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301 Bertsch St
F Composite 28.89
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +1.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$320,000

301 Bertsch St · Lansford, PA 18232
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,538 sqft · Townhouse public records · 167 Days on market
Built 1930 3,311 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

Key facts

  • Built 1930
  • Listed 167 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (61.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (59.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (61.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 1.4% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
  • Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
  • Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,794 (61.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 61% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.41%
Cap rate
1.44%
Cash-on-cash
-17.33%
DSCR
0.23
GRM
20.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,394
List price
$320,000
Delta
200.77%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
234 E Kline Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,594 (+4%) 10mo $89,800 $56 76
307 E Abbott St 0.08mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,640 (+7%) 4mo $60,000 $37 75
262 E Kline Ave 0.06mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,665 (+8%) 8mo $50,000 $30 72
253 E Abbott 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,370 (-11%) 4mo $165,000 $120 66
501 E Bertsch 0.19mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,670 (+9%) 8mo $119,900 $72 63
206 W Bertsch St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,584 (+3%) 5mo $172,500 $109 60
6 E Abbott St 0.32mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-9%) 8mo $116,600 $83 57
232 W Patterson St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,613 (+5%) 10mo $70,000 $43 50
838 E Patterson St 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,356 (-12%) 10mo $113,197 $83 47
126 W White St 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (-13%) 6mo $115,000 $86 44
138 E Fell St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (-15%) 6mo $125,000 $95 40
333 W Abbott St 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,420 (-8%) 12mo $128,000 $90 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$72,821
Equity at exit
$267,908
10-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
4.07×
Total profit
$275,355
Equity at exit
$557,363

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18232

Home prices YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
20.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,308 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$516 /mo · $6,190/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-1,294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,946
Max offer price $123,794
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
317 E Bertsch St Unit 1 Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 1650 $1,400 $0.85 43d 1 0.03mi
323 E Bertsch St Unit A-1 Lansford, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,450 $1.16 43d 1 0.03mi
10 Leisenring St Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1422 $1,100 $0.77 43d 1 0.22mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 3A Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,650 $1.06 43d 1 0.54mi
149 W Ridge St Unit 1B Lansford, PA 3.0 1.0 1654 $1,500 $0.91 19d 1 0.54mi
151 E High St Coaldale, PA 3.0 1.0 1312 $1,200 $0.91 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $320,000 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $320,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $320,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $320,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $320,000 Active 162 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $320,000 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $320,000 Active 159 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,000 Active 158 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,000 Active 157 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $320,000 Active 156 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $320,000 Active 153 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $320,000 Active 152 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $320,000 Active 151 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $320,000 Active 150 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Active 149 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,000 Active 148 DOM
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $320,000 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  18. 2026-03-09
    status Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  19. 2026-03-09
    status Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  20. 2026-02-27
    status Pending 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  21. 2026-02-27
    status Pending 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  22. 2026-02-20
    price $337,500 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  23. 2025-12-23
    listed $375,000 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  24. 2025-12-23
    listed $375,000 Active 151-char remark
    Show marketing remark (151 chars)

    Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.

  25. 2024-01-11
    historical $895
  26. 2024-01-04
    listed $895
  27. 2023-03-10
    soldstatus $250,000 Sold
  28. 2023-01-31
    status Pending
  29. 2022-12-15
    listed $275,000 Active
  30. 2020-12-04
    historical
  31. 2020-07-06
    soldstatus $124,900
  32. 2020-06-26
    soldstatus $124,900
  33. 2020-06-26
    soldstatus $124,900
  34. 2020-02-14
    listed $119,900
  35. 2020-02-14
    listed $119,900
  36. 2017-09-27
    soldstatus $138,500
  37. 2017-02-28
    listed $109,000
  38. 2017-02-26
    listed $99,000
  39. 2015-09-14
    soldstatus $50,000
  40. 2011-01-31
    historical
  41. 2010-07-24
    listed $129,000
  42. 2008-12-05
    listed $132,900
  43. 2008-02-06
    soldstatus $85,000
  44. 2008-02-06
    soldstatus $85,000
  45. 2007-07-26
    listed $139,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,190 · $516/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,190 · $516/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,699
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$6,190
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,256
− Management
−$1,256
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$21,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,241
After-tax cash flow
$-10,284/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Panther Valley SD
NCES district ID
4218450
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$36,914
Composite
20.31/100
National rank
#8613
State rank
#477 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lansford

Score
72/100
State rank
#605
US rank
#5834

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lansford, PA
County
Carbon County · 13,404 people
City population
4,156
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
4,156
Household income
$44,713
Rent vs Own
48.0% rent · 52.0% own
Severe rent burden
123.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,643 people
By 2030
59,840 · -2.9%
By 2040
55,413 · -10.1%
By 2050
50,843 · -17.5%
By 2075
43,326 · -29.7%
By 2100
37,126 · -39.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.12%
Current HPI
262.3396
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+130.2% since first listed
29 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $320,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted LCAR
  • 2026-03-09 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-02-27 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $337,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $375,000 LCAR
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $375,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-01-11 Rental Removed $895 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $895 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $250,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2022-12-15 Listed $275,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-12-04 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2020-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
  • 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $124,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $124,900 PMAR
  • 2020-02-14 Listed $119,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2020-02-14 Listed $119,900 PMAR
  • 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $138,500 Public Records
  • 2017-02-28 Listed $109,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2017-02-26 Listed $99,000 PMAR
  • 2015-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-01-31 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2010-07-24 Listed $129,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2008-12-05 Listed $132,900 PMAR
  • 2008-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2008-02-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 PMAR
  • 2007-07-26 Listed $139,000 PMAR

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $6,190 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…