705 Osmond Ave · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Cape Cod is here to impress! Fresh paint, fresh carpet, new master bath and a half bath added to the upstairs Loft! Brand new windows & sliding door which let in lots of natural light. Unfinished basement and cute deck on back. Square footage does not include upstairs bedroom. This one won’t last long! Property being sold AS Is.
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Large front porch
- Efficient layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Cape Cod style; One and one half stories; Block foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Vinyl windows; Shingle roof; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 10; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom approximately 12 x 12 (on main level); Second bedroom approximately 12 x 12 (on main level); Third bedroom approximately 20 x 10 (on upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Full, unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.96%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,656
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Crestmore Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 786 (-1%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $95 | 81 |
| 936 Walton Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (0%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $76 | 67 |
| 848 N Upland Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 846 (+7%) | 3mo | $52,000 | $61 | 67 |
| 938 Leland Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 844 (+7%) | 0mo | $40,000 | $47 | 62 |
| 548 Huron Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 830 (+5%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $90 | 61 |
| 752 Cleverly Rd | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 788 (-0%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $146 | 60 |
| 676 Brooklyn Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 814 (+3%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $43 | 57 |
| 640 Shoop Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 776 (-2%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $39 | 52 |
| 550 Brooklyn Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+9%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $93 | 51 |
| 759 Geneva Rd | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 735 (-7%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $136 | 49 |
| 308 Brooklyn Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 888 (+12%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $146 | 43 |
| 361 Roxbury Rd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+9%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $139 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $6,288
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $34,673
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,082 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $937/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $296
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 137 Westwood Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $900 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 635 Anna St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 70 Gramont Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $700 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 41 N Marion St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $925 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4625 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,150 | $1.33 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 342 Lookout Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4914 Gardendale Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,125 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 500 Bowie Dr Unit 122 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $910 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,000 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3650 Otterbein Ave Unit 3650 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $925 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1595 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 652 Dennison Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,095 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3537 Otterbein Ave Unit d Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 673 Randolph St Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $950 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 378-char remark
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 367-char remark
-
2026-06-07$89,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $937 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,130 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$194/yr (+$16/mo · 20.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,988
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$937
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$558
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,999/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+673.9% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $89,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $89,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-02-27 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-01-18 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2024-01-09 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2023-12-21 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2023-12-19 Listed $80,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-27 Sold (MLS) $4,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-27 Sold (MLS) $4,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-05 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2020-01-09 Relisted — Dayton MLS
- 2019-12-04 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2019-11-03 Listed $5,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-10-18 Sold (MLS) $3,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-10-18 Sold (MLS) $3,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-10-03 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2019-08-20 Price Changed $5,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-07-24 Price Changed $21,500 Dayton MLS
- 2019-06-10 Price Changed $22,500 Dayton MLS
- 2019-04-29 Listed $29,000 Dayton MLS
- 2017-09-28 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2017-09-22 Listed $13,900 Dayton MLS
- 1991-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $937 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…