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4062 E Elm St
A Composite 85.64
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$67,800

4062 E Elm St · Union City, IN 47390
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,814 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1885 0.79 ac lot $37/sqft · 40% below area Est $113k · 40% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Country setting. large lot. 1 car detached garage. Attic are could be finished to make 1 bedroom, 1 bath. Exterior staircase to attic wit large deck.

Key facts

  • 0.79 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1885

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#432 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Randolph Eastern School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #246 of 301 in IN (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($469 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Randolph County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,766 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.88%
Cash-on-cash
34.25%
DSCR
2.52
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$112,967
List price
$67,800
Delta
-39.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
50.5%
Equity multiple
4.76×
Total profit
$71,432
Equity at exit
$61,080
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
10.65×
Total profit
$183,220
Equity at exit
$131,720

Cash invested: $18,984 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47390

Home prices YoY
9.1%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,240 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $647/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$542

Break-even live

Break-even rent $554
Max offer price $67,800
Occupancy floor 51%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,950
Closing costs
$2,034
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,800 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,800 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,800 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,800 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,800 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $67,800 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $67,800 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,600 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,600 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-05-07
    price $73,600 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Country setting. large lot. 1 car detached garage. Attic are could be finished to make 1 bedroom, 1 bath. Exterior staircase to attic wit large deck.

  11. 2026-04-08
    listed $79,900 Active 150-char remark
    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    Country setting. large lot. 1 car detached garage. Attic are could be finished to make 1 bedroom, 1 bath. Exterior staircase to attic wit large deck.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$647 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$647 · $54/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,878
− Mortgage interest
−$3,798
− Property taxes
−$647
− Insurance
−$339
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,190
− Management
−$1,190
− Depreciation
−$1,972
Taxable income
$5,742
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,378
After-tax cash flow
$5,123/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Randolph Eastern School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803180
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,652
Composite
24.92/100
National rank
#7570
State rank
#246 of 301 in IN

Livability — Union City

Score
63/100
State rank
#432
US rank
#15530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,084

Population outlook (Randolph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,998 people
By 2030
21,815 · -5.1%
By 2040
19,360 · -15.8%
By 2050
17,010 · -26.0%
By 2075
12,491 · -45.7%
By 2100
8,986 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 9% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea, Guatemala
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randolph

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.7) · D 22.3% · R 75.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-44.9pp toward R · 2008: -8.8pp · 2024: -53.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+24.1 2008: R+8.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 22.82%
Current HPI
273.6736
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $73,600 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $79,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $647 · +82.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…