122 Poplar St · Williamstown, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Being sold "AS IS" "WHERE IS". Oil tank in ground to be removed and new above ground tank installed at current owner's expense.
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- Built 1935
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Structure updated / effective year 2009
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built/recorded in assessor records (above-grade finished area listed)
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Sidewalks; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the upper level
- Flooring: Fully carpeted; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (one full bathroom total)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $867 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 4.9% in Williamstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#289 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe Township Public School District (suburban): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #302 of 472 in NJ (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 270 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,047 units permitted in Gloucester County in 2024 (183 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gloucester County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $88k; list at $150k implies a 71% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.78%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $295,349
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Linwood Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,192 (+6%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $264 | 76 |
| 135 Oak St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-10%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $263 | 62 |
| 18 Bodine Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $149 | 59 |
| 112 Shisler Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-10%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $288 | 57 |
| 506 Sicklerville Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-6%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $167 | 56 |
| 422 Winslow Rd | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-8%) | 14mo | $321,000 | $311 | 52 |
| 521 Sicklerville Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $263 | 51 |
| 60 Lindale Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (-9%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $275 | 50 |
| 539 Greenbriar Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-4%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $269 | 47 |
| 335 Walnut St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,252 (+12%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $232 | 45 |
| 418 N Main St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,224 (+9%) | 12mo | $263,000 | $215 | 44 |
| 115 Lindale Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,254 (+12%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $199 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $31,080
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.35×
- Total profit
- $98,816
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08094
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,650 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$377 /mo · $4,523/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$556
- Net cashflow
- $867
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $952 | -5% $910 | +0% $867 | +5% $825 | +10% $782 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $658 | -5% $763 | +0% $867 | +5% $972 | +10% $1,076 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $943 | -0.5pp $905 | base $867 | +0.5pp $828 | +1.0pp $789 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62 Washington Ave Williamstown, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1434 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 8d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 401 Blue Bell Rd Unit C Williamstown, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 15 Kent Rd Williamstown, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,925 | $2.26 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 601 N Black Horse Pike Williamstown, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,938 | $2.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 401 N Main St Williamstown, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,825 | $2.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 343 Brookdale Blvd Williamstown, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1438 | $2,500 | $1.74 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-15status $150,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,523 · $377/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,523 · $377/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$4,523
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,544
- − Management
- −$2,544
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $8,669
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,081
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,325/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe Township Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,557
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #6295
- State rank
- #302 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Williamstown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #8603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamstown, NJ
- County
- Gloucester County · 160,422 people
- City population
- 41,595
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,595
- Household income
- $96,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 721.0
Population outlook (Gloucester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 298,895 people
- By 2030
- 299,031 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 294,020 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 284,188 · -4.9%
- By 2075
- 260,720 · -12.8%
- By 2100
- 229,565 · -23.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gloucester
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+1.9 2016: R+0.4 2012: D+10.5 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.12%
- Current HPI
- 278.3849
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+36.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-06-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-12-30 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $87,900 Public Records
- 2009-04-15 Sold (MLS) $87,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-12-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-01-15 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,523 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…