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142 Mill St
B Composite 73.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$42,000

142 Mill St · Neodesha, KS 66757
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 254 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot Est $42k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Updated pex plumbing
  • New siding
  • Good-sized backyard

Tags

OFF-STREET PARKINGNEW WINDOWSNEW SIDINGUPDATED PEX PLUMBINGGOOD-SIZED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Bungalow style
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Approximately 101+ years old
  • Exterior features: Not in a flood plain; Lot approximately 0.16 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Bungalow floor plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($758 rent vs $42k).
  • Recommended offer: $37k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#196 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Neodesha (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #121 of 169 in KS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $116 of equity ($290 loan paydown + $-174 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Wilson County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $42k implies a 320% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.80%
Cap rate
15.11%
Cash-on-cash
31.48%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$42,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
142 Mill St 0.00mi 1/1.0 600 (0%) 0mo $42,000 $70 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.41% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$17,622
Equity at exit
$11,333
10-year hold
IRR
35.4%
Equity multiple
4.85×
Total profit
$45,305
Equity at exit
$12,953

Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66757

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$758 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$220
Tax est. 1.5%
$52 /mo · $630/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$159
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $367
Max offer price $42,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,500
Closing costs
$1,260
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2025-09-14
    listed $42,000 Active
  3. 2009-10-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,095
− Mortgage interest
−$2,353
− Property taxes
−$630
− Insurance
−$210
− Repairs & maintenance
−$728
− Management
−$728
− Depreciation
−$1,222
Taxable income
$3,226
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$774
After-tax cash flow
$2,928/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Neodesha
NCES district ID
2009900
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,989
Composite
23.54/100
National rank
#7863
State rank
#121 of 169 in KS

Livability — Neodesha

Score
69/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#8894

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Neodesha, KS
Population (ZIP)
3,225

Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,872 people
By 2030
7,383 · -6.2%
By 2040
6,533 · -17.0%
By 2050
5,923 · -24.8%
By 2075
5,134 · -34.8%
By 2100
4,788 · -39.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilson

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.4) · D 18.0% · R 80.3% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -62.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.4 2020: R+61.5 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+54.0 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.41%
Current HPI
131.4107
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+320.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-14 Listed $42,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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