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434 Haven St
B+ Composite 79.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$75,000

434 Haven St · Scott, OH 45886
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1900 7,200 sqft lot $104/sqft · 22% below area Est $96k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute starter home, located 10 minutes from Van Wert in Scott, Ohio. Corner lot, laminate flooring and roof 2017. New well 2026, septic repaired 2024, fresh paint 2025 and fenced yard.

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Roof 2017
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTLAMINATE FLOORINGROOF 2017

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($829 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#997 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wayne Trace Local (rural): math 64% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #188 of 656 in OH (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 44 units permitted in Van Wert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • Van Wert County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $75k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.55%
Cash-on-cash
11.64%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,783
List price
$75,000
Delta
-21.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
434 Haven St 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 720 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $90 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
2.97×
Total profit
$41,453
Equity at exit
$54,444
10-year hold
IRR
25.3%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$110,569
Equity at exit
$105,739

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45886

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$829 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $325/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$204

Break-even live

Break-even rent $572
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute starter home, located 10 minutes from Van Wert in Scott, Ohio. Corner lot, laminate flooring and roof 2017. New well 2026, septic repaired 2024, fresh paint 2025 and fenced yard.

  2. 2026-03-15
    listed $75,000 Active 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Cute starter home, located 10 minutes from Van Wert in Scott, Ohio. Corner lot, laminate flooring and roof 2017. New well 2026, septic repaired 2024, fresh paint 2025 and fenced yard.

  3. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus $34,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$325 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$747 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$423/yr (+$35/mo · 130.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,953
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$325
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$796
− Management
−$796
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$1,278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$307
After-tax cash flow
$2,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne Trace Local
NCES district ID
3904903
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,643
Composite
56.63/100
National rank
#1140
State rank
#188 of 656 in OH

Livability — Scott

Score
60/100
State rank
#997
US rank
#19563

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scott, OH
County
Paulding · 17,531 people
Population (ZIP)
422
Household income
$81,607
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
19.4

Population outlook (Van Wert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,235 people
By 2030
27,793 · -1.6%
By 2040
26,650 · -5.6%
By 2050
25,251 · -10.6%
By 2075
22,247 · -21.2%
By 2100
18,559 · -34.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Van Wert

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.5) · D 20.4% · R 78.9%
2008→2024 swing
-31.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.2pp · 2024: -58.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.5 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+56.4 2012: R+40.5 2008: R+27.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.50%
Current HPI
173.3674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending WCARE
  • 2026-03-15 Listed $75,000 WCARE
  • 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $34,300 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $325 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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