301 Bertsch St · Lansford, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Cash flow +1.2/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
Key facts
- Built 1930
- Listed 167 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (61.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (59.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (61.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.4% vs local median 9.5% in Lansford — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#605 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities D, schools F, commute F.
- Panther Valley SD (rural): math 14% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #477 of 539 in PA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
- Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $250k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 61% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.41% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -17.33%
- DSCR
- 0.23
- GRM
- 20.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $106,394
- List price
- $320,000
- Delta
- 200.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 E Kline Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,594 (+4%) | 10mo | $89,800 | $56 | 76 |
| 307 E Abbott St | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,640 (+7%) | 4mo | $60,000 | $37 | 75 |
| 262 E Kline Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+8%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $30 | 72 |
| 253 E Abbott | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,370 (-11%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 501 E Bertsch | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,670 (+9%) | 8mo | $119,900 | $72 | 63 |
| 206 W Bertsch St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,584 (+3%) | 5mo | $172,500 | $109 | 60 |
| 6 E Abbott St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-9%) | 8mo | $116,600 | $83 | 57 |
| 232 W Patterson St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,613 (+5%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $43 | 50 |
| 838 E Patterson St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,356 (-12%) | 10mo | $113,197 | $83 | 47 |
| 126 W White St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-13%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $86 | 44 |
| 138 E Fell St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (-15%) | 6mo | $125,000 | $95 | 40 |
| 333 W Abbott St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,420 (-8%) | 12mo | $128,000 | $90 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $72,821
- Equity at exit
- $267,908
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.07×
- Total profit
- $275,355
- Equity at exit
- $557,363
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18232
- Home prices YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 20.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,308 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$516 /mo · $6,190/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-1,294
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 E Bertsch St Unit 1 Lansford, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 323 E Bertsch St Unit A-1 Lansford, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,450 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 10 Leisenring St Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1422 | $1,100 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 149 W Ridge St Unit 3A Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,650 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 149 W Ridge St Unit 1B Lansford, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1654 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 19d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 151 E High St Coaldale, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $320,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $320,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $320,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $320,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $320,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $320,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $320,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $320,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $320,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $320,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $320,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $320,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $320,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $320,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $320,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $320,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-04-28price $320,000 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2026-03-09status Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2026-03-09status Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2026-02-27status Pending 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2026-02-27status Pending 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2026-02-20price $337,500 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2025-12-23$375,000 Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
-
2025-12-23$375,000 Active 151-char remark
Show marketing remark (151 chars)
Fully occupied 4-unit investment property in Lansford generating immediate cash flow. Tenants responsible for electric, heat. Landlord pays for W/ S/T.
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2024-01-11historical $895
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2024-01-04$895
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2023-03-10soldstatus $250,000 Sold
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2023-01-31status Pending
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2022-12-15$275,000 Active
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2020-12-04historical
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2020-07-06soldstatus $124,900
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2020-06-26soldstatus $124,900
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2020-06-26soldstatus $124,900
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2020-02-14$119,900
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2020-02-14$119,900
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2017-09-27soldstatus $138,500
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2017-02-28$109,000
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2017-02-26$99,000
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2015-09-14soldstatus $50,000
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2011-01-31historical
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2010-07-24$129,000
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2008-12-05$132,900
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2008-02-06soldstatus $85,000
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2008-02-06soldstatus $85,000
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2007-07-26$139,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,190 · $516/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,190 · $516/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$6,190
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$21,837
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Panther Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218450
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,914
- Composite
- 20.31/100
- National rank
- #8613
- State rank
- #477 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lansford
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #5834
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lansford, PA
- County
- Carbon County · 13,404 people
- City population
- 4,156
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,156
- Household income
- $44,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 123.0
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,643 people
- By 2030
- 59,840 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 50,843 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 43,326 · -29.7%
- By 2100
- 37,126 · -39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 11% Two or more races 11% Native American 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.8) · D 32.2% · R 67.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 1.9pp · 2024: -34.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.8 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+6.9 2008: D+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.12%
- Current HPI
- 262.3396
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+130.2% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $320,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — LCAR
- 2026-03-09 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-02-27 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $337,500 GLVRMLS
- 2025-12-23 Listed $375,000 LCAR
- 2025-12-23 Listed $375,000 GLVRMLS
- 2024-01-11 Rental Removed $895 GLVRMLS
- 2024-01-04 Listed for Rent $895 GLVRMLS
- 2023-03-10 Sold (MLS) $250,000 GLVRMLS
- 2023-01-31 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2022-12-15 Listed $275,000 GLVRMLS
- 2020-12-04 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2020-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $124,900 Public Records
- 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $124,900 GLVRMLS
- 2020-06-26 Sold (MLS) $124,900 PMAR
- 2020-02-14 Listed $119,900 GLVRMLS
- 2020-02-14 Listed $119,900 PMAR
- 2017-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $138,500 Public Records
- 2017-02-28 Listed $109,000 GLVRMLS
- 2017-02-26 Listed $99,000 PMAR
- 2015-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-01-31 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2010-07-24 Listed $129,000 GLVRMLS
- 2008-12-05 Listed $132,900 PMAR
- 2008-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2008-02-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 PMAR
- 2007-07-26 Listed $139,000 PMAR
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2026): $6,190 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…