305 Westport Tpke · Fairfield, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Cash flow +4.5/30.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$795,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare 2.25-acre riverfront opportunity on the Fairfield/Westport line. This exceptional 538-foot deep lot offers 158 feet of frontage along the Aspetuck River, creating a private, scenic setting with significant upside. A unique feature is the ability to site a new home further back from Westport Turnpike, maximizing privacy and long-term value. The existing 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers comfortable single-level living with immediate usability or rental potential. The sun-filled living room and functional kitchen provide a warm, inviting layout, while the main level includes two bedrooms and a full bath. The walk-out lower level adds versatility with a third bedroom, second full bath, and additional living space, opening directly to the expansive backyard and riverfront. Whether you choose to enjoy as-is, renovate, or build new, this property offers a rare combination of depth, frontage, and location. Convenient to Westport, Fairfield, major highways, and local amenities. A unique opportunity to create a private estate in a premier riverfront setting.
Key facts
- Walk-out lower level
- 538 foot deep lot
- 158 feet of frontage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $795k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-24k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $435k (45.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $414k (47.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $414k (47.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fairfield School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #21 of 153 in CT (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Burr Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #44 of 553 statewide, top 10%, 352 students, 14% FRL); Tomlinson Middle School (math 40% / reading 63%, grade C, #77 of 175 statewide, top 44%, 621 students, 30% FRL); Fairfield Warde High School (math 52% / reading 73%, grade B-, #39 of 194 statewide, top 20%, 1,418 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 7% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.4%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($747k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $795k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.52% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.00%
- DSCR
- 0.51
- GRM
- 16.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $983,511
- List price
- $795,000
- Delta
- -19.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Wildflower Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+2%) | 1mo | $977,000 | $646 | 67 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-236,927
- Equity at exit
- $118,537
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-274,220
- Equity at exit
- $68,737
Cash invested: $222,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06824
- Rents YoY
- 12.4%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 16.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,141 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,169
- Tax from tax record
- −$812 /mo · $9,738/yr
- Insurance
- −$331
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$870
- Net cashflow
- $-2,040
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,590 | -5% $-1,815 | +0% $-2,040 | +5% $-2,265 | +10% $-2,490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,367 | -5% $-2,204 | +0% $-2,040 | +5% $-1,877 | +10% $-1,713 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,640 | -0.5pp $-1,838 | base $-2,040 | +0.5pp $-2,246 | +1.0pp $-2,456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $198,750
- Closing costs
- $23,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
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2026-06-22days on market $795,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $795,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $795,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $795,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $795,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $795,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $795,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $795,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $795,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $795,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $795,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $795,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $795,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $795,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $795,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-01price $795,000 1071-char remark
Show marketing remark (1071 chars)
Rare 2.25-acre riverfront opportunity on the Fairfield/Westport line. This exceptional 538-foot deep lot offers 158 feet of frontage along the Aspetuck River, creating a private, scenic setting with significant upside. A unique feature is the ability to site a new home further back from Westport Turnpike, maximizing privacy and long-term value. The existing 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers comfortable single-level living with immediate usability or rental potential. The sun-filled living room and functional kitchen provide a warm, inviting layout, while the main level includes two bedrooms and a full bath. The walk-out lower level adds versatility with a third bedroom, second full bath, and additional living space, opening directly to the expansive backyard and riverfront. Whether you choose to enjoy as-is, renovate, or build new, this property offers a rare combination of depth, frontage, and location. Convenient to Westport, Fairfield, major highways, and local amenities. A unique opportunity to create a private estate in a premier riverfront setting.
-
2026-03-28$819,000 Active 1071-char remark
Show marketing remark (1071 chars)
Rare 2.25-acre riverfront opportunity on the Fairfield/Westport line. This exceptional 538-foot deep lot offers 158 feet of frontage along the Aspetuck River, creating a private, scenic setting with significant upside. A unique feature is the ability to site a new home further back from Westport Turnpike, maximizing privacy and long-term value. The existing 3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch offers comfortable single-level living with immediate usability or rental potential. The sun-filled living room and functional kitchen provide a warm, inviting layout, while the main level includes two bedrooms and a full bath. The walk-out lower level adds versatility with a third bedroom, second full bath, and additional living space, opening directly to the expansive backyard and riverfront. Whether you choose to enjoy as-is, renovate, or build new, this property offers a rare combination of depth, frontage, and location. Convenient to Westport, Fairfield, major highways, and local amenities. A unique opportunity to create a private estate in a premier riverfront setting.
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2025-01-19historical $4,750
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2024-12-05$4,750
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2024-09-28historical $5,000
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2024-09-28historical
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2024-08-14$5,000
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2024-08-13$749,000 Active
-
2021-05-24soldstatus $450,000
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1995-12-14soldstatus $280,000
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1995-09-30historical
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1995-03-03$289,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,738 · $812/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,376 · $1,115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,638/yr (+$303/mo · 37.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,532
- − Property taxes
- −$9,738
- − Insurance
- −$3,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,976
- − Management
- −$3,976
- − Depreciation
- −$23,127
- Taxable loss
- −$39,628
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$9,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $-14,971/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairfield School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901530
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $119,139
- Composite
- 63.03/100
- National rank
- #650
- State rank
- #21 of 153 in CT
Livability — Fairfield
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Fairfield County · 765,532 people
- City population
- 58,698
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,716
- Household income
- $193,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 380.0
Population outlook (Greater Bridgeport County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 365,581
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greater Bridgeport
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.3) · D 60.9% · R 37.6% · Other 1.5%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -723.44%
- Current HPI
- 178.7206
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.37%
- Metro
- Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+175.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $795,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-28 Listed $819,000 Smart MLS
- 2025-01-19 Rental Removed $4,750 SMARTMLS
- 2024-12-05 Listed for Rent $4,750 SMARTMLS
- 2024-09-28 Rental Removed $5,000 SMARTMLS
- 2024-09-28 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2024-08-14 Listed for Rent $5,000 SMARTMLS
- 2024-08-13 Listed $749,000 Smart MLS
- 2021-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
- 1995-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
- 1995-09-30 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 1995-03-03 Listed $289,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2023): $9,738 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…