1121 Old Us Highway 421 · North Wilkesboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for an investor or for a homeowner who wants to start with a blank canvas. Sits on approximately 3ac. Needs complete renovation, good potential and convenient location.
Key facts
- 0.59 acre lot
- Built 1943
- Listed 71 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer and septic tank; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; Two-story; Built in 1943; Living room fireplace
- Construction: Brick construction; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.59 acre; Public maintained road frontage; Public water; No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 room listed on main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (1.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.7% in North Wilkesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#293 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilkes County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Wilkes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wilkes County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 30% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.35%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.1% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,450
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $19,286
- Equity at exit
- $23,677
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28697
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $149,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-15status Active
-
2026-04-15price $149,900
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-04-09status Active
-
2026-02-26status Pending
-
2026-02-19$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,151 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,229 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,151
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $227
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$54
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704950
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,538
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3017
- State rank
- #59 of 178 in NC
Livability — North Wilkesboro
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #12385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
Population outlook (Wilkes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,349 people
- By 2030
- 64,411 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 59,800 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 54,770 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 45,211 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 36,956 · -44.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilkes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.6) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -59.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.6 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.10%
- Current HPI
- 312.7598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+30.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $149,900 Triad MLS
- 2026-04-09 Delisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — Triad MLS
- 2026-02-26 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $115,000 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,151 · +59.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…