375 Golfway Dr · Painesville, OH
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this 3 Bedroom, 2 Full Bath mobile home located in the highly desired Golfway Pines Community offering 1,216 square feet of comfortable living. The open floor plan creates a spacious and inviting atmosphere. The large eat-in kitchen boasts tons of cabinet space, with a good sized Dining area. Enjoy a spacious Master Bedroom with a large Master Bath. Don't miss out on this wonderful opportunity to enjoy easy one-floor living in a quiet community setting with convenient access to shopping, dining, and major routes.
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1994
- Listed 40 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Property has a land lease with a monthly amount of $420
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; no garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Driveway with concrete surface; No garage; Aluminum siding
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.9% in Painesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#360 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Riverside Local (suburban): math 58% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #217 of 656 in OH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.55%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $14,562
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $56,422
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44077
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $552 | -5% $515 | +0% $479 | +5% $443 | +10% $406 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $358 | -5% $419 | +0% $479 | +5% $539 | +10% $599 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $532 | -0.5pp $506 | base $479 | +0.5pp $452 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-16$105,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $4,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,707/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverside Local
- NCES district ID
- 3910014
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,717
- Composite
- 55.0/100
- National rank
- #1297
- State rank
- #217 of 656 in OH
Livability — Painesville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #5785
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 57,325
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,325
- Household income
- $85,056
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1333.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.05%
- Current HPI
- 181.2976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.68%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $105,000 MLSNOW
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…