) 2mo $63,000 $79 44
1004 SW 28th St 0.45mi 2/1.0 600 (-14%) 15mo $43,000 $72 43
929 SW 29th St 0.55mi 2/1.0 800 (+15%) 8mo $56,000 $70 42
1210 SW 25th Pl 0.56mi 2/1.0 600 (-14%) 11mo $35,000 $58 42
927 SW 36th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+15%) 14mo $31,000 $39 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.9%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$28,259
Equity at exit
$6,561
10-year hold
IRR
57.1%
Equity multiple
7.23×
Total profit
$76,757
Equity at exit
$3,804

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73505

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
398
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax from tax record
$20 /mo · $241/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $341
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-19
    listed $44,000 Active
  3. 1994-05-24
    soldstatus $13,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$241 · $20/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$396 · $33/mo
Expected delta
+$155/yr (+$13/mo · 64.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,005
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$241
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$5,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,411
After-tax cash flow
$4,843/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawton
NCES district ID
4017250
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,618
Composite
19.68/100
National rank
#8732
State rank
#137 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
47,790
Household income
$58,272
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.88%
Current HPI
169.4524
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+225.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending LBRMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $44,000 LBRMLS
  • 1994-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $241 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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