1218 S Spruce St · Ashland, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent condition, move right in, all types of financing available, completely remodeled to include new roof and electric. Off-street parking in rear.
Key facts
- New flooring
- Parking
- Built 1925
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking available; One off-street parking space; Total of 1 garage/parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Estimated year built; Entry includes front entrance to basement
- Construction: Concrete construction materials; Foundation of concrete perimeter, stone, and wood; Asphalt roof; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 13 x 100 feet; Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Electric baseboard heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring; Living room; Dining room; Attic; Unfinished front-entrance basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-216/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (3.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#1,179 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Schuylkill SD (rural): math 19% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #429 of 539 in PA (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $90k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.86%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,660
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 819 Market St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (-2%) | 10mo | $45,000 | $43 | 77 |
| 906 Walnut St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-3%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $87 | 75 |
| 923 Brock St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 990 (-7%) | 5mo | $26,000 | $26 | 73 |
| 1125 Market St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $78 | 71 |
| 1306 Market St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,085 (+2%) | 20mo | $55,000 | $51 | 70 |
| 1613 Walnut St | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (+10%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $103 | 70 |
| 1329 Spruce St | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,112 (+5%) | 20mo | $68,000 | $61 | 70 |
| 1210 Walnut St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (+9%) | 14mo | $42,500 | $37 | 68 |
| 1705 Market St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (+8%) | 15mo | $90,000 | $79 | 58 |
| 718 Brock St | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,098 (+4%) | 21mo | $50,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 126 Middle St | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-2%) | 16mo | $90,000 | $86 | 52 |
| 737 Walnut St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,190 (+12%) | 18mo | $55,000 | $46 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $48,035
- Equity at exit
- $81,079
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.66×
- Total profit
- $142,690
- Equity at exit
- $174,850
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17921
- Home prices YoY
- 21.7%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$358 /mo · $4,294/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $258 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-44 | +10% $-69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-103 | -5% $-60 | +0% $-18 | +5% $24 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $27 | -0.5pp $5 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1313 Spruce St Ashland, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,075 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,294 · $358/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,294 · $358/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,900
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$4,294
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable loss
- −$1,567
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $160/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Schuylkill SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210110
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,529
- Composite
- 28.37/100
- National rank
- #6770
- State rank
- #429 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #1179
- US rank
- #13787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,029
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 4% Polish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 62.11%
- Current HPI
- 347.8425
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+809.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $90,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-07-31 Rental Removed $1,100 BRIGHTMLS
- 2024-06-26 Listed for Rent $1,100 BRIGHTMLS
- 2022-11-29 Rental Removed — BRIGHTMLS
- 2022-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-25 Sold (MLS) $56,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-07-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-22 Price Changed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-28 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-23 Listed $64,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-03-31 Sold (MLS) $10,500 PMAR
- 2019-11-01 Listed $9,900 PMAR
Property tax history
+17.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,294 · +326.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…