211 Walnut St · Waverly, MO 64096

$98,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market

Built 1924 6,970 sqft lot $87/sqft · 7% below area Est $105k · 7% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.3/30.0
• ARV discount +10.5/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +7.8/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

You won't want to miss this opportunity! This single-story home, located on the main street into Waverly, offers great potential as an investment property or a perfect first home. Originally built as a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home, the owners have renovated to add a third bedroom and have made a great start on an additional full bathroom. This home is being sold as-is, offering the chance to finish the updates and make it your own. Call today to schedule your showing!

Key facts

• Investment property
• Single-story home
• Third bedroom

Tags

• SINGLE-STORY HOME
• INVESTMENT PROPERTY
• THIRD BEDROOM
• ADDITIONAL FULL BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($999 rent vs $98k).
• Recommended offer: $92k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#367 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• Santa Fe R-X (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #302 of 535 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Lafayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $92,120 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.63%
• DSCR: 1.38
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $104,897
• List price: $98,000
• Delta: -6.58%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 11 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
905 Main St	0.25mi	2/1.0	1,152 (+2%)	14mo	$109,900	$95	73
807 Main St	0.20mi	2/2.0	1,046 (-7%)	14mo	$130,000	$124	62
1100 Washington St	0.65mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,120 (-1%)	3mo	$89,000	$79	59
106 W Cedar St	0.29mi	3/1.0 (+1)	960 (-15%)	2mo	$99,900	$104	55
205 W Gala St	0.43mi	2/1.0	1,290 (+14%)	4mo	$105,000	$81	52
403 W Cedar St	0.48mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,256 (+11%)	4mo	$185,000	$147	50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.40×
• Total profit: $65,903
• Equity at exit: $88,286

10-year hold

• IRR: 26.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.71×
• Total profit: $184,116
• Equity at exit: $190,392

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 64096

• Home prices YoY: 4.0%
• Active inventory: 9
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $999 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$514
• Tax from tax record: −$37 /mo · $448/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$210
• Net cashflow: $197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $749

Max offer price $98,000

Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,500
• Closing costs: $2,940
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $98,000 Active 66 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $98,000 Active 65 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $98,000 Active 64 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $98,000 Active 63 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $98,000 Active 61 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $98,000 Active 60 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $98,000 Active 57 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $98,000 Active 56 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $98,000 Active 55 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $98,000 Active 53 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $98,000 Active 51 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 50 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 49 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 48 DOM
15. 2026-04-13
    listed $98,000 Active 470-char remark

    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    You won't want to miss this opportunity! This single-story home, located on the main street into Waverly, offers great potential as an investment property or a perfect first home. Originally built as a 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home, the owners have renovated to add a third bedroom and have made a great start on an additional full bathroom. This home is being sold as-is, offering the chance to finish the updates and make it your own. Call today to schedule your showing!

16. 2023-01-17
    soldstatus
17. 2003-06-09
    soldstatus 46-char remark

    Show marketing remark (46 chars)

    PC7630 Must sell quick. Call agent for details

18. 2003-06-09
    soldstatus

    Show marketing remark (46 chars)

    PC7630 Must sell quick. Call agent for details

19. 2003-05-12
    listed $29,000 46-char remark

    Show marketing remark (46 chars)

    PC7630 Must sell quick. Call agent for details

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $448 · $37/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $951 · $79/mo
• Expected delta: +$502/yr (+$42/mo · 112.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,991
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,490
• − Property taxes: −$448
• − Insurance: −$490
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$959
• − Management: −$959
• − Depreciation: −$2,851
• Taxable income: $794
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$191
• After-tax cash flow: $2,177/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Santa Fe R-X
• NCES district ID: 2903000
• Math proficiency: 30% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $46,204
• Composite: 36.52/100
• National rank: #9304
• State rank: #302 of 535 in MO

Livability — Waverly

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #367
• US rank: #16168

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Waverly, MO
• Population (ZIP): 1,197

Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 31,118 people
• By 2030: 29,993 · -3.6%
• By 2040: 27,436 · -11.8%
• By 2050: 24,585 · -21.0%
• By 2075: 18,426 · -40.8%
• By 2100: 12,897 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9%
• Common ancestry: Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.9) · D 24.9% · R 73.8% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -33.6pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -48.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.9 2020: R+45.7 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 10.78%
• Current HPI: 277.9244
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+237.9% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Listed $98,000 CMBR
• 2023-01-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-06-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2003-06-09 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-05-12 Listed $29,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $448 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.