1432 Pieper Dr · Oregon, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property offers a unique opportunity for buyers seeking a blank slate to create their dream home. With good bones and a spacious lot, the house needs to be completely gutted down to the studs, allowing you to start fresh and design every detail to your taste. The open canvas is ready for your vision—make it truly yours. Sold As Is Where Is. No utilities connected and will not be reconnected. All buyers and agents must sign a hold harmless prior to gaining access to the home.
Key facts
- 0.35 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1907
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Concrete driveway; Total parking for 4 vehicles (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available (100 amp service); Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer (connected)
- Home design: Single-family house; Two levels; No shared/common walls; Located on a city street with asphalt frontage
- Construction: Shake siding; Block foundation; Shingle roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Privacy fencing; Garage(s) structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on Main level
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on Upper level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Double-pane windows; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 43.3% vs local median 3.2% in Oregon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#210 in OH, #3,303 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Oregon City (rural): math 48% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #384 of 656 in OH (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Starr Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #788 of 1,584 statewide, top 52%, 438 students, 44% FRL); Clay High School (math 27% / reading 69%, grade D, #429 of 781 statewide, top 55%, 1,139 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 132.02%
- DSCR
- 6.87
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,114
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -83.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2432 Brown Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,116 (-3%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $125 | 74 |
| 2544 Cawdor Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-4%) | 3mo | $177,600 | $160 | 64 |
| 2011 Oakdale Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $169 | 61 |
| 2432 Rochester Pl | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+3%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $168 | 58 |
| 1933 Watts Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (-7%) | 6mo | $176,500 | $164 | 58 |
| 1620 Reswick Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 991 (-14%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $202 | 55 |
| 2097 Maginnis Rd | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,267 (+10%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $142 | 50 |
| 1722 Albert St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (-1%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $35 | 49 |
| 1638 S Wheeling St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 | 1,018 (-12%) | 17mo | $204,000 | $200 | 46 |
| 1047 Mambrino Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+10%) | 10mo | $126,500 | $99 | 44 |
| 932 Cresceus Rd | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 983 (-15%) | 4mo | $118,000 | $120 | 40 |
| 1436 Toul Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $136 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $45,016
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.63×
- Total profit
- $102,430
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43616
- Home prices YoY
- -20.9%
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $770
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $787 | -5% $779 | +0% $770 | +5% $761 | +10% $753 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $676 | -5% $723 | +0% $770 | +5% $817 | +10% $864 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $783 | -0.5pp $776 | base $770 | +0.5pp $764 | +1.0pp $757 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2337 Burnside Ave Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2401 Burnside Ave Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2750 Pickle Rd Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,434 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2750 Pickle Rd Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $953 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1103 S Wheeling St Oregon, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,049 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1537 Carlyle St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 732 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,145 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 722 Coyne Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1205 Liberty St Unit NA Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,195 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2129 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1352 | $1,200 | $0.89 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1106 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,015 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 948 White St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,135 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1505 Navarre Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1331 | $1,145 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 571 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $875 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3101 Navarre Ave Oregon, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 707 | $825 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1614 Nevada St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1172 | $1,000 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 508 Howland Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $750 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 724 Plymouth St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $750 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 557 Valleywood Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,100 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2074 Starr Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,025 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Downstairs Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $950 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 908 Forsythe St Unit Upstairs Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $900 | $0.77 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1411 Oakmont St Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $800 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1537 Remington St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 493-char remark
-
2026-05-05$25,000 Active 493-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $9,403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,257
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oregon City
- NCES district ID
- 3904460
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,972
- Composite
- 46.03/100
- National rank
- #2524
- State rank
- #384 of 656 in OH
Livability — Oregon
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #3303
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oregon, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 20,309
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,309
- Household income
- $81,829
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 395.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 6% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.90%
- Current HPI
- 214.6328
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+18.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 2026-05-26 Sold (MLS) $29,500 NORIS
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $25,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,628 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…