4440 Tuttle Creek Blvd #58 · Manhattan, KS 66502

$14,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 60 Days on market

Built 2024

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Picnic area
• Community events
• Playground

Tags

• FAMILY-FRIENDLY COMMUNITY
• PLAYGROUND
• PICNIC AREA
• COMMUNITY EVENTS

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $14,400

Exterior

• Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
• Home design: Condominium (unit at 4440 Tuttle Creek Blvd #58, Manhattan KS 66502)
• Exterior features: Living area 1,216

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Active status listing; Spec home / new construction plan 92810

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $901 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
• Recommended offer: $14k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in KS, #979 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
• Manhattan-Ogden (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 169 in KS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($14k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $14,453 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 8.53% ✓
• Cap rate: 78.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 259.15%
• DSCR: 12.53
• GRM: 1.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 15.13×
• Total profit: $58,967
• Equity at exit: $2,222

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 35.20×
• Total profit: $142,686
• Equity at exit: $1,288

Cash invested: $4,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66502

• Rents YoY: 6.0%
• Active inventory: 336
• Price-to-rent: 1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,271 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$78
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$19 /mo · $224/yr
• Insurance: −$6
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$267
• Net cashflow: $901

Break-even live

Break-even rent $130

Max offer price $14,900

Occupancy floor 24%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $911	-5% $906	+0% $901	+5% $896	+10% $891
Rent	-10% $801	-5% $851	+0% $901	+5% $951	+10% $1,001
Rate	-1.0pp $908	-0.5pp $905	base $901	+0.5pp $897	+1.0pp $893

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $3,725
• Closing costs: $447
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $14,900 Active 60 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $14,900 Active 59 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $14,900 Active 58 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $14,900 Active 57 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $14,900 Active 56 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $14,900 Active 54 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $14,900 Active 53 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $14,900 Active 51 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $14,900 Active 50 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $14,900 Active 49 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $14,900 Active 48 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $14,900 Active 44 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $14,900 Active 43 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $14,900 Active 42 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $14,400 Active 41 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $14,400 Active 40 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,250
• − Mortgage interest: −$835
• − Property taxes: −$224
• − Insurance: −$74
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,220
• − Management: −$1,220
• − Depreciation: −$433
• Taxable income: $11,244
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,699
• After-tax cash flow: $8,113/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Manhattan-Ogden
• NCES district ID: 2009180
• Math proficiency: 39% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,001
• Composite: 35.97/100
• National rank: #4795
• State rank: #26 of 169 in KS

Livability — Manhattan

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #6
• US rank: #979

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Riley County · 62,662 people
• City population: 60,966
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• Population (ZIP): 43,693
• Household income: $54,833
• Rent vs Own: 54.0% rent · 46.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 3089.0

Population outlook (Riley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 83,656 people
• By 2030: 89,075 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 99,100 · +18.5%
• By 2050: 109,146 · +30.5%
• By 2075: 134,178 · +60.4%
• By 2100: 153,653 · +83.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riley

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 47.8% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +8.8pp toward D · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: 1.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+3.2 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+7.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -283.54%
• Current HPI: 172.7795
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.02%
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0