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1218 S Spruce St
D Composite 43.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$90,000

1218 S Spruce St · Ashland, PA 17921
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 1,307 sqft lot Est $65k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent condition, move right in, all types of financing available, completely remodeled to include new roof and electric. Off-street parking in rear.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Parking
  • Built 1925

Tags

NEW FLOORINGNEWER REPLACEMENT WINDOWSON AND OFF STREET PARKINGLOW MAINTENANCE LIVING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking available; One off-street parking space; Total of 1 garage/parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Estimated year built; Entry includes front entrance to basement
  • Construction: Concrete construction materials; Foundation of concrete perimeter, stone, and wood; Asphalt roof; Building not winterized
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 13 x 100 feet; Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Electric baseboard heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Living room; Dining room; Attic; Unfinished front-entrance basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-216/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (3.5% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $90k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,815 (3.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.86%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,660
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
819 Market St 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,043 (-2%) 10mo $45,000 $43 77
906 Walnut St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,032 (-3%) 9mo $90,000 $87 75
923 Brock St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 990 (-7%) 5mo $26,000 $26 73
1125 Market St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+9%) 7mo $90,000 $78 71
1306 Market St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,085 (+2%) 20mo $55,000 $51 70
1613 Walnut St 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,164 (+10%) 2mo $120,000 $103 70
1329 Spruce St 0.07mi 3/1.5 1,112 (+5%) 20mo $68,000 $61 70
1210 Walnut St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,156 (+9%) 14mo $42,500 $37 68
1705 Market St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,140 (+8%) 15mo $90,000 $79 58
718 Brock St 0.26mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,098 (+4%) 21mo $50,000 $46 58
126 Middle St 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,044 (-2%) 16mo $90,000 $86 52
737 Walnut St 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,190 (+12%) 18mo $55,000 $46 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$48,035
Equity at exit
$81,079
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.66×
Total profit
$142,690
Equity at exit
$174,850

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17921

Home prices YoY
21.7%
Active inventory
48
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$358 /mo · $4,294/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$226
Net cashflow
$-18

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,098
Max offer price $86,815
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $289 -5% $258 +0% $-18 +5% $-44 +10% $-69
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-60 +0% $-18 +5% $24 +10% $67
Rate -1.0pp $27 -0.5pp $5 base $-18 +0.5pp $-41 +1.0pp $-65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1313 Spruce St Ashland, PA 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,075 $0.80 44d 1 0.06mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $90,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,294 · $358/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,294 · $358/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,900
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$4,294
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,032
− Management
−$1,032
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable loss
−$1,567
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$376
After-tax cash flow
$160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Schuylkill SD
NCES district ID
4210110
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,529
Composite
28.37/100
National rank
#6770
State rank
#429 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ashland

Score
64/100
State rank
#1179
US rank
#13787

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashland, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,029

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 62.11%
Current HPI
347.8425
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+809.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-31 Rental Removed $1,100 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $1,100 BRIGHTMLS
  • 2022-11-29 Rental Removed BRIGHTMLS
  • 2022-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (MLS) $56,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-07-01 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-22 Price Changed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-06-04 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-28 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-23 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-03-31 Sold (MLS) $10,500 PMAR
  • 2019-11-01 Listed $9,900 PMAR

Property tax history

+17.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,294 · +326.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…