2121 Tanager Ln · Mount Shasta, CA
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
Key facts
- Mini-split system
- Breezeway
- Two master suites
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 0.8 acre lot; Zoning: RRRB-1; Has spa / hot tub
Exterior
- Parking: Attached, paved 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer; Propane
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Stone construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio; French doors; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Double oven; Garbage disposal; Electric oven; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Skylight(s); Gas fireplace in the living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $550k).
- Recommended offer: $534k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.8% in Mount Shasta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#405 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Siskiyou Union High (rural): math 25% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #763 of 1,400 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 50 units permitted in Siskiyou County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Siskiyou County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($534k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $475k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.49%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $522
- Equity at exit
- $82,007
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $115,864
- Equity at exit
- $47,554
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96067
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,377 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$450 /mo · $5,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,339
- Net cashflow
- $1,408
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 700 N Old Stage Rd Mount Shasta, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2527 | $6,750 | $2.67 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 940 Douglas Ln Mount Shasta, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2526 | $6,000 | $2.38 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $550,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $550,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $550,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $550,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $550,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $550,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $550,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $550,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $550,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $550,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $550,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $550,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $575,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $575,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $575,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $575,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-02$575,000 Active
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $475,000 1103-char remark
Show marketing remark (1103 chars)
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
-
2022-02-18soldstatus $475,000
Show marketing remark (1103 chars)
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
-
2021-10-18$490,000 1103-char remark
Show marketing remark (1103 chars)
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
-
2020-09-22soldstatus $420,000
-
2020-09-17soldstatus $420,000 1103-char remark
Show marketing remark (1103 chars)
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
-
2020-07-20$399,000 1103-char remark
Show marketing remark (1103 chars)
Welcome home to 2121 Tanager Lane! Nestled in the Timber Hills Subdivision, this special home sits on a large lot with towering trees and a peek-a-boo view of Mt. Shasta. The front of the home is graced with rock siding and leads you into a open and spacious living room. This home provides you with a tile entry, large formal dining room and the living room that boasts an atrium, rock hearth with free standing fireplace and a large picture sliding glass door leading to a patio. The spacious kitchen features copious amount of cabinet space, tile counter tops, gas range and double ovens. Off the kitchen is a walk-in pantry, offering you plenty of room for all the essentials. This home also sports 2 master bedroom suites, with jetted tubs and tile counter tops. One of the master suites leads to a covered back porch with hot tub, perfect for outdoor entertaining. Other exciting features of the home are skylights, office/bedroom with French doors, large covered carport attached to the oversized garage, and an enclosed breezeway between the large utility room and garage. This home has it all!
-
1996-05-07soldstatus $202,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,404 · $450/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,404 · $450/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $76,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$5,404
- − Insurance
- −$3,548
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,122
- − Management
- −$6,122
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable income
- $8,521
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,045
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,847/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Siskiyou Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636940
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,293
- Composite
- 35.84/100
- National rank
- #9605
- State rank
- #763 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Mount Shasta
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #405
- US rank
- #13833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,800
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,800
Population outlook (Siskiyou County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,337 people
- By 2030
- 36,930 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 32,367 · -17.7%
- By 2050
- 29,030 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 23,534 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 19,312 · -50.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Russian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Siskiyou
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 38.8% · R 58.0% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+20.7 2012: R+15.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.87%
- Current HPI
- 115.4662
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+184.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Listed $575,000 SMLS
- 2022-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $475,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-18 Sold (MLS) $475,000 SMLS
- 2021-10-18 Listed $490,000 SMLS
- 2020-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $420,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-17 Sold (MLS) $420,000 SMLS
- 2020-07-20 Listed $399,000 SMLS
- 1996-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $202,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,404 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…