43 Larimer Dr · Jackson, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.5/15.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
Key facts
- 6,330 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two open parking spaces; Parking pad
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; One level
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Cul-de-sac lot; Asphalt road frontage; City street access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans throughout; Open floorplan; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.5% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#216 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Madison County (urban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #131 of 139 in TN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 247 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,690/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 1701% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $152k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,860
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316 Fairmont Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (0%) | 1mo | $157,500 | $129 | 86 |
| 1233 Park Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,236 (+1%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $138 | 74 |
| 56 Briarcliff Dr | 0.37mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,233 (+1%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $126 | 72 |
| 415 W Forest Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,221 (-0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $147 | 67 |
| 411 Greenwood Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+10%) | 3mo | $182,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 46 Sweetbay Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,102 (-10%) | 6mo | $101,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 66 Briarcliff Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,361 (+11%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $77 | 58 |
| 309 Westwood Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,312 (+7%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $118 | 53 |
| 204 Hardee St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+10%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $89 | 49 |
| 119 Otis St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+11%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $163 | 48 |
| 97 Ingram St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (+13%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $137 | 37 |
| 402 Westwood Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,382 (+13%) | 12mo | $180,000 | $130 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,983
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $27,232
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38301
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,690 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $891/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $344 | -5% $293 | +0% $242 | +5% $191 | +10% $140 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $176 | +0% $242 | +5% $309 | +10% $376 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $333 | -0.5pp $288 | base $242 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $148 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Jackson Walk Plz Jackson, TN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1082 | $2,600 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $179,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$179,900 Active
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2025-11-13price $185,000
-
2024-04-24soldstatus $152,000 Closed 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2024-04-24soldstatus $152,000
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2024-03-22status Pending 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2024-03-11price $150,000 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2024-02-23price $159,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2024-01-12price $164,900 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2023-10-24$169,900 Active 346-char remark
Show marketing remark (346 chars)
Great home for first time home buyer or someone wanting a smaller home for retirement. This Adorable home has been Remodeled from top to bottom. Updates include a new roof, total updates in both bathrooms and Kitchen, fresh paint inside and out, new lighting and beautiful luxury vinyl flooring throughout. Priced right and ready for a new owner.
-
2022-10-18soldstatus $550,000
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2010-07-06soldstatus $374,000
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2008-09-25soldstatus $35,000
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2008-08-20soldstatus $49,900
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1998-07-31soldstatus $53,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,277 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$386/yr (+$32/mo · 43.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$891
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$68
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 4702580
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,015
- Composite
- 11.74/100
- National rank
- #9687
- State rank
- #131 of 139 in TN
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #16488
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, TN
- County
- Madison County · 87,024 people
- City population
- 87,024
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,536
- Household income
- $43,227
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1701.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,952 people
- By 2030
- 94,264 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 89,607 · -6.6%
- By 2050
- 84,133 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 72,215 · -24.7%
- By 2100
- 62,062 · -35.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.3% · R 58.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+12.9 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+8.9 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.26%
- Current HPI
- 162.2273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.19%
- Metro
- Jackson, TN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+237.8% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $179,900 CWTAR
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $185,000 CWTAR
- 2024-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $152,000 Public Records
- 2024-04-24 Sold (MLS) $152,000 CWTAR
- 2024-03-22 Pending — CWTAR
- 2024-03-11 Price Changed $150,000 CWTAR
- 2024-02-23 Price Changed $159,900 CWTAR
- 2024-01-12 Price Changed $164,900 CWTAR
- 2023-10-24 Listed $169,900 CWTAR
- 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $550,000 Public Records
- 2010-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $374,000 Public Records
- 2008-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-20 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 1998-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $53,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $891 · +33.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…