38100 Ducharme Dr · Clinton, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$61,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 2023
- Listed 181 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $61,900; Spec inventory (new construction)
Exterior
- Home design: Single-section home; 3-bed, 2-bath plan
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,056
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $755 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $428 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.29%
- DSCR
- 3.33
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,144
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38021 Orleans St. St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (0%) | 7mo | $41,000 | $39 | 82 |
| 38181 Hayes Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,124 (+6%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $271 | 71 |
| 37474 Utica Rd | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-15%) | 8mo | $178,818 | $199 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $33,704
- Equity at exit
- $9,229
- IRR
- 51.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.29×
- Total profit
- $74,418
- Equity at exit
- $5,352
Cash invested: $17,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48038
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,497 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$77 /mo · $928/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$314
- Net cashflow
- $755
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,475
- Closing costs
- $1,857
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38100 Ducharme Dr Unit 476 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 15386 Danseur Dr Unit 822 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 15974 Villaire Ave Unit 445 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,319 | $1.72 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 15377 Dominique Dr Unit 828 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 1d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 15836 Croatia Dr Unit 544 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,349 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 15811 Villaire Ave Unit 643 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 15368 Dominique Dr Unit 868 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 38051 Saint Tropez Dr Unit 990 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,549 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 15353 Dominique Dr Unit 834 Clinton Township, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 38055 Leverette Ave Unit 491 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 16011 Villaire Ave Unit 682 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 1d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 16016 Villaire Ave Unit 402 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 38033 Ducharme Dr Unit 604 Clinton Twp, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,499 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 38019 Leverette Ave Unit 500 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,389 | $1.45 | 1d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 16035 Villaire Ave Unit 688 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 15329 Danseur Dr Unit 795 Clinton Twp, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,549 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 38044 Johannes Dr Unit 521 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 38013 Chilver Ave Unit 381 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15835 Marentette Dr Unit 512 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 15868 Marentette Dr Unit 339 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 12d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 38053 Orleans St Unit 124 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,499 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 16151 Notre Dame St Unit 245 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,309 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 16142 Normandy St Unit 249 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,399 | $1.46 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 38029 Versailles St Unit 49 Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,369 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 38271 Fairway Ct Unit 100A Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 38271 Fairway Ct Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,188 | $1.28 | 43d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 38280 Fairway Ct Unit 140B Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 43d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 17010 Clinton River Rd Clinton Township, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,325 | $1.38 | 14d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 38255 Fairway Ct Clinton Twp, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 923 | $1,250 | $1.35 | 12d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14357 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 14273 Shadywood Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,100 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 36607 Holiday Cir E Clinton Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,249 | $1.61 | 43d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 38227 Schoenherr Rd Sterling Heights, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $1,830 | $1.46 | 1d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13429 Denver Cir S Sterling Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1216 | $2,100 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 17001 Eleanor Dr S Clinton Twp, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 38177 Jamestown Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 0 Woodland MDWS Update, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $2,052 | $2.05 | 1d | 9 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $61,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-17$61,900 Active 180 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,970
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,467
- − Property taxes
- −$928
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,438
- − Management
- −$1,438
- − Depreciation
- −$1,801
- Taxable income
- $8,588
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,001/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chippewa Valley Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2609570
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,964
- Composite
- 39.61/100
- National rank
- #3922
- State rank
- #133 of 540 in MI
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #315
- US rank
- #7703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,422
- Household income
- $78,567
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1788.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -212.31%
- Current HPI
- 261.3877
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…