653 E Maryland St · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a package deal with tenants in 3 of the 3 properties. Properties include: 640 Madison Ave rent $1,000/month 653 E Maryland $1,200/month (market rent currently vacant) 410 E Virginia $900/month $5120 per month/$61,440 annually
Key facts
- 3,790 sq ft lot
- Built 1919
- Listed 124 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family, site-built home; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 29 x 130
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces); Laundry located on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Fireplace in the family room; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Delaware Elementary School (math 22% / reading 16%, grade F, #829 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 338 students, 90% FRL); North Junior High School (math 44% / reading 57%, grade C, #43 of 330 statewide, top 14%, 929 students, 42% FRL); North High School (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 1,674 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.92%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $76,866
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 E Michigan St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,090 (-2%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $46 | 74 |
| 313 E Iowa St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (+0%) | 8mo | $69,900 | $63 | 72 |
| 614 E Iowa St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (+6%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $102 | 71 |
| 917 N Morton Ave | 0.07mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (+11%) | 8mo | $106,500 | $86 | 66 |
| 812 N Garvin St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 978 (-12%) | 6mo | $64,900 | $66 | 63 |
| 1311 N Garvin St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-9%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $124 | 60 |
| 318 E Eichel Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (+4%) | 7mo | $72,000 | $62 | 60 |
| 1108 Garvin St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 976 (-12%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 915 N Evans St | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,274 (+14%) | 8mo | $35,000 | $27 | 56 |
| 311 E Oregon St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 950 (-15%) | 5mo | $17,000 | $18 | 52 |
| 220 E Eichel Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,231 (+10%) | 7mo | $84,900 | $69 | 47 |
| 29 W Florida St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+11%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $110 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $5,628
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $45,146
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47711
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 234
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,085 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $660/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $318 | -5% $291 | +0% $264 | +5% $237 | +10% $211 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $179 | -5% $221 | +0% $264 | +5% $307 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $288 | base $264 | +0.5pp $240 | +1.0pp $215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 751 | $675 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 109 E Eichel Ave Unit B Evansville, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,257 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 200 N Main St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,599 | $1.86 | 15d | 7 | 0.68mi |
| 32 W Tennessee St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $925 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 41 W Division St Apt 200 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $795 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 706 Court St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 313 NW Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Unit 311 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $950 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2501 N Evans Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $900 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1219 Joan Ave Unit 1219 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $845 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 400 NW 5th St Unit 4 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $725 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 329 Main St Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 717 | $1,505 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 913 N Spring St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,350 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $95,000 Pending 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-02-02$95,000 Active
-
2025-04-06historical $700
-
2025-04-02$700
-
2024-03-14historical $1,200
-
2023-12-28$1,200
-
2020-10-01$49,900
-
2018-12-19$40,000
-
2016-05-09$44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $660 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $734 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$74/yr (+$6/mo · 11.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$660
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,042
- − Management
- −$1,042
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $1,716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$412
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,944
- Household income
- $66,320
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.98%
- Current HPI
- 205.62
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+111.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Listed $95,000 IRMLS
- 2025-04-06 Rental Removed $700 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-02 Listed for Rent $700 APPFOLIO
- 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-28 Listed for Rent $1,200 APPFOLIO
- 2020-10-01 Listed $49,900 IRMLS
- 2018-12-19 Listed $40,000 IRMLS
- 2016-05-09 Listed $44,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2024): $660 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…