1890 Cox Rd · Cocoa, FL 32926

$235,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1960 1.36 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Multiple offers received. Offer deadline is June 6th at 8pm. 1.36-acre corner lot in a desirable area of unincorporated Brevard County! Situated at the corner of Cox Road and Rayburn Road, this property features beautiful mature oak trees, plenty of room to spread out, and endless potential for the right buyer. The existing solid concrete block home offers approximately 1,960 square feet plus garage that provides a blank canvas for renovation and customization. Whether you're looking to restore, redesign, or create your dream homestead, this property offers the chance to reimagine the existing space and tailor it to your needs. With a large lot, flexible possibilities, and a sought-after lo

Key facts

• 1.36-acre corner lot
• Mature oak trees
• Large lot

Tags

• 1.36-ACRE CORNER LOT
• MATURE OAK TREES
• SOLID CONCRETE BLOCK HOME
• LARGE LOT
• SOUGHT-AFTER LOCATION
• ENDLESS POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot size 1.36 acres
• Financial info: $836.62 annual tax (2025)

Exterior

• Parking: Garage; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Septic tank; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east
• Construction: Block construction; Membrane roof; Pets allowed
• Exterior features: Wire fencing; Many trees and wooded lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Has heating (type: other); Wall/window cooling units
• Interior features: Unfurnished
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $236k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (7.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $218k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#344 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
• Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Saturn Elementary School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #2,015 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 643 students, 81% FRL); Cocoa High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,551 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 43% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-30 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $19k; list at $236k implies a 1142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $218,109 (7.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.92% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.78%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -4.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.81×
• Total profit: $-12,226
• Equity at exit: $35,173

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $40,339
• Equity at exit: $20,396

Cash invested: $66,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32926

• Home prices YoY: -16.9%
• Rents YoY: 5.6%
• Active inventory: 291
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,181 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,237
• Tax from tax record: −$70 /mo · $837/yr
• Insurance: −$98
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$458
• Net cashflow: $318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,779

Max offer price $235,900

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $58,975
• Closing costs: $7,077
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3070 Cirrus Dr Cocoa, FL	3.0	1.0–2.0	1002	$2,661	$2.66	13d	29	1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-09
   status $235,900 Pending 5 DOM
2. 2026-06-08
   days on market $235,900 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $235,900 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-05
   remarks 699-char remark
5. 2026-06-05
   listed $235,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $837 · $70/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,958 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 134.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,173
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,214
• − Property taxes: −$837
• − Insurance: −$1,180
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,094
• − Management: −$2,094
• − Depreciation: −$6,863
• Taxable loss: −$107
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$26
• After-tax cash flow: $3,841/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brevard
• NCES district ID: 1200150
• Math proficiency: 53% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 57% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,426
• Composite: 46.86/100
• National rank: #2370
• State rank: #19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cocoa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #344
• US rank: #5979

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brevard County · 602,871 people
• City population: 67,424
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• Population (ZIP): 23,505
• Household income: $70,735
• Rent vs Own: 20.3% rent · 79.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 782.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 623,254 people
• By 2030: 648,420 · +4.0%
• By 2040: 690,009 · +10.7%
• By 2050: 715,669 · +14.8%
• By 2075: 775,744 · +24.5%
• By 2100: 776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -68.32%
• Current HPI: 335.1251
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.60%
• Metro: Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+293.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $235,900 SCMLS
• 1993-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
• 1984-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $837 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.