441 Brown St · Everson, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Three bedroom, one bath home in Everson. Fenced in backyard. Off street parking in back of house.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Fenced in backyard
- 3,049 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking for one vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Asphalt roof; Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Small lot (approx. 0.07 acres)
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (13x10)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms — two upper bedrooms (15x12 each) and a third upper bedroom (15x10)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; Basement with interior entry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $75k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#676 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Southmoreland SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #359 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $453 of equity ($519 loan paydown + $-66 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $75k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.90%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,660
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Maple St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,328 (-4%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $120 | 81 |
| 405 Painter St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,392 (+0%) | 23mo | $110,000 | $79 | 78 |
| 23 4th Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,430 (+3%) | 3mo | $37,100 | $26 | 74 |
| 602 Painter St | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,466 (+6%) | 15mo | $128,000 | $87 | 71 |
| 112 Wall St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,456 (+5%) | 8mo | $28,000 | $19 | 69 |
| 1032 Broadford Rd | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,548 (+11%) | 19mo | $8,500 | $5 | 57 |
| 611 S Chestnut St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (+3%) | 20mo | $149,900 | $105 | 56 |
| 601 S Broadway St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,549 (+11%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $100 | 53 |
| 43 4th Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,550 (+12%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $94 | 52 |
| 106 King St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-4%) | 9mo | $198,700 | $150 | 47 |
| 34 4th Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-14%) | 19mo | $133,000 | $111 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,096
- Equity at exit
- $21,451
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $21,607
- Equity at exit
- $25,525
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15631
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $146 | -5% $125 | +0% $103 | +5% $82 | +10% $61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $40 | -5% $72 | +0% $103 | +5% $135 | +10% $167 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $141 | -0.5pp $122 | base $103 | +0.5pp $84 | +1.0pp $64 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 346 Brown St Apt b Everson, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 97-char remark
-
2026-06-09$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,250
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$768
- − Management
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $56
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$14
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,226/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southmoreland SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222410
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,274
- Composite
- 33.76/100
- National rank
- #5368
- State rank
- #359 of 539 in PA
Livability — Everson
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #676
- US rank
- #6592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Everson, PA
- City population
- 656
- Population (ZIP)
- 656
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 127,561 people
- By 2030
- 123,206 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 113,232 · -11.2%
- By 2050
- 103,468 · -18.9%
- By 2075
- 83,185 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 62,384 · -51.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Current HPI
- 164.6774
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+63.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2021-03-25 Listed $44,900 West Penn MLS
- 2014-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $39,900 Public Records
- 2014-03-26 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2013-03-26 Listed $39,900 West Penn MLS
- 2012-07-21 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2011-07-22 Listed $45,900 West Penn MLS
- 2011-06-07 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2010-06-07 Listed $45,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $1,250 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…