CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
441 Brown St
B- Composite 65.0
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

441 Brown St · Everson, PA 15631
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,390 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1920 3,049 sqft lot Est $131k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Three bedroom, one bath home in Everson. Fenced in backyard. Off street parking in back of house.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Fenced in backyard
  • 3,049 sq ft lot

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking for one vehicle
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 0.07 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (13x10)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — two upper bedrooms (15x12 each) and a third upper bedroom (15x10)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Basement with interior entry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#676 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $453 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $-66 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $75k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.95%
Cash-on-cash
5.90%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,660
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
230 Maple St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,328 (-4%) 1mo $160,000 $120 81
405 Painter St 0.06mi 3/1.0 1,392 (+0%) 23mo $110,000 $79 78
23 4th Ave 0.36mi 3/1.5 1,430 (+3%) 3mo $37,100 $26 74
602 Painter St 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,466 (+6%) 15mo $128,000 $87 71
112 Wall St 0.32mi 3/1.5 1,456 (+5%) 8mo $28,000 $19 69
1032 Broadford Rd 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,548 (+11%) 19mo $8,500 $5 57
611 S Chestnut St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,428 (+3%) 20mo $149,900 $105 56
601 S Broadway St 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,549 (+11%) 2mo $155,000 $100 53
43 4th Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,550 (+12%) 12mo $145,000 $94 52
106 King St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,328 (-4%) 9mo $198,700 $150 47
34 4th Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-14%) 19mo $133,000 $111 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$4,096
Equity at exit
$21,451
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$21,607
Equity at exit
$25,525

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15631

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $669
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $146 -5% $125 +0% $103 +5% $82 +10% $61
Rent -10% $40 -5% $72 +0% $103 +5% $135 +10% $167
Rate -1.0pp $141 -0.5pp $122 base $103 +0.5pp $84 +1.0pp $64

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
346 Brown St Apt b Everson, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 24d 1 0.09mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 97-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $75,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,250
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$768
− Management
−$768
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$56
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$14
After-tax cash flow
$1,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southmoreland SD
NCES district ID
4222410
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$43,274
Composite
33.76/100
National rank
#5368
State rank
#359 of 539 in PA

Livability — Everson

Score
71/100
State rank
#676
US rank
#6592

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Everson, PA
City population
656
Population (ZIP)
656

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.09%
Current HPI
164.6774
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-03-25 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
  • 2014-03-26 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2013-03-26 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2012-07-21 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2011-07-22 Listed $45,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2011-06-07 Delisted West Penn MLS
  • 2010-06-07 Listed $45,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,250 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…